Post-earnings recap
Reported
Mon, Aug 3, 2026
EPS actual
$0.41
EPS est.
$0.28
EPS surprise
+48.01%
1-day move
+2.10%
Palantir's earnings report shows a strong performance in EPS, significantly exceeding expectations. The stock reacted positively, rising by 2.1%, likely driven by the better-than-expected earnings per share. However, the lack of revenue data and management commentary leaves some uncertainty about the overall business outlook.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.41 | $0.35 | +48.01% |
| Revenue | — | $1.8B | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is a software company that specializes in data analytics and artificial intelligence. Operating in the Information Technology sector, Palantir helps organizations make sense of large amounts of data, which is increasingly important in today's data-driven world.
Last quarter
In Q1 2026, Palantir reported an EPS of $0.33, significantly beating expectations of $0.22. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.36% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+78.63%
Avg 1-day reaction
+1.46%
Analysts expect Palantir to continue its strong performance with an EPS of $0.35 and revenue of $1.8 billion. The company has a history of exceeding earnings expectations.
Bull case
If Palantir beats its EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal strong demand for its products and a successful execution of its growth strategy.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations, it may raise concerns about its growth trajectory and market competition.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
0.35Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs relative to its revenue.
Revenue
1.8BTotal revenue reflects the company's ability to grow its business and attract customers, which is crucial for its long-term success.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Palantir's EPS exceed $0.35?
A higher EPS would reinforce the company's growth narrative and could lead to a positive market reaction.
Q2
What are the revenue figures for this quarter?
Revenue performance is critical for assessing the company's ability to attract and retain clients, impacting future growth prospects.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±12.7%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Palantir's ability to leverage its AI capabilities for new revenue streams, leading to stronger-than-expected results.
Supporting evidence
Palantir's recent product enhancements may attract new clients beyond its traditional sectors.
The company's historical EPS surprises suggest a pattern of exceeding expectations.
Options pricing indicates significant volatility, hinting at potential surprises.
Key risk
If revenue growth exceeds $1.9 billion, it could shift the narrative on Palantir's market position.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will be closely watched as it could indicate whether Palantir can sustain its growth momentum in a competitive landscape.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.40 or higher would confirm strong demand and effective cost management.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.33 would raise concerns about the company's growth and market position.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±8.30%
Historical Avg
±1.9%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders anticipate volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±8.3% while PLTR has averaged ±1.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.6%
30d HV
54.6%
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$253,963.15
1,337 sh
1 insider
Net
$253,963.15
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 1 open-market trade
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
64.72%
of float
Insider
3.45%
of float
Holders
3,621
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
189,817,693 sh · $36.8B
8.70%
0.4%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Palantir beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.86%, confirming the bullish outlook.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
Should the company miss estimates, the stock could decline, with historical patterns indicating a potential drop of around 1.93%.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
5
2 buys·3 sells
Members
3
House + Senate
Est. Notional
$5,005.00–$75,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
3 trades
The lines on the call that would change the story.
$253,963.15
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $189.95
1,337 sh
$253,963.15
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
146,137,514 sh · $28.4B
6.70%
0.9%
State Street Corporation
104,490,468 sh · $20.3B
4.79%
2.8%
Invesco Ltd.
70,438,517 sh · $13.7B
3.23%
2.1%
Geode Capital Management, LLC
55,334,968 sh · $10.7B
2.54%
-1.0%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Mixed
1 trade
Net buying
1 trade
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 17, 2026 · disclosed Sep 4, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 15, 2026 · disclosed Jun 8, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 15, 2026 · disclosed Jun 16, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 8, 2026 · disclosed Jun 8, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 6, 2026 · disclosed Aug 7, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.