Equity Profile

MOD

Modine Manufacturing Company

IndustrialsBuilding Products$14.6B

May26Tue

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ4-2026After Close4:15 PM EDT

Modine Manufacturing Beats on EPS, Stock Up 13.57%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.71	$1.55	+13.47%
Revenue	—	$921M	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Modine Manufacturing Beats on EPS, Stock Up 13.57%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.71	$1.55	+13.47%
Revenue	—	$921M	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

Modine Manufacturing's earnings report showed a strong EPS beat, which likely contributed to the stock's 13.57% increase. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty. Investors may view the EPS surprise as a positive sign of the company's profitability.

Company Snapshot

Modine Manufacturing Company operates in the industrial sector, focusing on building products. With a market cap of $13 billion, it plays a crucial role in providing thermal management solutions, which are increasingly important as industries seek energy efficiency and sustainability.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$1.55

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and demand for its products, which is vital for assessing growth.

$921M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.70%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.76%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Modine reported an EPS of $1.19, significantly beating estimates by nearly 20%. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall sales performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Management highlighted ongoing efforts to improve operational efficiency.
They committed to exploring new market opportunities in energy-efficient solutions.
There was a focus on enhancing customer relationships to drive sales.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are generally optimistic about Modine's upcoming earnings, expecting a solid performance based on previous results. The consensus EPS of $1.55 indicates confidence in continued profitability.

Bull Case

If Modine exceeds EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, any miss on EPS or disappointing revenue could raise concerns about market demand and operational challenges, potentially leading to a stock decline.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.55

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$921M

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and demand for its products, which is vital for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.55?

A beat on EPS would reinforce confidence in Modine's profitability and operational efficiency.

What is the revenue outlook given the current market conditions?

Understanding revenue trends will be crucial for assessing demand and growth potential in the coming quarters.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Modine's potential for revenue growth in energy-efficient products, which could outpace current expectations.

Supporting Evidence

Previous quarters show a consistent EPS beat rate of 75%, indicating strong management performance.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Management's focus on operational efficiency could lead to better-than-expected margins.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly outpaces expectations, it could challenge the current consensus view.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it will indicate whether Modine can sustain its growth trajectory amidst market fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.60 or higher with revenue exceeding $950M would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.40 or revenue falling short of $850M would validate the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±16.62%

Historical Avg

±2.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±16.6% while MOD has averaged ±2.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

1.0%

30d HV

58.2%

Calls (84K)P/C Ratio: 1.17Puts (32K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Modine beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of around +0.96%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

Should the company miss estimates, history indicates a potential average decline of +0.31%, raising concerns about operational challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product lines focused on energy efficiency.
2Insights into customer demand trends in key markets.
3Management's commentary on operational improvements and cost management.
4Details on any significant contracts or partnerships that could impact revenue.
5Guidance on future earnings and revenue expectations.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$1.55

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and demand for its products, which is vital for assessing growth.

$921M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

88%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.70%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.76%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Modine reported an EPS of $1.19, significantly beating estimates by nearly 20%. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall sales performance.

Management Promises & Guidance

Management highlighted ongoing efforts to improve operational efficiency.
They committed to exploring new market opportunities in energy-efficient solutions.
There was a focus on enhancing customer relationships to drive sales.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Modine exceeds EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, any miss on EPS or disappointing revenue could raise concerns about market demand and operational challenges, potentially leading to a stock decline.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$1.55

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$921M

Total revenue reflects the company's sales performance and demand for its products, which is vital for assessing growth.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.55?

A beat on EPS would reinforce confidence in Modine's profitability and operational efficiency.

What is the revenue outlook given the current market conditions?

Understanding revenue trends will be crucial for assessing demand and growth potential in the coming quarters.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Modine's potential for revenue growth in energy-efficient products, which could outpace current expectations.

Supporting Evidence

Previous quarters show a consistent EPS beat rate of 75%, indicating strong management performance.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Management's focus on operational efficiency could lead to better-than-expected margins.

Key Risk

If revenue growth significantly outpaces expectations, it could challenge the current consensus view.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is pivotal as it will indicate whether Modine can sustain its growth trajectory amidst market fluctuations.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.60 or higher with revenue exceeding $950M would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.40 or revenue falling short of $850M would validate the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±16.62%

Historical Avg

±2.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±16.6% while MOD has averaged ±2.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

1.0%

30d HV

58.2%

Calls (84K)P/C Ratio: 1.17Puts (32K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Modine beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of around +0.96%, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

Should the company miss estimates, history indicates a potential average decline of +0.31%, raising concerns about operational challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product lines focused on energy efficiency.
2Insights into customer demand trends in key markets.
3Management's commentary on operational improvements and cost management.
4Details on any significant contracts or partnerships that could impact revenue.
5Guidance on future earnings and revenue expectations.