Post-earnings recap
Reported
Wed, Apr 29, 2026
EPS actual
$1.06
EPS est.
—
EPS surprise
—
1-day move
-1.13%
The earnings report shows that United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. fell short of expectations on EPS, which likely contributed to the stock's decline of 1.13%. Investors may be concerned about the lack of revenue information and guidance, leading to uncertainty about the company's future performance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.06 | $1.20 | N/A |
| Revenue | N/A | $102M | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) operates in the materials sector, focusing on producing lime and limestone products primarily for the construction industry. As infrastructure spending continues to be a key theme in the economy, the company's performance is closely tied to construction activity and demand for building materials.
Last quarter
In Q4 2025, USLM reported an EPS of $1.06, reflecting a solid performance compared to previous quarters. The stock saw a positive reaction, gaining 2.56% the following day.
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
0%
Avg EPS surprise
+0.00%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.18%
Analysts expect USLM to report an EPS of $1.20 and revenue of $102 million for Q1 2026, indicating stable performance amid ongoing construction demand.
Bull case
If USLM exceeds expectations with strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand in the construction sector, potentially driving the stock higher.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company misses its earnings target, it may raise concerns about slowing demand in the construction materials market, leading to a negative stock reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$1.20Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
$102MRevenue indicates the overall sales performance and demand for USLM's products, which is essential for assessing growth.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will USLM's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.20?
A beat on EPS could indicate stronger profitability and operational efficiency, which would be well-received by the market.
Q2
What is the outlook for revenue growth in light of current construction trends?
Understanding revenue growth will provide insights into demand for USLM's products and the overall health of the construction sector.
—
Est. EPS
$1.52
Est. Rev
$3.6B
Impl. Move
±39.2%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the potential for USLM to exceed EPS expectations due to strong regional construction activity that isn't fully reflected in broader trends.
Supporting evidence
The company's historical performance shows resilience even in challenging market conditions.
Options pricing suggests a higher expected move, indicating that investors anticipate significant news or changes.
Recent trends in construction spending may signal stronger demand for lime and limestone products than analysts expect.
Key risk
If the construction sector shows unexpected strength, it could lead to higher-than-expected earnings.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as it reflects the company's ability to capitalize on ongoing construction demand.
Bull confirmed if
Reporting an EPS above $1.20 and demonstrating strong revenue growth would confirm the bullish outlook.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.20 or stagnant revenue growth would support the bearish case.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±7.39%
Historical Avg
±0.8%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±6.4% while USLM has averaged ±0.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.5%
30d HV
36.6%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
33.59%
of float
Insider
62.55%
of float
Holders
329
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
1,666,090 sh · $183.7M
5.81%
93.0%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If USLM beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 3.0%, confirming a strong demand outlook.
In line / cautious
An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, as investors await further commentary on future growth prospects.
Miss
A miss could result in a decline, with historical patterns indicating a potential drop of around 1.06%.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP
759,849 sh · $83.8M
2.65%
1.6%
Renaissance Technologies, LLC
609,011 sh · $67.2M
2.12%
-0.9%
First Trust Advisors LP
488,301 sh · $53.8M
1.70%
10.5%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
457,733 sh · $50.5M
1.60%
0.3%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.