Equity Profile

SNEX

StoneX Group Inc.

FinancialsInvestment Banking & Brokerage$8.1B

May6Wed

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ2-2026After Close4:15 PM EDT

StoneX Group Inc. Beats on EPS, Stock Down 1.55%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$2.07	N/A	+29.38%
Revenue	N/A	N/A	N/A

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

StoneX Group Inc. Beats on EPS, Stock Down 1.55%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$2.07	N/A	+29.38%
Revenue	N/A	N/A	N/A

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

StoneX Group Inc. reported a strong earnings per share, exceeding expectations significantly. However, the stock reacted negatively, declining by 1.55%. This could indicate investor concerns or profit-taking despite the positive EPS surprise.

Company Snapshot

StoneX Group Inc. operates in the financial sector, focusing on investment banking and brokerage services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its business and attract new clients, which is vital for long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

StoneX Group Inc. operates in the financial sector, focusing on investment banking and brokerage services. With a market cap of $8 billion, the company plays a crucial role in facilitating trading and investment activities for various clients, including institutions and retail investors.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+9.95%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.70%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, StoneX reported an EPS of $2.50, exceeding expectations by 21.36%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 3.77% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for StoneX are mixed as the company has shown a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, but revenue guidance remains unclear.

Bull Case

If StoneX continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational performance and client demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of declining client activity, it could lead to a negative market reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given the company's strong track record of beating EPS estimates, this number will be critical in shaping investor sentiment.

How has client activity changed in the last quarter?

Understanding client activity levels will provide insight into future revenue potential and overall business health.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of recent client activity trends, which could lead to stronger-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

StoneX has a history of beating EPS estimates, with a 75% success rate over the last eight quarters.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility that may not align with current consensus.

Key Risk

If client activity shows unexpected strength, it could lead to a significant upward revision of earnings expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching EPS and client activity as indicators of StoneX's operational strength and future growth.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.70 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $2.20 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues with client demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.01%

Historical Avg

±1.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±6.5% while SNEX has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

31.9%

Calls (700)P/C Ratio: 2.03Puts (2K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If StoneX beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +1.57%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors weigh management commentary.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of about -0.47%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on client acquisition and retention strategies.
2Insights into market conditions affecting trading volumes.
3Management's outlook on revenue growth for the upcoming quarters.
4Details on any new service offerings or market expansions.
5Commentary on competitive pressures in the brokerage industry.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

StoneX Group Inc. operates in the financial sector, focusing on investment banking and brokerage services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its business and attract new clients, which is vital for long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+9.95%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.70%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, StoneX reported an EPS of $2.50, exceeding expectations by 21.36%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 3.77% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for StoneX are mixed as the company has shown a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, but revenue guidance remains unclear.

Bull Case

If StoneX continues its trend of beating EPS estimates, it could signal strong operational performance and client demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of declining client activity, it could lead to a negative market reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q2-2026?

Given the company's strong track record of beating EPS estimates, this number will be critical in shaping investor sentiment.

How has client activity changed in the last quarter?

Understanding client activity levels will provide insight into future revenue potential and overall business health.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of recent client activity trends, which could lead to stronger-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

StoneX has a history of beating EPS estimates, with a 75% success rate over the last eight quarters.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility that may not align with current consensus.

Key Risk

If client activity shows unexpected strength, it could lead to a significant upward revision of earnings expectations.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is closely watching EPS and client activity as indicators of StoneX's operational strength and future growth.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.70 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $2.20 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues with client demand.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±7.01%

Historical Avg

±1.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±6.5% while SNEX has averaged ±1.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

31.9%

Calls (700)P/C Ratio: 2.03Puts (2K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If StoneX beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +1.57%, confirming strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors weigh management commentary.

Miss

If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of about -0.47%, reflecting investor disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on client acquisition and retention strategies.
2Insights into market conditions affecting trading volumes.
3Management's outlook on revenue growth for the upcoming quarters.
4Details on any new service offerings or market expansions.
5Commentary on competitive pressures in the brokerage industry.