Post-earnings recap
Reported
Tue, May 5, 2026
EPS actual
$0.27
EPS est.
$0.28
EPS surprise
-3.91%
1-day move
+1.52%
DENTSPLY SIRONA's earnings report showed a slight miss on EPS expectations, which typically raises concerns among investors. However, the stock reacted positively, increasing by 1.52%. This could indicate that investors are optimistic about the company's future despite the earnings miss.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.27 | $0.28 | -3.91% |
| Revenue | N/A | $842M | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc. (XRAY) operates in the health care sector, focusing on dental products and technologies. As a major player in health care supplies, the company is crucial for dental professionals and impacts patient care through its innovative solutions.
Last quarter
In Q4-2025, DENTSPLY SIRONA reported an EPS of $0.27, slightly below the consensus estimate of $0.28. The stock reacted negatively, declining 0.70% the following day.
EPS beat streak
1Q
EPS beat rate
50%
Avg EPS surprise
+4.57%
Avg 1-day reaction
-5.02%
Analysts expect DENTSPLY SIRONA to report modest earnings growth this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $0.28. Investors will be closely watching for any signs of improvement in revenue.
Bull case
If the company exceeds EPS expectations and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal a recovery in demand for dental products, leading to a positive stock reaction.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company misses on earnings or revenue, it may indicate ongoing challenges in the market, potentially leading to a further decline in stock price.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.28Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and helps investors gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
$842MRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will DENTSPLY SIRONA achieve an EPS of $0.28 or higher?
This specific EPS target is critical as it reflects the company's ability to meet or exceed market expectations, which could significantly influence investor sentiment.
Q2
What is the revenue outlook for this quarter?
Understanding the revenue performance will provide insights into market demand and the company's growth trajectory, which are crucial for future forecasts.
—
Est. EPS
$0.01
Est. Rev
$918M
Impl. Move
±9.1%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the potential for a rebound in demand for dental products, especially given recent trends in the health care sector.
Supporting evidence
The stock has historically reacted positively to earnings beats, suggesting that a strong performance could lead to significant upward movement.
Options pricing indicates a higher expected move, which may reflect investor sentiment that the company could surprise to the upside.
Key risk
If the EPS comes in above $0.30, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and shift expectations.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The debate centers around whether DENTSPLY SIRONA can recover from recent earnings misses and demonstrate growth in a competitive market.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.30 or higher, coupled with revenue exceeding $850M, would confirm a bullish outlook.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.22 or revenue falling short of $815M would support a bearish case.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±10.17%
Historical Avg
±9.5%
The options market is pricing in a significant move of over 10%, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±19.6% while XRAY has averaged ±9.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
1.3%
30d HV
37.8%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter miss + options pricing in-line setup in Health Care
Fade rate: 6 of 19 (32%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Health Care in the last 2 years. 13 of 19 (68%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 6.5%, with a raw directional average of +3.1% (modestly positive historical bias).
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
117.65%
of float
Insider
0.65%
of float
Holders
493
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
26,711,079 sh · $228.1M
13.40%
38.8%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If DENTSPLY SIRONA beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise around 16.3%, confirming a positive turnaround.
In line / cautious
An in-line report may lead to a muted response, as investors weigh cautious management commentary against historical performance.
Miss
If the company misses on earnings, history suggests a potential decline of about 5.2%, reflecting ongoing investor concerns.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc.
12,697,269 sh · $108.4M
6.37%
-0.7%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
11,779,851 sh · $100.6M
5.91%
11.9%
AQR Capital Management, LLC
10,458,771 sh · $89.3M
5.25%
163.8%
State Street Corporation
9,285,298 sh · $79.3M
4.66%
28.2%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.