Energy·Integrated Oil & Gas·$16.9B
YPF SOCIEDAD ANONIMA is an integrated oil and gas company based in Argentina, operating in the energy sector. It plays a crucial role in the country's energy supply, focusing on exploration, production, and refining of oil and gas, which are vital for both domestic consumption and export.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well YPF is managing its costs and revenues in a challenging market.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth will indicate the company's ability to increase sales and market share, especially in the fluctuating energy market.
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EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
38%
Avg EPS Surprise
-47.01%
Avg Stock Reaction
+0.11%
In Q4 2025, YPF reported a significant earnings miss with an EPS of -$1.67, far below expectations. This continued a trend of disappointing earnings results, raising concerns about the company's financial health.
Management Promises & Guidance
Overall, expectations for YPF's upcoming earnings report are cautious, given the recent history of earnings misses. Investors are looking for signs of recovery in profitability and production.
Bull Case
If YPF can demonstrate a turnaround with improved EPS and revenue, it could signal a recovery in operational performance and investor confidence.
Bear Case
Continued losses and failure to meet production targets could lead to further declines in stock price, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
N/AEPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well YPF is managing its costs and revenues in a challenging market.
Revenue Growth
N/ARevenue growth will indicate the company's ability to increase sales and market share, especially in the fluctuating energy market.
Production Levels
N/AProduction levels are critical for assessing operational efficiency and the company's ability to meet demand.
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
What will be the EPS for Q1-2026?
EPS is crucial for understanding YPF's profitability and whether the company is on a path to recovery after recent losses.
Q2
How have production levels changed compared to the previous quarter?
Changes in production levels will indicate operational efficiency and the company's ability to meet market demand, which is vital for revenue growth.
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating YPF's potential for a turnaround, given recent operational improvements and cost-cutting measures.
Supporting Evidence
Historical trends show that YPF has occasionally rebounded strongly after earnings misses.
Management's focus on operational efficiency could yield better-than-expected results.
The energy sector is showing signs of recovery, which may benefit YPF.
Key Risk
If production levels exceed expectations, it could significantly alter the market's perception of YPF's recovery potential.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as it will either confirm a recovery trend or highlight persistent issues in YPF's operations.
Bull Confirmed If
An EPS of $0.50 or better would confirm a recovery in profitability and operational efficiency.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below -$1.00 would reinforce concerns about ongoing operational challenges and financial instability.
Implied Move
±N/A
There is no options market data available to gauge investor sentiment ahead of the earnings report.
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If YPF beats expectations with a strong EPS and positive commentary, history suggests the stock could rise by around +2.47%, confirming a recovery narrative.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations but lack strong guidance, the stock may see muted movement as investors await clearer signals.
Miss
A significant miss could lead to a decline of about -1.30%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's financial health.
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PARAMOUNT SKYDANCE C Class B
May 4, 2026