Consumer Discretionary·Automotive Retail·$77.9B
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is a leading retailer in the automotive parts and accessories industry. The company operates in the consumer discretionary sector, providing essential products for vehicle maintenance and repair, which makes it a key player in the automotive retail market.
EPS
Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability, and investors will closely watch this to gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
Revenue figures indicate overall sales performance, which is vital for understanding market demand and growth potential.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
2Q
EPS Beat Rate
38%
Avg EPS Surprise
+9.98%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.07%
In the last quarter (Q4-2025), O'Reilly Automotive reported an impressive EPS of $2.03, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. However, the stock experienced a slight decline the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about O'Reilly's upcoming earnings, with expectations of steady EPS and revenue growth. However, the company's recent mixed performance raises questions about its ability to meet these targets.
Bull Case
If O'Reilly can exceed EPS expectations and show strong revenue growth, it may indicate robust demand for automotive parts, leading to positive investor sentiment.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet its EPS or revenue targets, it could signal weakening demand or operational challenges, resulting in a negative market reaction.
EPS
$0.69Earnings per share (EPS) is a critical measure of profitability, and investors will closely watch this to gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
$4.5BRevenue figures indicate overall sales performance, which is vital for understanding market demand and growth potential.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will O'Reilly meet or exceed the consensus EPS estimate of $0.69?
This will be crucial for assessing the company's profitability and could significantly impact investor sentiment.
Q2
What are the revenue figures relative to the consensus of $4.5B?
Revenue performance will provide insights into market demand and the effectiveness of O'Reilly's sales strategies.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate O'Reilly's ability to capitalize on increased vehicle maintenance needs, driven by an aging vehicle fleet.
Supporting Evidence
The automotive retail sector has shown resilience despite economic pressures, suggesting O'Reilly could outperform expectations.
Recent trends indicate a growing demand for aftermarket parts, which O'Reilly is well-positioned to meet.
Options pricing suggests a larger potential move than historical averages, indicating heightened investor interest.
Key Risk
If revenue growth exceeds $4.5B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift market expectations.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate centers around whether O'Reilly can sustain its growth trajectory amid changing market conditions.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.74 or higher would confirm strong profitability and positive market demand.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.66 would indicate potential weaknesses in demand or operational challenges.
Implied Move
±3.13%
Historical Avg
±0.4%
The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 3.13% following the earnings report, suggesting that investors anticipate some volatility.
Options price a 3.13% move but the stock has averaged only 0.4% over the last 8 quarters — setup is rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If O'Reilly beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of around -0.15%, confirming strong demand.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in future growth.
Miss
A miss could lead to a slight decline, with historical patterns indicating an average one-day move of -0.03% when expectations are not met.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
Apr 27, 2026