Post-earnings recap
Reported
Tue, Aug 4, 2026
EPS actual
$0.16
EPS est.
$-0.08
EPS surprise
+300.00%
1-day move
+5.34%
Xometry's earnings report shows a positive surprise in EPS, which likely contributed to the stock's 5.34% increase. However, the lack of revenue details and management commentary leaves some uncertainty about the company's overall performance. Investors may be encouraged by the EPS beat but will need more information to assess future growth prospects.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.16 | $0.15 | +300.00% |
| Revenue | — | $215M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Xometry, Inc. is a technology-driven platform that connects manufacturers with suppliers to streamline the production process. Operating in the industrial sector, Xometry plays a crucial role in the trading companies and distributors industry, especially as businesses increasingly seek efficiency and cost-effectiveness in manufacturing.
Last quarter
In Q1-2026, Xometry reported an EPS of $0.12, significantly beating expectations of a loss. The stock surged by over 39% the following day, reflecting strong investor confidence.
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+196.18%
Avg 1-day reaction
+14.18%
Analysts expect Xometry to continue its positive momentum with a consensus EPS of $0.15 and revenue of $215 million. The company has a strong track record of beating earnings expectations.
Bull case
If Xometry can deliver another earnings surprise, it could further solidify its market position and drive stock prices higher, especially given the current industrial demand.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of slowing growth, it could lead to a significant decline in stock value, especially given the high implied volatility.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.15Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
$215MRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand for its services.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Xometry's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.15?
A beat on EPS would reinforce the company's growth trajectory and could lead to a positive stock reaction.
Q2
What insights will management provide regarding revenue growth trends?
Understanding revenue growth will help investors assess the company's market demand and operational efficiency.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±12.7%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Xometry's growth potential, particularly in light of recent strong earnings surprises and industrial demand trends.
Supporting evidence
Xometry has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting stronger underlying performance than analysts anticipate.
The options market indicates a significant move, which could reflect broader market expectations that are not fully captured in consensus estimates.
Key risk
If revenue growth shows signs of acceleration, it could challenge the current consensus outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as it will determine if Xometry can maintain its positive momentum in a competitive industrial landscape.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.19 or higher would confirm strong operational performance and growth.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.10 would raise concerns about the company's profitability and growth prospects.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±24.52%
Historical Avg
±22.0%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, reflecting uncertainty and potential volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±24.5% while XMTR has averaged ±22.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.
ATM IV
0.8%
30d HV
109.3%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials
Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.7%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$1.9M
18,699 sh
3 insiders
Net
$1.9M
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 22 open-market trades
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
100.39%
of float
Insider
6.90%
of float
Holders
403
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Primecap Management Company
6,636,057 sh · $715.4M
12.98%
2.2%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Xometry beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 18.57%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance from management.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline in stock value, with historical data suggesting a potential drop based on past performance.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
$1.6M
Net selling
$114,851.18
Net selling
$192,725.18
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $102.55
3,947 sh
$404,778.66
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $105.50
3,466 sh
$365,648.10
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $104.69
1,829 sh
$191,474.17
Oct 2, 2026 · @ $101.39
1,632 sh
$165,474.52
Oct 2, 2026 · @ $105.66
1,334 sh
$140,956.18
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
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24.9%
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13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.