Equity Profile

NXPI

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

Information TechnologySemiconductors$58.5B

Jul27Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is a global leader in semiconductor solutions, focusing on automotive, industrial, and Internet of Things (IoT) applications....

Key Metrics to Watch

Automotive Revenue Growth

Given the rising demand for electric vehicles and advanced driver-assistance systems, automotive revenue is critical this quarter.

Expected to show growth of 15% YoY.

Gross Margin

Gross margin is essential to assess profitability, especially in a competitive semiconductor market.

Expected to be around 50%.

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

NXPI Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is a global leader in semiconductor solutions, focusing on automotive, industrial, and Internet of Things (IoT) applications. As a key player in the information technology sector, NXP is crucial for enabling smart devices and connectivity, which are increasingly important in today’s digital economy.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+16.66%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.73%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, NXP reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $3.05, exceeding estimates by 16.81%. However, the stock fell 2.74% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions despite strong earnings.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on automotive and IoT markets.
Commitment to maintaining high gross margins.
Plans to expand product offerings in the industrial sector.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, the market is cautiously optimistic about NXP's upcoming earnings, especially given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates. However, concerns about broader semiconductor market conditions could temper expectations.

Bull Case

If NXP delivers strong automotive revenue growth and maintains high margins, it could lead to a significant positive reaction in the stock.

Bear Case

Conversely, if revenue growth falls short or margins decline, it could trigger a negative response from investors.

Key Metrics to Watch

Automotive Revenue Growth

Expected to show growth of 15% YoY.

Given the rising demand for electric vehicles and advanced driver-assistance systems, automotive revenue is critical this quarter.

Gross Margin

Expected to be around 50%.

Gross margin is essential to assess profitability, especially in a competitive semiconductor market.

Total Revenue

Expected revenue of $3.2 billion.

Total revenue will provide insight into overall business health and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the year-over-year growth rate for automotive revenue?

This metric will indicate how well NXP is capitalizing on the growing automotive market, which is crucial for its future growth.

How does management foresee gross margins evolving in the next quarter?

Understanding margin expectations will help investors gauge profitability and operational efficiency amid market pressures.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The market may underestimate NXP's growth potential in the automotive sector, particularly in electric vehicles, which could drive stronger-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

NXP's consistent EPS surprises suggest robust operational execution.

The options market pricing a 15.41% move indicates heightened expectations that may not align with historical performance.

Recent trends in electric vehicle adoption could lead to higher demand for NXP's products.

Key Risk

If automotive revenue exceeds 15% growth, it could challenge current market expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on NXP's ability to sustain revenue growth in its key automotive segment while managing costs effectively.

Bull Confirmed If

Automotive revenue growth of 15% YoY or better with gross margin holding at 50% or above.

Bear Confirmed If

Any decline in gross margin below 48% could signal underlying issues.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±15.41%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±15.4% while NXPI has averaged ±2.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

78.8%

Calls (74K)P/C Ratio: 0.94Puts (42K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If NXP beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.73%, confirming strong demand in the automotive sector.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management offers cautious commentary, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating a possible drop of around 2.05%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on automotive revenue growth and specific figures.
2Insights into gross margin expectations for the next quarter.
3Any commentary on supply chain challenges affecting production.
4Details on new product launches in the IoT space.
5Management's outlook on market conditions in the semiconductor industry.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Jul27

DYNBMO

Dyne Therapeutics, Inc.

PreviewView

Jul27

ARLPBMO

Company Snapshot

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NXPI) is a global leader in semiconductor solutions, focusing on automotive, industrial, and Internet of Things (IoT) applications....

Key Metrics to Watch

Automotive Revenue Growth

Given the rising demand for electric vehicles and advanced driver-assistance systems, automotive revenue is critical this quarter.

Expected to show growth of 15% YoY.

Gross Margin

Gross margin is essential to assess profitability, especially in a competitive semiconductor market.

Expected to be around 50%.

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

NXPI Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+16.66%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.73%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on automotive and IoT markets.
Commitment to maintaining high gross margins.
Plans to expand product offerings in the industrial sector.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If NXP delivers strong automotive revenue growth and maintains high margins, it could lead to a significant positive reaction in the stock.

Bear Case

Conversely, if revenue growth falls short or margins decline, it could trigger a negative response from investors.

Key Metrics to Watch

Automotive Revenue Growth

Expected to show growth of 15% YoY.

Given the rising demand for electric vehicles and advanced driver-assistance systems, automotive revenue is critical this quarter.

Gross Margin

Expected to be around 50%.

Gross margin is essential to assess profitability, especially in a competitive semiconductor market.

Total Revenue

Expected revenue of $3.2 billion.

Total revenue will provide insight into overall business health and market demand.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the year-over-year growth rate for automotive revenue?

This metric will indicate how well NXP is capitalizing on the growing automotive market, which is crucial for its future growth.

How does management foresee gross margins evolving in the next quarter?

Understanding margin expectations will help investors gauge profitability and operational efficiency amid market pressures.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The market may underestimate NXP's growth potential in the automotive sector, particularly in electric vehicles, which could drive stronger-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

NXP's consistent EPS surprises suggest robust operational execution.

The options market pricing a 15.41% move indicates heightened expectations that may not align with historical performance.

Recent trends in electric vehicle adoption could lead to higher demand for NXP's products.

Key Risk

If automotive revenue exceeds 15% growth, it could challenge current market expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance will hinge on NXP's ability to sustain revenue growth in its key automotive segment while managing costs effectively.

Bull Confirmed If

Automotive revenue growth of 15% YoY or better with gross margin holding at 50% or above.

Bear Confirmed If

Any decline in gross margin below 48% could signal underlying issues.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±15.41%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±15.4% while NXPI has averaged ±2.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

78.8%

Calls (74K)P/C Ratio: 0.94Puts (42K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If NXP beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.73%, confirming strong demand in the automotive sector.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management offers cautious commentary, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating a possible drop of around 2.05%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on automotive revenue growth and specific figures.
2Insights into gross margin expectations for the next quarter.
3Any commentary on supply chain challenges affecting production.
4Details on new product launches in the IoT space.
5Management's outlook on market conditions in the semiconductor industry.