Equity Profile

NMRK

Newmark Group, Inc.

Real EstateReal Estate Services$2.7B

Apr30Thu

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market1:00 AM EDT

Newmark Group, Inc. Beats on EPS, Stock Up 2.22%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.33	$0.27	+22.22%
Revenue	N/A	$749M	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Newmark Group, Inc. Beats on EPS, Stock Up 2.22%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$0.33	$0.27	+22.22%
Revenue	N/A	$749M	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

Newmark Group, Inc. reported a better-than-expected EPS of $0.33 compared to the consensus of $0.27, which contributed to a 2.22% increase in stock price. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance. The positive EPS surprise indicates potential strength in the company's operations, but the lack of revenue data means investors should remain cautious.

Company Snapshot

Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) operates in the real estate services sector, providing a range of services including commercial property management and investment sales....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating revenue.

0.27

Revenue

Total revenue gives insight into the company's overall sales performance and market demand for its services.

749M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) operates in the real estate services sector, providing a range of services including commercial property management and investment sales. As the real estate market evolves, Newmark's performance can be influenced by trends in property demand, interest rates, and economic conditions.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+10.90%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.51%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, Newmark reported an EPS of $0.68, slightly beating expectations. However, the stock experienced a minor decline the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Newmark to report a modest increase in EPS and revenue this quarter, reflecting ongoing recovery in the real estate sector. The consensus is cautiously optimistic but aware of potential market volatility.

Bull Case

If Newmark exceeds EPS expectations significantly, it could indicate strong operational efficiency and robust demand for real estate services, potentially boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses EPS estimates or shows signs of declining revenue, it may raise concerns about its market position and the overall health of the real estate sector.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

0.27

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating revenue.

Revenue

749M

Total revenue gives insight into the company's overall sales performance and market demand for its services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.27?

A beat on EPS could signal strong operational performance and boost investor confidence, while a miss could raise concerns.

What is the revenue outlook compared to the consensus of $749M?

Revenue performance will indicate market demand for Newmark's services and overall health in the real estate sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Newmark's ability to capitalize on a recovering real estate market, particularly if they can leverage operational efficiencies.

Supporting Evidence

Newmark has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating strong management performance.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that investors expect significant news or changes.

Recent trends in the real estate sector show signs of recovery, which may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in significantly above $749M, it could shift market perception positively.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it may reflect broader trends in the real estate market and the company's competitive position.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.30 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong performance and market demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.24 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential weaknesses in the company's operations.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.51%

Historical Avg

±2.8%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings announcement, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility.

Options are pricing ±9.5% while NMRK has averaged ±2.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

36.9%

Calls (800)P/C Ratio: 1.25Puts (1K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 24 (29%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Real Estate in the last 2 years. 17 of 24 (71%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 1.3%, with a raw directional average of +0.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Newmark beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise about 0.27% on the following day, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors weigh future growth prospects.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of 0.10% on disappointing results.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any commentary on market demand for commercial real estate services.
2Updates on operational efficiencies and cost management strategies.
3Insights into regional performance variations and their impact on overall revenue.
4Management's outlook on future real estate trends and potential challenges.
5Details on any new service offerings or strategic partnerships.

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Company Snapshot

Newmark Group, Inc. (NMRK) operates in the real estate services sector, providing a range of services including commercial property management and investment sales....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating revenue.

0.27

Revenue

Total revenue gives insight into the company's overall sales performance and market demand for its services.

749M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+10.90%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.51%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, Newmark reported an EPS of $0.68, slightly beating expectations. However, the stock experienced a minor decline the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Newmark exceeds EPS expectations significantly, it could indicate strong operational efficiency and robust demand for real estate services, potentially boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses EPS estimates or shows signs of declining revenue, it may raise concerns about its market position and the overall health of the real estate sector.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

0.27

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating revenue.

Revenue

749M

Total revenue gives insight into the company's overall sales performance and market demand for its services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.27?

A beat on EPS could signal strong operational performance and boost investor confidence, while a miss could raise concerns.

What is the revenue outlook compared to the consensus of $749M?

Revenue performance will indicate market demand for Newmark's services and overall health in the real estate sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Newmark's ability to capitalize on a recovering real estate market, particularly if they can leverage operational efficiencies.

Supporting Evidence

Newmark has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, indicating strong management performance.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting that investors expect significant news or changes.

Recent trends in the real estate sector show signs of recovery, which may not be fully reflected in current estimates.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in significantly above $749M, it could shift market perception positively.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it may reflect broader trends in the real estate market and the company's competitive position.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.30 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong performance and market demand.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.24 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential weaknesses in the company's operations.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.51%

Historical Avg

±2.8%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings announcement, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility.

Options are pricing ±9.5% while NMRK has averaged ±2.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

36.9%

Calls (800)P/C Ratio: 1.25Puts (1K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Real Estate

n=30

Fade rate: 7 of 24 (29%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Newmark beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise about 0.27% on the following day, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors weigh future growth prospects.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of 0.10% on disappointing results.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any commentary on market demand for commercial real estate services.
2Updates on operational efficiencies and cost management strategies.
3Insights into regional performance variations and their impact on overall revenue.
4Management's outlook on future real estate trends and potential challenges.
5Details on any new service offerings or strategic partnerships.