Consumer Discretionary·Restaurants·$112.4B
Starbucks Corp (SBUX) is a leading coffeehouse chain known for its premium coffee and beverages. As a key player in the consumer discretionary sector, it reflects trends in consumer spending and preferences, particularly in the food and beverage industry.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.
Revenue
Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall growth.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
13%
Avg EPS Surprise
-7.52%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.03%
In the last quarter, Starbucks reported an EPS of $0.56, slightly missing the estimate of $0.58. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 0.59% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Starbucks' upcoming earnings, expecting a modest EPS of $0.44 and revenue of $9.2 billion. However, recent earnings misses have raised concerns about the company's growth trajectory.
Bull Case
If Starbucks can exceed EPS expectations and demonstrate strong revenue growth, it may signal a recovery in consumer spending and brand loyalty.
Bear Case
A continued trend of missing earnings estimates could indicate deeper issues with sales growth and customer retention, leading to further stock declines.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
0.44EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.
Revenue
9.2BRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall growth.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.44?
A beat on EPS could restore investor confidence and signal a turnaround in performance.
Q2
What are the revenue expectations relative to the $9.2 billion consensus?
Revenue growth is critical for assessing the company's market position and ability to attract customers.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the potential for a rebound in consumer spending, especially with seasonal promotions and new product launches.
Supporting Evidence
Recent trends show a growing interest in premium coffee experiences, which could boost sales.
Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility that could favor a strong performance.
Starbucks' loyalty program continues to grow, potentially driving repeat business.
Key Risk
If customer traffic increases significantly due to new marketing initiatives, it could challenge the current revenue forecasts.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is pivotal as it follows a series of earnings misses, and investors are keen to see if Starbucks can regain momentum.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.48 or higher, along with revenue exceeding $9.4 billion, would confirm the bull case.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.39 and revenue under $9.0 billion would confirm the bear case.
Implied Move
±6.79%
Historical Avg
±0.7%
The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings announcement, suggesting heightened uncertainty among investors.
Options are pricing ±4.3% while SBUX has averaged ±0.7% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Starbucks beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise around 0.16% on the following day, indicating renewed investor confidence.
In-Line / Cautious
An inline report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors will be looking for management commentary to gauge future growth.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of about 0.09% on the next trading day, reflecting ongoing concerns.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
Apr 27, 2026