Post-earnings recap
Reported
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
EPS actual
$1.20
EPS est.
—
EPS surprise
—
1-day move
-0.65%
United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) operates in the materials sector, focusing on producing lime and limestone products essential for construction and industrial applications. As a key player in the construction materials industry, its performance can be influenced by trends in infrastructure spending and construction activity.
Last quarter
In Q1-2026, USLM reported an EPS of $1.06, but there were no estimates available for comparison. The stock experienced a slight decline of 1.13% the following day.
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
0%
Avg EPS surprise
+0.00%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.18%
Overall expectations for USLM's upcoming earnings report are mixed, with no analyst estimates available to guide sentiment. Investors are likely to focus on the company's ability to maintain profitability amid fluctuating demand.
Bull case
If USLM can demonstrate strong revenue growth and maintain or exceed its previous EPS, it could signal robust demand in the construction sector, leading to a positive market reaction.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company reports disappointing earnings or shows signs of declining demand, it may raise concerns about its future performance and lead to a negative response from investors.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What will be the EPS for Q2-2026?
EPS is a key measure of profitability, and any significant change could impact investor sentiment.
Q2
How has demand for lime and limestone products changed in the current market?
Understanding demand trends will help gauge the company's growth potential and market positioning.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±18.6%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating the potential for revenue growth driven by increased infrastructure spending, which could positively impact USLM's earnings.
Supporting evidence
The options market is pricing a 4.94% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not align with historical performance.
USLM's previous earnings history shows mixed reactions, suggesting that the market may not fully account for potential upside.
Key risk
If EPS comes in above $1.10, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate revolves around the company's ability to sustain profitability in a potentially fluctuating market.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS exceeding $1.10 would confirm strong profitability and positive market sentiment.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.00 would raise concerns about the company's ability to maintain profitability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±4.94%
Historical Avg
±0.8%
The options market is pricing in a significant move of nearly 5%, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±4.9% while USLM has averaged ±0.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.4%
30d HV
61.1%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Materials
Fade rate: 14 of 30 (47%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Materials in the last 2 years. 14 of 30 faded and 16 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +0.1% (modestly positive historical bias).
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
33.59%
of float
Insider
62.55%
of float
Holders
329
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
1,666,090 sh · $183.7M
5.81%
93.0%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If USLM beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.16%, confirming strong demand and profitability.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further commentary.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of around 1.16%.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP
759,849 sh · $83.8M
2.65%
1.6%
Renaissance Technologies, LLC
609,011 sh · $67.2M
2.12%
-0.9%
First Trust Advisors LP
488,301 sh · $53.8M
1.70%
10.5%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
457,733 sh · $50.5M
1.60%
0.3%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.