Pre-earnings brief
Reports
Tue, Nov 17, 2009
Est. EPS
—
Est. revenue
—
Implied move
±7.5%
EPS beat rate
100%
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI) operates in the semiconductor sector, providing essential components for high-speed data transmission and processing. As demand for faster and more efficient technology continues to grow, especially in areas like AI and cloud computing, MACOM's innovations are increasingly relevant.
Last quarter
In Q3-2026, MACOM reported an EPS of $1.40, significantly exceeding expectations by 34.62%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 14.49% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+33.85%
Avg 1-day reaction
+6.26%
Investors are optimistic about MACOM's upcoming earnings, especially given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates. However, there is uncertainty regarding revenue figures and overall market conditions.
Bull case
If MACOM continues its trend of strong EPS surprises, it could signal robust demand for its products, leading to further stock gains.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or provides cautious guidance, it could dampen investor sentiment and lead to a stock decline.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$1.40EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market share and meet customer demand.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will MACOM's EPS exceed $1.40?
Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial in determining market reaction.
Q2
What are the revenue expectations for the upcoming quarter?
Revenue growth is vital for assessing the company's ability to capitalize on market demand, especially in the semiconductor sector.
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
—
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate MACOM's ability to capture market share in the rapidly growing AI sector, which could drive stronger-than-expected revenue growth.
Supporting evidence
MACOM's recent product launches position it well to meet increasing demand in high-speed data applications.
The company's consistent EPS surprises indicate strong operational execution that may not be fully reflected in current estimates.
Key risk
If MACOM reports revenue growth significantly above expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is weighing MACOM's ability to sustain its growth trajectory against potential economic headwinds.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.50 or higher would confirm strong demand and solid execution.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.20 would raise concerns about the company's growth prospects.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±7.51%
Historical Avg
±9.4%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±7.5% while MTSI has averaged ±9.4% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.
ATM IV
0.6%
30d HV
65.2%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If MACOM beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 6.26%, confirming the bullish outlook.
In line / cautious
A cautious but in-line report may lead to muted reactions, as investors assess future guidance.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, the stock could drop, with historical patterns indicating a potential decline of around 6.26%.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
2
0 buys·2 sells
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$2,002.00–$30,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
2 trades
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 16, 2026 · disclosed Sep 4, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 22, 2026 · disclosed Jun 8, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.