Financials·Mortgage REITs·$6.8B
Starwood Property Trust Inc. (STWD) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that primarily focuses on originating, acquiring, and managing commercial mortgage loans and other real estate-related investments....
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.
Net Interest Margin
This metric reflects how effectively the company is managing its interest income versus its interest expenses, which is vital for a mortgage REIT.
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EPS Beat Streak
1Q
EPS Beat Rate
63%
Avg EPS Surprise
+0.78%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.62%
In Q4 2025, Starwood Property Trust reported an EPS of $0.42, surpassing expectations by 13.51%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 0.23% the following day.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall expectations for the upcoming earnings report are mixed, with a history of beating EPS estimates but some recent misses causing caution among investors.
Bull Case
If Starwood can continue its trend of beating EPS estimates, it may signal strong operational performance and investor confidence, potentially driving the stock higher.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of declining loan origination, it could lead to a negative reaction from the market.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
N/AEPS is a crucial indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.
Net Interest Margin
N/AThis metric reflects how effectively the company is managing its interest income versus its interest expenses, which is vital for a mortgage REIT.
Loan Origination Volume
N/AHigher loan origination indicates strong demand for financing, which can lead to increased revenue for the company.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What will be the EPS for Q1 2026?
EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.
Q2
How has the loan origination volume changed compared to previous quarters?
Changes in loan origination volume can indicate market demand and the company's growth potential, which are crucial for future performance.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the impact of rising interest rates on Starwood's profitability, which could lead to lower EPS than expected.
Supporting Evidence
Recent trends in interest rates suggest tighter margins for mortgage REITs, which could affect earnings.
The company's historical performance shows volatility in EPS, indicating potential risks that may not be fully priced in.
Key Risk
If loan origination volume comes in significantly lower than expected, it could undermine the entire earnings narrative.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is weighing the company's ability to maintain profitability and growth in a challenging economic environment.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.45 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.40 would indicate potential issues in profitability and could lead to negative market sentiment.
Implied Move
±N/A
There is no available options market data to gauge investor sentiment ahead of the earnings report.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Starwood beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 1.15%, confirming strong operational performance.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await more clarity from management commentary.
Miss
A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of about 0.99%, indicating investor disappointment and potential concerns about future performance.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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