Industrials·Air Freight & Logistics·$90.9B
United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global leader in logistics and package delivery, operating in the air freight and logistics sector. With a market cap of $92 billion, UPS plays a crucial role in facilitating e-commerce and supply chain management, making it a key player in the industrials sector.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and this quarter, analysts expect UPS to report $1.05, which will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating profits.
Revenue
Revenue reflects the overall sales performance and demand for UPS's services. A consensus of $21.0 billion will show how well UPS is capturing market share in a competitive environment.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
United Parcel Service (UPS) is a global leader in logistics and package delivery, operating in the air freight and logistics sector. With a market cap of $92 billion, UPS plays a crucial role in facilitating e-commerce and supply chain management, making it a key player in the industrials sector.
EPS Beat Streak
2Q
EPS Beat Rate
75%
Avg EPS Surprise
+7.25%
Avg Stock Reaction
-2.65%
In the last quarter, UPS reported an EPS of $2.38, exceeding estimates by 7.16%. The stock saw a modest increase of 0.22% the following day, indicating a generally positive reception.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, Wall Street expects UPS to deliver solid earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $1.05. Investors are keen to see if UPS can maintain its profitability amid rising operational costs.
Bull Case
The optimistic view hinges on UPS outperforming expectations with strong revenue growth driven by increased e-commerce demand, potentially leading to an EPS beat.
Bear Case
Conversely, if UPS fails to meet revenue expectations or provides cautious guidance, it could signal challenges in the logistics sector, leading to a negative market reaction.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$1.05EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and this quarter, analysts expect UPS to report $1.05, which will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating profits.
Revenue
$21.0BRevenue reflects the overall sales performance and demand for UPS's services. A consensus of $21.0 billion will show how well UPS is capturing market share in a competitive environment.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Can UPS achieve EPS of $1.05 or higher this quarter?
This figure is crucial for assessing UPS's profitability and operational efficiency, and a beat could boost investor confidence.
Q2
What is the revenue outlook for the next quarter?
Guidance on revenue will indicate UPS's expectations for demand and its ability to navigate market challenges, influencing future stock performance.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the impact of UPS's recent investments in technology and efficiency, which could lead to better-than-expected margins.
Supporting Evidence
Historically, UPS has a 75% EPS beat rate, suggesting a strong potential for outperformance.
Recent operational improvements may not be fully reflected in current analyst estimates.
Key Risk
If UPS's revenue growth exceeds $21.3 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating UPS's ability to sustain profitability amid rising costs and competition, making these triggers critical.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $1.10 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and investor confidence.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $1.00 would raise concerns about profitability and market demand.
Implied Move
±2.79%
Historical Avg
±6.6%
The options market is pricing in a relatively modest move of about 2.79%, suggesting that traders expect limited volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±2.8% while UPS has averaged ±6.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If UPS beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests the stock could rise around 0.24% on the day, confirming a positive outlook.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see limited movement as investors reassess future growth prospects.
Miss
Should UPS miss earnings expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 11.31%, reflecting investor disappointment.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
VERIZON COMMUNICATIO
Apr 27, 2026