Pre-earnings brief
Reports
Fri, Mar 5, 2021
Est. EPS
—
Est. revenue
—
Implied move
±3.9%
EPS beat rate
0%
Stellantis N.V. is a major player in the automobile manufacturing sector, producing a wide range of vehicles under various brands. As a part of the consumer discretionary sector, its performance is closely linked to consumer spending trends and the overall health of the economy.
Last quarter
In Q2-2026, Stellantis reported an EPS of $0.14, significantly missing expectations of $0.41, leading to a 2.5% drop in stock price the following day. The company did not provide revenue figures or guidance.
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
0%
Avg EPS surprise
-66.45%
Avg 1-day reaction
-2.50%
Investors are cautious ahead of Stellantis' earnings report, especially after the significant miss last quarter. The lack of analyst estimates adds uncertainty to expectations.
Bull case
If Stellantis can exceed EPS expectations and show signs of revenue growth, it could restore investor confidence and lead to a positive stock reaction.
Bear case
A continuation of disappointing earnings, particularly if EPS falls short again, could further erode investor trust and lead to a negative stock response.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$0.41EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.
Revenue
N/ARevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its vehicles.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What will the EPS be for Q3-2026?
Given the significant miss last quarter, the EPS figure will be crucial for assessing the company's recovery and future outlook.
Q2
What insights can be provided about revenue growth?
Understanding revenue trends will help gauge market demand and the effectiveness of Stellantis' sales strategies.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the potential for a rebound in EPS due to improved production efficiencies and cost management strategies that Stellantis has been implementing.
Supporting evidence
The options market is pricing a 5.4% move, which may be overly conservative given the company's potential for recovery.
Stellantis' diverse brand portfolio may help cushion against market volatility, providing a stronger performance than expected.
Key risk
If EPS comes in above $0.41, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift market expectations.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The upcoming earnings report is pivotal for Stellantis, as it follows a significant earnings miss and will set the tone for investor confidence.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.41 or higher would confirm a strong recovery and positive market sentiment.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.14 would reinforce concerns about the company's profitability and market position.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±5.4%
The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 5.4% in either direction following the earnings report, indicating uncertainty among investors.
ATM IV
0.7%
30d HV
49.4%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Stellantis beats EPS expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 2.5% on the day, confirming a positive trend.
In line / cautious
A report that meets expectations may lead to a muted response, as investors remain cautious about future guidance.
Miss
If the company misses EPS expectations again, history suggests a potential decline of about 2.5% in the stock price.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
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Est. EPS
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Est. Rev
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Impl. Move
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