Energy·Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing·$4.8B
PBF Energy Inc. is a company in the energy sector, primarily involved in oil and gas refining and marketing....
EPS
Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus shows expectations for a loss.
Revenue
Revenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for refined products.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
2Q
EPS Beat Rate
50%
Avg EPS Surprise
+84.65%
Avg Stock Reaction
-4.08%
In Q4 2025, PBF Energy reported an EPS of $0.66, significantly beating expectations of a loss. However, the stock dropped 5.87% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect a challenging quarter for PBF Energy, with a consensus EPS loss and significant revenue figures. The market is closely watching how the company navigates current oil price volatility.
Bull Case
If PBF can exceed revenue expectations and show signs of recovery in refining margins, it could signal a turnaround, boosting investor confidence.
Bear Case
A larger-than-expected loss or declining revenue could raise concerns about the company's financial health and operational efficiency.
EPS
$-0.78Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus shows expectations for a loss.
Revenue
$7.6BRevenue figures will provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for refined products.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will PBF Energy's EPS come in better than the consensus estimate of $-0.78?
A better-than-expected EPS could indicate improved operational performance and market conditions.
Q2
How does management plan to address refining margins in the current oil price environment?
Insights into refining margins will be crucial for understanding the company's profitability and future outlook.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be overly pessimistic about PBF's ability to recover, particularly given recent operational improvements that could drive better-than-expected margins.
Supporting Evidence
PBF's recent operational efficiencies could lead to improved margins despite current market conditions.
Historical performance shows that the company has surprised positively in the past, suggesting potential for a repeat.
The consensus EPS estimate may not fully account for seasonal demand fluctuations that could benefit the company.
Key Risk
If refining margins show unexpected strength, it could challenge the current bearish consensus.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether PBF can recover from its recent losses and improve its financial performance amid fluctuating oil prices.
Bull Confirmed If
Revenue exceeding $7.6 billion could confirm a positive outlook for PBF Energy.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS loss greater than $-0.78 would reinforce bearish sentiment.
Implied Move
±N/A
There is no options market data available to gauge investor sentiment ahead of the earnings report.
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat setup in Energy
n=30Fade rate: 11 of 21 (52%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Energy in the last 2 years. 11 of 21 faded and 10 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 2.7%, with a raw directional average of +0.9% (modestly positive historical bias).
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If PBF beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of +4.13%, confirming a bullish outlook.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline, with history indicating an average one-day move of -4.04%, raising concerns about the company's future.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
Apr 27, 2026