Financials·Asset Management & Custody Banks·$21.6B
Price T Rowe Group I (TROW) is a financial services company that specializes in asset management and custody banking. With a market cap of $22 billion, it plays a significant role in managing investments for individuals and institutions, making it a key player in the financial sector.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a critical measure of a company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.
Revenue
Revenue indicates the overall sales performance and growth of the company, which is essential for assessing its financial health.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
75%
Avg EPS Surprise
+6.36%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.01%
In Q4 2025, TROW reported an EPS of $2.44, slightly below the expected $2.47, resulting in a 5.49% drop in stock price the following day. The company continues to navigate a challenging market environment.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect TROW to report an EPS of $2.36 this quarter, reflecting cautious optimism following a mixed performance in the previous quarter.
Bull Case
If TROW beats EPS estimates, it could signal strong underlying demand for its asset management services, potentially leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear Case
Conversely, if the company misses expectations again, it may raise concerns about its ability to navigate market challenges, leading to further stock declines.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
2.36EPS is a critical measure of a company's profitability and is closely watched by investors.
Revenue
1.9BRevenue indicates the overall sales performance and growth of the company, which is essential for assessing its financial health.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $2.36?
A beat on EPS would indicate strong performance and could boost investor confidence after the previous quarter's miss.
Q2
What insights can management provide about revenue growth in the current market environment?
Understanding revenue trends will be crucial for assessing the company's ability to grow amidst market challenges.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate TROW's ability to adapt to changing market conditions, especially given its historical performance in challenging environments.
Supporting Evidence
TROW has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, with a 75% success rate over the last eight quarters.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.
Recent trends in asset management suggest a rebound in investor confidence that may not be fully reflected in current estimates.
Key Risk
If management provides strong guidance on revenue growth, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as TROW seeks to regain investor confidence after a mixed earnings history.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $2.40 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong demand for TROW's services.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $2.22 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about the company's growth prospects.
Implied Move
±4.5%
Historical Avg
±3.2%
The options market is pricing in a significant move of about 4.5% around the earnings announcement, suggesting heightened investor uncertainty.
Options are pricing ±4.5% while TROW has averaged ±3.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If TROW beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 1.63%, reinforcing positive sentiment.
In-Line / Cautious
An in-line result may lead to a muted reaction, as investors look for management commentary on future growth.
Miss
If TROW misses estimates, the stock could drop by around 4.85%, reflecting ongoing concerns about its market position.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
Apr 27, 2026