Post-earnings recap
Reported
Wed, Jul 29, 2026
EPS actual
$1.98
EPS est.
$1.94
EPS surprise
+2.17%
1-day move
+0.42%
Verisk Analytics, Inc. is a leading provider of data analytics and decision support solutions for various industries, including insurance, energy, and financial services. As part of the Industrials sector, Verisk plays a crucial role in helping businesses make informed decisions through its research and consulting services.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, Verisk reported an EPS of $1.82, exceeding expectations by 3.47%. The stock reacted positively, increasing by 6.53% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+4.53%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.08%
Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about Verisk's upcoming earnings, given its strong track record of beating EPS estimates.
Bull case
If Verisk continues to exceed EPS estimates, it could signal robust demand for its services, leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear case
Concerns about economic conditions or slower growth in key markets could lead to disappointing results, negatively impacting the stock.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What will be the EPS for this quarter?
Given Verisk's history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial in determining market sentiment post-earnings.
Q2
How is revenue growth trending in key sectors?
Understanding revenue growth will help assess demand for Verisk's services and its market position.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±3.5%
Why consensus could be wrong
The market may underestimate Verisk's ability to leverage its analytics capabilities for revenue growth, especially in the insurance sector, which has shown resilience.
Supporting evidence
Verisk has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.
The options market is pricing in a modest move, suggesting a lack of confidence in significant volatility.
Recent trends in the insurance market may not be fully reflected in current expectations.
Key risk
If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could shift sentiment dramatically.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate this quarter revolves around Verisk's ability to maintain its growth trajectory amidst economic uncertainties.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.85 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.75 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about demand and profitability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±5.43%
Historical Avg
±5.1%
The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 5.43%, indicating uncertainty about the upcoming earnings report.
Options are pricing ±5.4% while VRSK has averaged ±5.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.
ATM IV
0.4%
30d HV
37.8%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials
Fade rate: 5 of 24 (21%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 19 of 24 (79%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.6% (modestly positive historical bias).
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$603,424.50
3,535 sh
1 insider
Net
$603,424.50
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 1 open-market trade
$603,424.50
Net selling
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
101.39%
of float
Insider
0.27%
of float
Holders
1,374
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
10,319,602 sh · $1.7B
7.93%
-13.1%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Verisk beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.64%, confirming strong demand.
In line / cautious
If results are in line, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline, with historical patterns suggesting a drop of around 1.20%.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
4
2 buys·2 sells
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$4,004.00–$60,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
4 trades
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Recent Transactions
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $170.70
3,535 sh
$603,424.50
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
8,560,360 sh · $1.4B
6.58%
-5.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
6,314,030 sh · $1.1B
4.85%
-4.1%
Alliancebernstein L.P.
6,008,136 sh · $1.0B
4.62%
-17.0%
State Street Corporation
5,765,954 sh · $972.6M
4.43%
-4.2%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Mixed
Recent Transactions
Traded Aug 18, 2026 · disclosed Sep 10, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Jun 16, 2026 · disclosed Jul 2, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded May 15, 2026 · disclosed Jun 8, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Apr 14, 2026 · disclosed May 8, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.