Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, May 7, 2026
EPS actual
$0.12
EPS est.
$-0.14
EPS surprise
+182.76%
1-day move
+39.18%
Xometry's earnings report showed a strong earnings per share performance, beating expectations significantly. The stock reacted positively, rising by 39.18%, likely driven by the better-than-expected EPS. However, the lack of revenue data and guidance leaves some uncertainty about future performance.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.12 | $0.09 | +182.76% |
| Revenue | — | $188M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
Xometry, Inc. is a technology-driven marketplace for custom manufacturing, connecting businesses with suppliers for on-demand production. As part of the industrial sector, it plays a crucial role in streamlining manufacturing processes, which is increasingly important as companies look to optimize costs and efficiency.
Last quarter
In Q4-2025, Xometry reported an EPS of $0.16, significantly beating estimates, which led to a notable drop in stock price the following day. This performance continues a trend of positive earnings surprises.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+196.18%
Avg 1-day reaction
+14.18%
Analysts expect Xometry to maintain its trend of positive earnings surprises, with a consensus EPS of $0.09 and revenue of $188M. The market is cautiously optimistic about continued growth.
Bull case
If Xometry exceeds expectations, it could signal strong demand and operational efficiency, potentially leading to a stock price increase.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet even the lowered expectations, it may raise concerns about growth sustainability, leading to a negative market reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.09Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a positive outlook.
Revenue
$188MRevenue growth reflects demand for Xometry's services and is critical for assessing overall business health.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Xometry's revenue exceed the consensus estimate of $188M?
Revenue growth is crucial for investor confidence and reflects the company's ability to meet market demand.
Q2
Can Xometry maintain its positive EPS trend with a consensus of $0.09?
Sustaining earnings growth is vital for validating the company's operational strategy and market position.
Est. EPS
$-0.53
Est. Rev
$108M
Impl. Move
±15.7%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Xometry's growth potential, particularly in new market segments that are not fully reflected in current estimates.
Supporting evidence
Xometry's recent expansion efforts suggest a stronger demand than anticipated.
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating a trend that may continue.
Options pricing suggests traders expect a significant move, indicating underlying volatility that could favor a positive outcome.
Key risk
If revenue growth significantly exceeds $188M, it could shift market sentiment dramatically.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's results will be critical in determining whether Xometry can continue its momentum in a competitive market.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.14 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and demand.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.03 would raise concerns about the company's growth trajectory.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±19.63%
Historical Avg
±22.0%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±22.6% while XMTR has averaged ±22.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.
ATM IV
1.6%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials
Fade rate: X of Y (Z%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.8% (modestly positive historical bias).
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$1.9M
18,699 sh
3 insiders
Net
$1.9M
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 22 open-market trades
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
100.39%
of float
Insider
6.90%
of float
Holders
403
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Primecap Management Company
6,636,057 sh · $715.4M
12.98%
2.2%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
History suggests that a strong earnings beat could lead to a stock price increase of approximately 13.9%, confirming positive market sentiment.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
Should the company miss expectations, history indicates a potential decline of around 11.3%, reflecting investor disappointment.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
$1.6M
Net selling
$114,851.18
Net selling
$192,725.18
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $102.55
3,947 sh
$404,778.66
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $105.50
3,466 sh
$365,648.10
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $104.69
1,829 sh
$191,474.17
Oct 2, 2026 · @ $101.39
1,632 sh
$165,474.52
Oct 2, 2026 · @ $105.66
1,334 sh
$140,956.18
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
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13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.