Consumer Staples·Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail·$1.0T
Walmart Inc. (WMT) is a leading retailer in the consumer staples sector, known for its vast network of stores and e-commerce operations....
EPS
Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and reflects how well Walmart is managing costs and sales.
Revenue
Total revenue gives insight into the company's sales performance and market demand, especially in the retail sector.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
2Q
EPS Beat Rate
88%
Avg EPS Surprise
+4.23%
Avg Stock Reaction
+1.27%
In Q4-2026, Walmart reported an EPS of $0.74, slightly beating estimates. However, the stock fell 1.38% the following day, indicating mixed market reactions despite the positive surprise.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect Walmart to deliver solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $0.66 and revenue of $172.2B. The market is closely watching how the company navigates inflationary pressures and consumer spending trends.
Bull Case
If Walmart exceeds earnings expectations, it could signal strong consumer demand and effective cost management, potentially boosting investor confidence.
Bear Case
A miss on earnings or revenue could raise concerns about slowing consumer spending and increased competition, leading to a negative market reaction.
EPS
$0.66Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and reflects how well Walmart is managing costs and sales.
Revenue
$172.2BTotal revenue gives insight into the company's sales performance and market demand, especially in the retail sector.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will Walmart's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.66?
A beat on EPS would reinforce Walmart's ability to manage costs effectively and could lead to positive market sentiment.
Q2
What are the revenue figures compared to the $172.2B consensus?
Revenue performance will indicate overall sales strength and consumer demand, which are critical in the current economic climate.
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Walmart's resilience in consumer spending, as recent trends show a shift towards value shopping that could benefit the company.
Supporting Evidence
Walmart's strong e-commerce growth could offset any potential declines in physical store sales.
The company's commitment to low prices may attract more budget-conscious consumers amid inflation.
Options pricing suggests higher volatility, indicating that traders expect significant movement that may not align with consensus.
Key Risk
If Walmart's revenue exceeds $174.3B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and highlight stronger-than-expected consumer demand.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating Walmart's ability to sustain growth amid economic challenges, making these metrics crucial for future expectations.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.70 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and consumer demand.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.63 would raise concerns about slowing sales and cost pressures.
Implied Move
±6.58%
Historical Avg
±4.5%
The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, suggesting that investors expect volatility.
Options are pricing ±7.8% while WMT has averaged ±4.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Walmart beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 2.09%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In-Line / Cautious
An in-line report may lead to muted reactions, as management's commentary could drive the stock in either direction based on sentiment.
Miss
If Walmart misses earnings expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 4.49%, reflecting investor concerns about growth.
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime
VIKING HLDGS LTD
May 19, 2026