Equity Profile

YPF

YPF Sociedad AnÃ³nima

EnergyIntegrated Oil & Gas$20.8B

May7Thu

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026After Close4:00 PM EDT

YPF Beats on EPS, Stock Down 1.06%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.03	$0.88	+24.85%
Revenue	—	$7081.4B	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

YPF Beats on EPS, Stock Down 1.06%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$1.03	$0.88	+24.85%
Revenue	—	$7081.4B	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

YPF reported a strong earnings per share figure that surpassed analyst expectations, indicating better-than-expected profitability. However, the stock reacted negatively, declining by 1.06%, which may suggest investor concerns about other aspects of the business or future performance. The lack of revenue data and management commentary leaves uncertainty about the company's overall health.

Company Snapshot

YPF Sociedad Anónima is a major player in the energy sector, focusing on integrated oil and gas operations. With a market cap of $17 billion, it plays a crucial role in energy production and supply, particularly in Argentina, where it is a leading energy company.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

$0.88

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for YPF's products and services.

$7,081.4B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-52.58%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.02%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, YPF reported an EPS of -$1.67, significantly missing analyst expectations. The stock reacted negatively, declining by 2.76% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about YPF's upcoming earnings, with expectations set for a modest recovery in EPS and revenue. However, the company has struggled to meet earnings targets in recent quarters.

Bull Case

If YPF can achieve or exceed the consensus EPS of $0.88, it could signal a turnaround in profitability, boosting investor confidence and potentially leading to a stock price increase.

Bear Case

Conversely, if YPF misses expectations again, particularly given its recent track record of significant misses, it could lead to further declines in stock value and investor sentiment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.88

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

Revenue

$7,081.4B

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for YPF's products and services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will YPF's EPS meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $0.88?

Given the company's recent history of missing earnings expectations, this will be a critical indicator of its financial health and operational efficiency.

What factors contributed to the revenue expectations of $7,081.4B?

Understanding the drivers behind revenue projections will help assess demand for YPF's products and the overall market conditions.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for YPF to rebound in this quarter, given recent operational improvements that aren't fully reflected in analyst estimates.

Supporting Evidence

Despite recent misses, YPF's operational metrics suggest a recovery in production efficiency.

The options market indicates a higher expected move, suggesting that traders anticipate significant news that could positively impact the stock.

Recent trends in energy prices may provide a tailwind for YPF's revenue that analysts have not fully accounted for.

Key Risk

If YPF's revenue exceeds $7,081.4B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and lead to a reassessment of the company's growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a series of disappointing earnings, and investors are looking for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.88 or higher would confirm a positive turnaround in profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

Falling short of the $0.88 EPS target would reinforce concerns about YPF's ability to manage costs and drive revenue.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.4%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of over 5%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.4% while YPF has averaged ±2.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

35.5%

Calls (76K)P/C Ratio: 0.36Puts (130K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If YPF beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.47%, confirming a positive trend in earnings.

In-Line / Cautious

If results come in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest the news and management commentary.

Miss

Should YPF miss expectations again, history suggests a decline of about 1.30%, further eroding investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiency improvements and their impact on costs.
2Management's outlook on energy prices and how they might affect future revenue.
3Details on production levels and any changes in demand for YPF's products.
4Insights into market conditions in Argentina and how they may influence YPF's performance.
5Any commentary on strategic initiatives or investments that could drive future growth.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

May4

FANGReported

Diamondback Energy, Inc.

RecapView

May4

OSISReported

Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

$0.88

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for YPF's products and services.

$7,081.4B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-52.58%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.02%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, YPF reported an EPS of -$1.67, significantly missing analyst expectations. The stock reacted negatively, declining by 2.76% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If YPF can achieve or exceed the consensus EPS of $0.88, it could signal a turnaround in profitability, boosting investor confidence and potentially leading to a stock price increase.

Bear Case

Conversely, if YPF misses expectations again, particularly given its recent track record of significant misses, it could lead to further declines in stock value and investor sentiment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.88

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and revenues.

Revenue

$7,081.4B

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for YPF's products and services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will YPF's EPS meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $0.88?

Given the company's recent history of missing earnings expectations, this will be a critical indicator of its financial health and operational efficiency.

What factors contributed to the revenue expectations of $7,081.4B?

Understanding the drivers behind revenue projections will help assess demand for YPF's products and the overall market conditions.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for YPF to rebound in this quarter, given recent operational improvements that aren't fully reflected in analyst estimates.

Supporting Evidence

Despite recent misses, YPF's operational metrics suggest a recovery in production efficiency.

The options market indicates a higher expected move, suggesting that traders anticipate significant news that could positively impact the stock.

Recent trends in energy prices may provide a tailwind for YPF's revenue that analysts have not fully accounted for.

Key Risk

If YPF's revenue exceeds $7,081.4B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and lead to a reassessment of the company's growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a series of disappointing earnings, and investors are looking for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.88 or higher would confirm a positive turnaround in profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

Falling short of the $0.88 EPS target would reinforce concerns about YPF's ability to manage costs and drive revenue.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±5.4%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move of over 5%, indicating that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.4% while YPF has averaged ±2.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.6%

30d HV

35.5%

Calls (76K)P/C Ratio: 0.36Puts (130K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If YPF beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.47%, confirming a positive trend in earnings.

In-Line / Cautious

If results come in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors digest the news and management commentary.

Miss

Should YPF miss expectations again, history suggests a decline of about 1.30%, further eroding investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiency improvements and their impact on costs.
2Management's outlook on energy prices and how they might affect future revenue.
3Details on production levels and any changes in demand for YPF's products.
4Insights into market conditions in Argentina and how they may influence YPF's performance.
5Any commentary on strategic initiatives or investments that could drive future growth.