Equity Profile

MTDR

Matador Resources Company

EnergyOil & Gas Exploration & Production$6.7B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Matador Resources Company (MTDR) is an energy company focused on oil and gas exploration and production. With a market cap of $7 billion, it plays a significant role in the energy sector, which is influenced by global oil prices and demand trends.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance, which investors closely monitor.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales and expand its market presence, crucial for investor confidence.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MTDR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.71%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.16%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Matador reported an EPS of $1.53, exceeding expectations by 23.09%. However, the stock fell by 8.22% the following day, indicating market concerns despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on cost management and operational efficiency.
Commitment to maintaining or increasing production levels.
Plans to explore new opportunities in oil and gas markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic about Matador's upcoming earnings, given its track record of beating EPS estimates. However, the stock's reaction to previous earnings surprises has been mixed, raising questions about future performance.

Bull Case

If Matador can deliver strong EPS and revenue growth, it may signal robust operational performance and attract more investor interest, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent volatility.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026, and how does it compare to analyst expectations?

Given Matador's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be critical in determining market sentiment post-earnings.

What guidance will management provide for production levels and revenue growth moving forward?

Future guidance will help investors gauge the company's growth trajectory and its ability to navigate market challenges.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Matador's ability to capitalize on operational efficiencies and cost management, which could lead to better-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

Matador has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Recent insider selling may indicate a strategic repositioning rather than a lack of confidence in the company's future.

Key Risk

If Matador's EPS exceeds $1.70, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment and shift market expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Matador can sustain its growth amid fluctuating oil prices and operational challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.70 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.30 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±18.84%

Historical Avg

±2.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a substantial move, suggesting that investors expect significant volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±18.8% while MTDR has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

49.6%

Calls (48K)P/C Ratio: 1.85Puts (27K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Matador beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.2% on the first day, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management is cautious, the stock may remain flat or see a slight decline as investors digest the commentary.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential drop of about 1.16%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$15,001.00–$50,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on production levels and operational efficiency improvements.
2Management's commentary on market conditions and pricing outlook for oil.
3Details on cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
4Guidance for future quarters, particularly regarding revenue growth.
5Insights into any new projects or exploration efforts.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance, which investors closely monitor.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales and expand its market presence, crucial for investor confidence.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MTDR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+12.71%

Avg Stock Reaction

-1.16%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Matador reported an EPS of $1.53, exceeding expectations by 23.09%. However, the stock fell by 8.22% the following day, indicating market concerns despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on cost management and operational efficiency.
Commitment to maintaining or increasing production levels.
Plans to explore new opportunities in oil and gas markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Matador can deliver strong EPS and revenue growth, it may signal robust operational performance and attract more investor interest, potentially driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent volatility.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026, and how does it compare to analyst expectations?

Given Matador's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be critical in determining market sentiment post-earnings.

What guidance will management provide for production levels and revenue growth moving forward?

Future guidance will help investors gauge the company's growth trajectory and its ability to navigate market challenges.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Matador's ability to capitalize on operational efficiencies and cost management, which could lead to better-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

Matador has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.

Recent insider selling may indicate a strategic repositioning rather than a lack of confidence in the company's future.

Key Risk

If Matador's EPS exceeds $1.70, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment and shift market expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Matador can sustain its growth amid fluctuating oil prices and operational challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.70 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.30 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±18.84%

Historical Avg

±2.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a substantial move, suggesting that investors expect significant volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±18.8% while MTDR has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

49.6%

Calls (48K)P/C Ratio: 1.85Puts (27K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Matador beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.2% on the first day, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management is cautious, the stock may remain flat or see a slight decline as investors digest the commentary.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential drop of about 1.16%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

0 buys·1 sell

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$15,001.00–$50,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on production levels and operational efficiency improvements.
2Management's commentary on market conditions and pricing outlook for oil.
3Details on cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
4Guidance for future quarters, particularly regarding revenue growth.
5Insights into any new projects or exploration efforts.