Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, Apr 30, 2026
EPS actual
$1.10
EPS est.
$1.08
EPS surprise
+2.14%
1-day move
-0.32%
Patrick Industries reported an EPS of $1.10, beating expectations slightly. However, the stock reacted negatively, declining by 0.32%. The lack of revenue data and management commentary may have contributed to investor uncertainty.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.10 | $1.06 | +2.14% |
| Revenue | N/A | $1.0B | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on manufacturing and distributing components for recreational vehicles and other industries. As consumer spending trends evolve, the company's performance can be significantly influenced by the health of the automotive market and overall economic conditions.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, Patrick Industries reported an EPS of $0.84, exceeding expectations by 13.51%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 4.37% the following day.
EPS beat streak
7Q
EPS beat rate
88%
Avg EPS surprise
+6.43%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.45%
Analysts expect Patrick Industries to report solid earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $1.06. Investors are particularly focused on revenue growth and any signs of market strength.
Bull case
If the company beats EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could indicate robust demand in the automotive sector, leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company misses EPS estimates or reports weaker revenue, it may signal underlying challenges in the automotive market, potentially leading to a decline in stock price.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$1.06EPS is a crucial indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
$1.0BRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.06?
A beat on EPS could reinforce confidence in the company's growth trajectory and positively impact stock performance.
Q2
What is the revenue outlook for the quarter?
Revenue performance is critical for understanding market demand and the company's ability to capitalize on industry trends.
—
Est. EPS
$0.76
Est. Rev
$17.1B
Impl. Move
±2.9%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the potential for revenue growth driven by increased consumer spending on recreational vehicles.
Supporting evidence
The company has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, with an 88% success rate over the last eight quarters.
Options pricing suggests a higher expected move than historical averages, indicating market anticipation of significant news.
Recent trends in consumer spending may not be fully reflected in analyst estimates.
Key risk
If revenue comes in significantly above $1.0B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether Patrick Industries can sustain its growth amidst fluctuating consumer demand in the automotive sector.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm strong profitability and growth.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.92 would indicate significant challenges in meeting market expectations.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±9.93%
Historical Avg
±3.5%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±10.7% while PATK has averaged ±3.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.7%
30d HV
54.7%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
114.52%
of float
Insider
4.08%
of float
Holders
450
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
5,003,334 sh · $324.8M
15.58%
5.0%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Patrick Industries beats expectations, history suggests a stock increase of around 1.43%, confirming positive market sentiment.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 5.99%, reflecting disappointment in the company's performance.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
FMR, LLC
4,312,882 sh · $280.0M
13.43%
20.4%
Wellington Management Group, LLP
1,623,974 sh · $105.4M
5.06%
-7.4%
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP
1,493,427 sh · $97.0M
4.65%
2.9%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
1,427,875 sh · $92.7M
4.45%
-0.3%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.