Consumer Discretionary·Homebuilding·$24.3B
PulteGroup Inc (PHM) is a major player in the homebuilding industry, focusing on constructing single-family homes across the United States. As a part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, its performance is closely tied to consumer spending trends and housing market dynamics.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help investors gauge the company's financial health this quarter.
Home Sales
Tracking the number of homes sold will provide insight into demand and the effectiveness of PulteGroup's sales strategies.
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EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
75%
Avg EPS Surprise
+8.24%
Avg Stock Reaction
+2.90%
In Q4 2025, PulteGroup reported an EPS of $2.56, falling short of expectations. Despite this, the stock saw a positive reaction, gaining 3.24% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic heading into the earnings report, given PulteGroup's strong historical performance in beating EPS estimates.
Bull Case
If PulteGroup can demonstrate strong home sales and maintain or increase its average selling price, it could signal robust demand and pricing power in the housing market.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company reports lower-than-expected sales or pricing pressures, it could raise concerns about the sustainability of its growth in a potentially cooling housing market.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
N/AEPS is a key indicator of profitability and will help investors gauge the company's financial health this quarter.
Home Sales
N/ATracking the number of homes sold will provide insight into demand and the effectiveness of PulteGroup's sales strategies.
Average Selling Price (ASP)
N/AASP reflects pricing power and market conditions, which are crucial for understanding revenue trends.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What is the total number of homes sold this quarter?
This figure will directly reflect demand and the effectiveness of PulteGroup's sales strategies, influencing investor sentiment.
Q2
How has the average selling price changed compared to last quarter?
Changes in ASP can indicate pricing power and market conditions, which are critical for understanding revenue trends.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the impact of rising interest rates on homebuyer demand, which could lead to lower sales figures than anticipated.
Supporting Evidence
Options pricing suggests a 5% move, but historical data shows the stock has only moved more than 5% once in the last 8 quarters.
The recent trend in the housing market indicates potential cooling, which may not be fully reflected in current expectations.
Key Risk
If home sales come in significantly below last quarter's figures, it could challenge the current bullish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is currently debating the sustainability of PulteGroup's growth amid changing economic conditions.
Bull Confirmed If
A significant increase in home sales and ASP, indicating strong demand and pricing power.
Bear Confirmed If
A decline in home sales or ASP, suggesting weakening demand in the housing market.
Implied Move
±5.08%
Historical Avg
±4.7%
The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 5% in either direction, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±5.1% while PHM has averaged ±4.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If PulteGroup beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 3.16%, confirming strong demand and pricing power.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess growth prospects.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline of around 3.24%, raising concerns about market demand.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
ZIONS BANCORP N A
Apr 20, 2026