Equity Profile

OTTR

Otter Tail Corporation

UtilitiesElectric Utilities$3.7B

Aug3Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Otter Tail Corporation is a utility company primarily engaged in the generation and distribution of electricity. As a player in the electric utilities sector, it plays a crucial role in providing power to homes and businesses, which is essential for everyday life and economic activity.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if OTTR can maintain its strong performance.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its customer base and increase sales, which is vital for long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

OTTR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+7.79%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.32%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Otter Tail Corporation reported an EPS of $1.73, exceeding expectations by 29.1%. The stock experienced a slight decline of 0.21% the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment despite the strong earnings surprise.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall expectations for Otter Tail Corporation are cautiously optimistic, given its consistent earnings surprises in recent quarters. Investors are looking for continued strong performance in EPS and revenue growth.

Bull Case

The bullish view hinges on the company maintaining its earnings momentum and potentially expanding its customer base, which could lead to higher revenues and increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, the bearish perspective suggests that any slowdown in customer growth or unexpected costs could negatively impact profitability, leading to disappointing results.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?

EPS is a critical metric that directly affects investor sentiment and stock price, especially given the company's history of beating estimates.

How many new customers were added in the last quarter?

Customer growth is essential for revenue expansion, and any slowdown could raise concerns about future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Otter Tail's ability to maintain its earnings growth, especially given the recent strong performance in Q1-2026.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

Options are pricing a 4.37% move, which is higher than the historical average of 1.34%, suggesting that the market may be overly cautious.

Key Risk

If customer growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter the bullish narrative.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Otter Tail's ability to sustain its earnings growth and customer acquisition, which are pivotal for its future outlook.

Bull Confirmed If

Earnings per share exceeding $1.80 would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.50 would support the bear case, suggesting potential issues with profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.37%

Historical Avg

±1.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±4.4% while OTTR has averaged ±1.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

17.5%

Calls (500)P/C Ratio: 0.03Puts (0)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Utilities

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 30 (27%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Utilities in the last 2 years. 22 of 30 (73%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 1.6%, with a raw directional average of -0.8% (modestly negative historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If OTTR beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see a modest increase of around 1.34%, confirming the bullish sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors weigh management commentary against historical performance.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential decline of around 0.63%, raising concerns about future growth.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on customer acquisition strategies and their effectiveness.
2Management's outlook on future revenue growth and potential challenges.
3Details on operational efficiencies that could impact margins.
4Insights into regulatory changes that may affect the utility sector.
5Any commentary on macroeconomic factors influencing demand for electricity.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Aug3

ONBMO

ON Semiconductor Corporation

PreviewView

Aug3

LBMO

Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if OTTR can maintain its strong performance.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its customer base and increase sales, which is vital for long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

OTTR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+7.79%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.32%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

The bullish view hinges on the company maintaining its earnings momentum and potentially expanding its customer base, which could lead to higher revenues and increased investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, the bearish perspective suggests that any slowdown in customer growth or unexpected costs could negatively impact profitability, leading to disappointing results.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?

EPS is a critical metric that directly affects investor sentiment and stock price, especially given the company's history of beating estimates.

How many new customers were added in the last quarter?

Customer growth is essential for revenue expansion, and any slowdown could raise concerns about future performance.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Otter Tail's ability to maintain its earnings growth, especially given the recent strong performance in Q1-2026.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

Options are pricing a 4.37% move, which is higher than the historical average of 1.34%, suggesting that the market may be overly cautious.

Key Risk

If customer growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly alter the bullish narrative.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching Otter Tail's ability to sustain its earnings growth and customer acquisition, which are pivotal for its future outlook.

Bull Confirmed If

Earnings per share exceeding $1.80 would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.50 would support the bear case, suggesting potential issues with profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±4.37%

Historical Avg

±1.3%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±4.4% while OTTR has averaged ±1.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.2%

30d HV

17.5%

Calls (500)P/C Ratio: 0.03Puts (0)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Utilities

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 30 (27%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If OTTR beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see a modest increase of around 1.34%, confirming the bullish sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors weigh management commentary against historical performance.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history indicates a potential decline of around 0.63%, raising concerns about future growth.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on customer acquisition strategies and their effectiveness.
2Management's outlook on future revenue growth and potential challenges.
3Details on operational efficiencies that could impact margins.
4Insights into regulatory changes that may affect the utility sector.
5Any commentary on macroeconomic factors influencing demand for electricity.