Post-earnings recap
Reported
Tue, Aug 4, 2026
EPS actual
$1.98
EPS est.
$1.27
EPS surprise
+55.54%
1-day move
+3.98%
Qualys reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which likely contributed to the positive stock reaction of 3.98%. However, the company did not provide revenue figures or future guidance, leaving some uncertainty for investors. The strong EPS surprise may indicate effective cost management or operational efficiency.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.98 | $1.78 | +55.54% |
| Revenue | N/A | $179M | N/A |
No transcript is on record for this earnings call, so the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
Qualys, Inc. is a provider of cloud-based security and compliance solutions, helping organizations manage their IT security. Operating in the Information Technology sector, Qualys plays a crucial role in the growing need for cybersecurity as businesses increasingly rely on cloud services and face evolving threats.
Last quarter
In Q1 2026, Qualys reported an EPS of $1.95, significantly exceeding expectations by 47.39%. Despite the strong earnings, the stock experienced a slight decline the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+62.91%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.77%
Analysts are generally optimistic about Qualys's upcoming earnings, expecting strong performance based on past results. However, there are concerns about sustainability and market competition.
Bull case
If Qualys exceeds EPS and revenue expectations, it could indicate robust demand for its services, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear case
If the company fails to meet expectations, it may raise doubts about its growth trajectory and competitive positioning, leading to a negative market reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$1.78Earnings per share is a key indicator of the company's profitability and performance relative to analyst expectations.
Revenue
$179MRevenue reflects the company's ability to generate sales and is critical for assessing growth potential.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Qualys achieve an EPS of $1.78 or higher?
Meeting or exceeding this EPS target is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and validating the company's growth strategy.
Q2
What is the revenue outlook for the next quarter?
A strong revenue forecast would indicate continued demand for Qualys's services and support a bullish sentiment among investors.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±12.7%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the impact of new product launches on revenue growth this quarter, as Qualys has been enhancing its offerings.
Supporting evidence
The company has a strong track record of exceeding EPS estimates, suggesting potential for another surprise.
Options pricing indicates a higher expected move than historical averages, hinting at potential volatility.
Recent trends in cybersecurity spending could drive stronger demand for Qualys's services.
Key risk
If the revenue growth significantly exceeds $180M, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as it will help determine if Qualys can sustain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition in the cybersecurity market.
Bull confirmed if
Achieving an EPS of $1.85 or higher with revenue exceeding $180M would confirm strong demand and growth.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.70 or revenue below $175M would raise concerns about the company's growth prospects.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±21.87%
Historical Avg
±2.5%
The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±21.9% while QLYS has averaged ±2.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.5%
30d HV
53.7%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
110.07%
of float
Insider
0.45%
of float
Holders
605
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
5,762,721 sh · $1.1B
16.66%
7.5%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Qualys beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see a modest uptick, confirming strong demand for its services.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react neutrally, reflecting cautious sentiment from investors.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline in stock price, as seen in previous quarters.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
2,695,941 sh · $525.0M
7.79%
6.3%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
1,590,332 sh · $309.7M
4.60%
0.4%
State Street Corporation
1,456,158 sh · $283.6M
4.21%
4.9%
Legal & General Group PLC
1,437,373 sh · $279.9M
4.15%
39.6%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.