Financials·Diversified Capital Markets·$128.0B
UBS Group AG is a global financial services company that provides investment banking, asset management, and wealth management services. As a major player in the financial sector, it plays a crucial role in capital markets and client advisory, making it significant for investors interested in diversified capital markets.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of profitability and financial health, and it helps investors gauge the company's performance relative to expectations.
Revenue
Revenue reflects the company's ability to generate sales and is critical for assessing overall growth and operational efficiency.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
8Q
EPS Beat Rate
100%
Avg EPS Surprise
+78.61%
Avg Stock Reaction
-1.02%
In Q4 2025, UBS reported an EPS of $0.37, exceeding expectations by 48%. However, the stock declined by nearly 6% the following day, indicating market skepticism despite the earnings beat.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect UBS to report an EPS of $0.83 and revenue of $10.3 billion for Q1 2026, reflecting continued growth in a challenging market environment.
Bull Case
If UBS delivers strong earnings and revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its services, potentially leading to increased investor confidence and stock appreciation.
Bear Case
Conversely, if UBS fails to meet expectations or provides cautious guidance, it may raise concerns about its growth prospects, leading to a negative market reaction.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$0.83EPS is a key indicator of profitability and financial health, and it helps investors gauge the company's performance relative to expectations.
Revenue
$10.3BRevenue reflects the company's ability to generate sales and is critical for assessing overall growth and operational efficiency.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.83?
A beat on EPS would reinforce UBS's growth narrative and could lead to a positive market reaction.
Q2
What guidance will UBS provide regarding revenue growth in the current economic climate?
Guidance on revenue growth is crucial for understanding the company's outlook and could significantly impact investor sentiment.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate UBS's ability to capitalize on emerging market opportunities, particularly in wealth management, which could drive stronger-than-expected revenue growth.
Supporting Evidence
UBS has consistently beaten EPS estimates in previous quarters, indicating strong operational performance.
The options market is pricing a larger move than the historical average, suggesting that investors expect significant news.
Recent trends in global wealth creation could favor UBS's wealth management segment, leading to higher revenue.
Key Risk
If UBS reports revenue growth significantly above $10.3 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as UBS navigates a complex financial landscape, and the results will likely influence market perceptions of its growth potential.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.90 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.75 would raise concerns about the company's ability to maintain profitability in a challenging market.
Implied Move
±5.42%
Historical Avg
±4.2%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±4.7% while UBS has averaged ±4.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If UBS beats expectations, history suggests a potential average one-day move of around -1.02%, indicating that even good news may not lead to a significant stock rally.
In-Line / Cautious
If UBS meets expectations but provides cautious guidance, the stock may react negatively as investors reassess growth prospects.
Miss
In the event of a miss, history suggests a potential average one-day move of around -1.02%, indicating a likely downward reaction from the market.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
Apr 27, 2026