Equity Profile

ALV

Autoliv, Inc.

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$9.5B

Jul17Fri

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) is a leading supplier of automotive safety systems, including airbags and seatbelts....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating profits.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects demand for Autoliv's products and overall market health in the automotive sector.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ALV Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) is a leading supplier of automotive safety systems, including airbags and seatbelts. As a key player in the Consumer Discretionary sector, the company's performance is closely tied to trends in vehicle production and consumer spending on automobiles.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.65%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.88%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Autoliv reported an EPS of $2.05, exceeding expectations by 15.69%. The stock reacted positively, increasing by 6.82% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of the earnings report, given the company's recent performance and the overall demand for automotive safety products.

Bull Case

If Autoliv continues to beat earnings expectations and demonstrates strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand in the automotive sector and lead to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about demand and profitability, resulting in a negative stock reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS reported for Q2-2026?

The EPS figure will be crucial in determining if Autoliv can maintain its trend of beating expectations and will significantly influence investor sentiment.

How does management view the current market demand for automotive safety products?

Management's insights on market demand will provide context for future revenue growth and profitability, which are key concerns for investors.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for strong demand in the automotive safety sector, particularly given recent trends in vehicle production and safety regulations.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing in a 9.79% move, suggesting higher volatility than historical averages.

Autoliv has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, with a 75% success rate over the last eight quarters.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $1.80, it could lead to a significant reassessment of the company's growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Autoliv can sustain its recent performance amid fluctuating demand in the automotive sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.20 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.80 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about demand and profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.79%

Historical Avg

±5.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.8% while ALV has averaged ±5.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

35.3%

Calls (42K)P/C Ratio: 0.05Puts (1K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Discretionary in the last 2 years. 13 of 21 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.9%, with a raw directional average of +2.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Autoliv beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 5.47%, confirming strong demand and profitability.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 2.03%, reflecting concerns about demand and profitability.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on market demand for automotive safety products.
2Management's commentary on cost management and profitability strategies.
3Insights into supply chain challenges and their impact on production.
4Future guidance on revenue expectations for the next quarter.
5Any changes in competitive dynamics within the automotive safety sector.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) is a leading supplier of automotive safety systems, including airbags and seatbelts....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and generating profits.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects demand for Autoliv's products and overall market health in the automotive sector.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

ALV Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

75%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.65%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.88%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Autoliv reported an EPS of $2.05, exceeding expectations by 15.69%. The stock reacted positively, increasing by 6.82% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of the earnings report, given the company's recent performance and the overall demand for automotive safety products.

Bull Case

If Autoliv continues to beat earnings expectations and demonstrates strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand in the automotive sector and lead to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it could raise concerns about demand and profitability, resulting in a negative stock reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS reported for Q2-2026?

The EPS figure will be crucial in determining if Autoliv can maintain its trend of beating expectations and will significantly influence investor sentiment.

How does management view the current market demand for automotive safety products?

Management's insights on market demand will provide context for future revenue growth and profitability, which are key concerns for investors.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for strong demand in the automotive safety sector, particularly given recent trends in vehicle production and safety regulations.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing in a 9.79% move, suggesting higher volatility than historical averages.

Autoliv has a strong track record of beating EPS estimates, with a 75% success rate over the last eight quarters.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in below $1.80, it could lead to a significant reassessment of the company's growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Autoliv can sustain its recent performance amid fluctuating demand in the automotive sector.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $2.20 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $1.80 would confirm the bear case, raising concerns about demand and profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±9.79%

Historical Avg

±5.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±9.8% while ALV has averaged ±5.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

35.3%

Calls (42K)P/C Ratio: 0.05Puts (1K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Consumer Discretionary

n=30

Fade rate: 8 of 21 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Autoliv beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 5.47%, confirming strong demand and profitability.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted reaction as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 2.03%, reflecting concerns about demand and profitability.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on market demand for automotive safety products.
2Management's commentary on cost management and profitability strategies.
3Insights into supply chain challenges and their impact on production.
4Future guidance on revenue expectations for the next quarter.
5Any changes in competitive dynamics within the automotive safety sector.