Post-earnings recap
Reported
Wed, May 20, 2026
EPS actual
$1.19
EPS est.
$1.01
EPS surprise
+18.17%
1-day move
+5.66%
TJX Companies reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which contributed to a positive stock reaction, with shares rising by 5.66%. The strong EPS performance suggests the company is managing costs effectively and possibly benefiting from increased consumer spending. However, the lack of revenue data and guidance leaves some uncertainty about future performance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.19 | $1.01 | +18.17% |
| Revenue | N/A | $14.0B | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
The TJX Companies, Inc. operates as a leading off-price retailer of apparel and home goods. With a market cap of $166 billion, it plays a significant role in the consumer discretionary sector, benefiting from trends in consumer spending and value-seeking behavior.
Last quarter
In Q4 2026, TJX reported an EPS of $1.43, beating estimates by 3.32%. However, the stock fell 1.17% the following day, indicating cautious investor sentiment despite the earnings beat.
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+6.38%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.27%
Analysts expect TJX to report solid earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $1.01 and revenue of $14.0 billion. The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates in recent quarters, which could set a positive tone.
Bull case
If TJX continues its trend of beating earnings estimates, it could see a strong stock price reaction, especially if management provides positive guidance for future quarters.
Bear case
On the other hand, if TJX fails to meet expectations or provides cautious guidance, it could lead to a negative reaction from investors, especially given recent stock performance.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$1.01Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well TJX is managing costs and sales.
Revenue
$14.0BTotal revenue gives insight into overall sales performance and demand for TJX's products.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will TJX's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.01?
A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's strong performance trend and could lead to a positive stock reaction.
Q2
What guidance will management provide regarding future revenue growth?
Investors will be keen to understand how TJX plans to navigate the current retail environment and any potential challenges ahead.
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Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±8.9%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate TJX's ability to sustain its earnings growth due to its strong value proposition in a challenging retail environment.
Supporting evidence
TJX has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past eight quarters, indicating strong operational execution.
The options market is pricing for a larger move than historical averages, suggesting heightened expectations.
Recent consumer spending trends favor off-price retailers, which could benefit TJX.
Key risk
If revenue growth falls below $13.8 billion, it could raise concerns about demand and market conditions.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether TJX can maintain its growth momentum amidst a competitive retail landscape.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.06 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.99 would signal potential issues in sales or cost management.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±4.3%
Historical Avg
±2.3%
The options market is pricing in a larger move than the stock's historical average, suggesting investors are expecting significant volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±4.3% while TJX has averaged ±2.3% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.5%
30d HV
21.4%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If TJX beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 1.29%, confirming the bullish sentiment.
In line / cautious
If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest the outlook.
Miss
A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 2.89%.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
4
0 buys·4 sells
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$32,004.00–$130,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
4 trades
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Sep 15, 2026 · disclosed Sep 25, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Sep 2, 2026 · disclosed Sep 25, 2026
$15,001.00–$50,000.00
Traded Aug 31, 2026 · disclosed Sep 25, 2026
$15,001.00–$50,000.00
Traded Aug 27, 2026 · disclosed Sep 25, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.