Equity Profile

ALV

Autoliv, Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$8.9B

Jul17Fri

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) is a leading supplier of automotive safety systems, including airbags and seatbelts....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical indicator of profitability and investor sentiment.

$2.46

Revenue

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to capture market demand and manage costs effectively.

$2.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ALV Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) is a leading supplier of automotive safety systems, including airbags and seatbelts. As a key player in the consumer discretionary sector, the company's performance is closely tied to global automotive production and consumer spending trends.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.65%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.88%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Autoliv reported an EPS of $2.05, exceeding expectations by 15.69%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 6.82% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Autoliv to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $2.46. The market is looking for signs of continued demand in the automotive sector.

Bull Case

If Autoliv beats earnings expectations, it could signal strong demand for automotive safety products, potentially leading to higher stock prices.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses estimates, it may indicate weakening demand or operational challenges, which could lead to a decline in stock value.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$2.46

Earnings per share is a critical indicator of profitability and investor sentiment.

Revenue

$2.8B

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to capture market demand and manage costs effectively.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Autoliv's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $2.46?

A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

What insights can management provide about revenue growth trends in the automotive sector?

Understanding revenue drivers will help gauge future performance and market positioning.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may be underestimating Autoliv's ability to capitalize on increasing safety regulations in the automotive industry, which could drive higher demand for their products.

Supporting Evidence

The recent EPS surprise of +15.69% indicates stronger operational performance than expected.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that investors are anticipating volatility and potential surprises.

Key Risk

If the company reports strong revenue growth driven by new contracts, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Autoliv can sustain its growth amid fluctuating automotive production rates.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.60 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong demand and operational efficiency.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $2.25 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential weaknesses in demand or execution.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.79%

Historical Avg

±5.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.8% while ALV has averaged ±5.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

35.3%

Calls (42K)P/C Ratio: 0.05Puts (1K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 13 of 21 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +2.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Autoliv beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 5.47% on average, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 2.03%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns over demand.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships that could drive revenue growth.
2Management's outlook on automotive production trends for the remainder of the year.
3Insights into cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
4Discussion on regulatory changes affecting automotive safety standards.
5Any commentary on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) is a leading supplier of automotive safety systems, including airbags and seatbelts....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical indicator of profitability and investor sentiment.

$2.46

Revenue

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to capture market demand and manage costs effectively.

$2.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ALV Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.65%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.88%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Autoliv reported an EPS of $2.05, exceeding expectations by 15.69%. The stock reacted positively, gaining 6.82% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Autoliv to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $2.46. The market is looking for signs of continued demand in the automotive sector.

Bull Case

If Autoliv beats earnings expectations, it could signal strong demand for automotive safety products, potentially leading to higher stock prices.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses estimates, it may indicate weakening demand or operational challenges, which could lead to a decline in stock value.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$2.46

Earnings per share is a critical indicator of profitability and investor sentiment.

Revenue

$2.8B

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to capture market demand and manage costs effectively.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Autoliv's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $2.46?

A beat on EPS could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor confidence.

What insights can management provide about revenue growth trends in the automotive sector?

Understanding revenue drivers will help gauge future performance and market positioning.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may be underestimating Autoliv's ability to capitalize on increasing safety regulations in the automotive industry, which could drive higher demand for their products.

Supporting Evidence

The recent EPS surprise of +15.69% indicates stronger operational performance than expected.

Options pricing suggests a significant move, indicating that investors are anticipating volatility and potential surprises.

Key Risk

If the company reports strong revenue growth driven by new contracts, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Autoliv can sustain its growth amid fluctuating automotive production rates.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.60 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong demand and operational efficiency.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $2.25 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential weaknesses in demand or execution.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.79%

Historical Avg

±5.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.8% while ALV has averaged ±5.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

35.3%

Calls (42K)P/C Ratio: 0.05Puts (1K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Autoliv beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 5.47% on average, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 2.03%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns over demand.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new contracts or partnerships that could drive revenue growth.
2Management's outlook on automotive production trends for the remainder of the year.
3Insights into cost management strategies and their impact on margins.
4Discussion on regulatory changes affecting automotive safety standards.
5Any commentary on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.