Equity Profile
Post-Earnings Recap
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.33 | $-0.60 | +55.76% |
| Revenue | N/A | $1.4B | N/A |
management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an electric vehicle manufacturer focused on producing sustainable transportation solutions....
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if Rivian can narrow its losses this quarter.
Revenue
Revenue growth is crucial for Rivian as it indicates market acceptance of its vehicles and overall business health.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
| EPS | $-0.33 | $-0.60 | +55.76% |
| Revenue | N/A | $1.4B | N/A |
Tone: Unknown
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Rivian Automotive reported a narrower-than-expected loss per share, which led to a positive stock reaction, with shares rising by 2.12%. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty about overall performance. Investors may view the EPS beat as a sign of improving efficiency or cost management.
EPS Beat Streak
1Q
EPS Beat Rate
50%
Avg EPS Surprise
-23.23%
Avg Stock Reaction
-1.03%
In Q4 2025, Rivian reported a significant EPS loss of $-3.07, which was much worse than expected. This disappointing performance led to a decline in stock price the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic this quarter, expecting Rivian to report a narrower EPS loss and moderate revenue growth. However, recent earnings history shows volatility and uncertainty.
Bull Case
If Rivian can beat EPS estimates and show strong revenue growth, it could signal improved operational efficiency and increased consumer demand for its vehicles.
Bear Case
On the other hand, if Rivian misses expectations again, it may raise concerns about its long-term viability and ability to compete in the electric vehicle market.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
-$0.60EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if Rivian can narrow its losses this quarter.
Revenue
$1.4BRevenue growth is crucial for Rivian as it indicates market acceptance of its vehicles and overall business health.
Expectations
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Can Rivian achieve revenue of at least $1.4B this quarter?
Meeting or exceeding this revenue target would demonstrate strong demand for its vehicles and could boost investor confidence.
Q2
Will the EPS loss be narrower than the expected $-0.60?
A smaller loss could indicate improved operational efficiency and a positive trend in Rivian's financial health.
Edge
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Rivian's potential for revenue growth due to recent product launches and increased consumer interest in electric vehicles.
Supporting Evidence
Options are pricing a 10.1% move, suggesting that investors expect significant volatility, which may not align with the consensus.
Rivian's recent product announcements could drive higher sales than analysts anticipate.
Key Risk
If Rivian's revenue exceeds $1.4B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Edge
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical for Rivian as it seeks to regain investor confidence after a series of disappointing earnings.
Bull Confirmed If
Achieving revenue of $1.4B or more with an EPS loss narrower than $-0.60.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS loss worse than $-0.75 and revenue below $1.1B.
Pre-Earnings Positioning
Implied Move
±10.1%
Historical Avg
±2.8%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±10.1% while RIVN has averaged ±2.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
1.7%
30d HV
37.1%
Edge
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$531,191.82
31,691 sh
2 insiders
Net
$531,191.82
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 2 open-market trades
$346,781.82
Net selling
$184,410.00
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Apr 14, 2026 · @ $16.17
21,446 sh
$346,781.82
Apr 22, 2026 · @ $18.00
10,245 sh
$184,410.00
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
Preparation
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Rivian beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 0.02%, confirming a positive trend in operational performance.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted reactions as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of around 2.79%.
Preparation
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
Crown Holdings, Inc.