Equity Profile

MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.

Information TechnologySemiconductors$27.0B

Nov17Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ3-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EST

Company Snapshot

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. operates in the semiconductor sector, providing high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductor solutions....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge the company's financial health this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue trends will provide insight into demand for MACOM's products and overall market performance.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MTSI Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. operates in the semiconductor sector, providing high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductor solutions. With a market cap of $26 billion, MACOM plays a crucial role in enabling technologies such as 5G, data centers, and cloud computing, which are essential for modern information technology infrastructure.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+33.39%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.29%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2-2026, MACOM reported an EPS of $1.09, significantly beating estimates by 42.86%. The stock reacted positively, rising 11.19% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are optimistic about MACOM's upcoming earnings, especially given the company's strong track record of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of revenue guidance raises some uncertainty.

Bull Case

If MACOM continues its trend of strong EPS surprises, it could indicate robust demand for its products, leading to further stock price appreciation.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to provide clear revenue guidance or if demand shows signs of weakening, it could lead to a negative market reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given MACOM's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial for investor sentiment.

What insights can management provide regarding revenue trends and demand for their products?

Understanding revenue dynamics will help investors gauge the company's growth trajectory and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate MACOM's ability to sustain its earnings momentum, particularly given its recent strong performance in a competitive environment.

Supporting Evidence

MACOM has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating a robust operational performance.

The options market is pricing a lower move compared to historical averages, suggesting potential undervaluation.

Previous quarters have shown significant stock reactions to earnings beats, which may not be fully reflected in current sentiment.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $1.00, it could challenge the current bullish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching MACOM's ability to maintain its strong earnings performance amidst a competitive semiconductor landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

A reported EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm the bullish case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.90 would suggest potential weaknesses in demand or profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.9%

Historical Avg

±7.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 4.9% in either direction, suggesting some uncertainty ahead of the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±4.9% while MTSI has averaged ±7.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

60.1%

Calls (126K)P/C Ratio: 0.08Puts (24K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Semiconductors

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 4 of 9 faded and 5 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of -0.5% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If MACOM beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 4.29%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further clarity on future guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of around 0% to 4.59% following disappointing results.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$3,003.00–$45,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
3

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on demand for 5G and data center products.
2Management's commentary on supply chain challenges and their impact on production.
3Insights into customer adoption rates for new technologies.
4Guidance on revenue expectations for the next quarter.
5Any strategic initiatives aimed at expanding market share.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. operates in the semiconductor sector, providing high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductor solutions....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help gauge the company's financial health this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue trends will provide insight into demand for MACOM's products and overall market performance.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

MTSI Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+33.39%

Avg Stock Reaction

+4.29%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2-2026, MACOM reported an EPS of $1.09, significantly beating estimates by 42.86%. The stock reacted positively, rising 11.19% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are optimistic about MACOM's upcoming earnings, especially given the company's strong track record of beating EPS estimates. However, the lack of revenue guidance raises some uncertainty.

Bull Case

If MACOM continues its trend of strong EPS surprises, it could indicate robust demand for its products, leading to further stock price appreciation.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to provide clear revenue guidance or if demand shows signs of weakening, it could lead to a negative market reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given MACOM's strong history of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial for investor sentiment.

What insights can management provide regarding revenue trends and demand for their products?

Understanding revenue dynamics will help investors gauge the company's growth trajectory and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate MACOM's ability to sustain its earnings momentum, particularly given its recent strong performance in a competitive environment.

Supporting Evidence

MACOM has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating a robust operational performance.

The options market is pricing a lower move compared to historical averages, suggesting potential undervaluation.

Previous quarters have shown significant stock reactions to earnings beats, which may not be fully reflected in current sentiment.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $1.00, it could challenge the current bullish outlook.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching MACOM's ability to maintain its strong earnings performance amidst a competitive semiconductor landscape.

Bull Confirmed If

A reported EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm the bullish case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.90 would suggest potential weaknesses in demand or profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.9%

Historical Avg

±7.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 4.9% in either direction, suggesting some uncertainty ahead of the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±4.9% while MTSI has averaged ±7.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

60.1%

Calls (126K)P/C Ratio: 0.08Puts (24K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Semiconductors

n=30

Fade rate: 4 of 9 (44%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If MACOM beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 4.29%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further clarity on future guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting an average drop of around 0% to 4.59% following disappointing results.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$3,003.00–$45,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

D-CAGilbert CisnerosRep.
3

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on demand for 5G and data center products.
2Management's commentary on supply chain challenges and their impact on production.
3Insights into customer adoption rates for new technologies.
4Guidance on revenue expectations for the next quarter.
5Any strategic initiatives aimed at expanding market share.