Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, May 7, 2026
EPS actual
$1.09
EPS est.
$0.76
EPS surprise
+42.86%
1-day move
+11.19%
MACOM Technology Solutions reported a strong earnings per share, significantly beating expectations, which led to a notable increase in stock price. The 11.19% rise in stock reflects investor confidence in the company's performance, despite the lack of revenue data and guidance. The positive EPS surprise indicates strong operational efficiency or cost management.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.09 | N/A | +42.86% |
| Revenue | N/A | N/A | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. is a semiconductor company that designs and manufactures high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductor solutions. Operating in the Information Technology sector, MACOM plays a crucial role in enabling advanced technologies such as 5G, data centers, and optical networking, which are essential for modern communication and data processing.
Last quarter
In Q1-2026, MACOM reported an EPS of $1.02, surpassing estimates by 32.81%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 5.94% the following day, indicating strong investor confidence.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+33.85%
Avg 1-day reaction
+6.26%
Overall, expectations for MACOM's upcoming earnings are cautiously optimistic, given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates. Investors are eager to see if the company can maintain its momentum in revenue growth and profitability.
Bull case
If MACOM continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could lead to significant stock appreciation as investor confidence grows.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a sharp decline in stock price, especially given the high implied volatility in the options market.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What is the projected revenue growth rate for the upcoming quarter?
This figure will be critical in assessing MACOM's ability to capitalize on market opportunities and maintain investor confidence.
Q2
How has the gross margin changed compared to previous quarters?
Changes in gross margin can indicate shifts in operational efficiency and pricing power, which are vital for future profitability.
—
Est. EPS
$1.57
Est. Rev
$464M
Impl. Move
±7.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating MACOM's potential for revenue growth due to its strong positioning in high-demand sectors like 5G and data centers, which could lead to a larger-than-expected EPS beat.
Supporting evidence
MACOM has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational execution.
The options market is pricing in a significant move, reflecting heightened investor interest and potential for upside.
Recent trends in semiconductor demand suggest a favorable environment for MACOM's products.
Key risk
If revenue growth exceeds 15%, it could challenge the current cautious consensus and drive stock appreciation.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate this quarter revolves around whether MACOM can sustain its growth trajectory in a competitive semiconductor market.
Bull confirmed if
A revenue growth rate exceeding 15% year-over-year would confirm the bullish outlook.
Bear confirmed if
A revenue growth rate below 5% would signal potential weaknesses in demand and execution.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±13.76%
Historical Avg
±9.4%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±17.4% while MTSI has averaged ±9.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
1.3%
30d HV
54.1%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Semiconductors
Fade rate: X of Y (Z%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.9%, with a raw directional average of +0.9% (modestly positive historical bias).
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$195,900.00
653 sh
1 insider
Net
$195,900.00
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 1 open-market trade
$195,900.00
Net selling
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If MACOM beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.88%, confirming strong operational performance.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns suggesting a potential drop of around 6.40% based on past reactions.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
2
0 buys·2 sells
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$2,002.00–$30,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
2 trades
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Recent Transactions
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $300.00
653 sh
$195,900.00
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 16, 2026 · disclosed Sep 4, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 22, 2026 · disclosed Jun 8, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.