Equity Profile

AMCR

Amcor plc

MaterialsPaper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials$19.6B

Aug20Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Amcor plc (AMCR) is a global leader in packaging solutions, specializing in paper and plastic packaging products. With a market cap of $20 billion, the company plays a crucial role in the materials sector, particularly as consumer demand for sustainable packaging continues to grow.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors will closely monitor.

Not available

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market presence and meet customer demand, critical for long-term success.

Not available

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AMCR Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-4.13%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.79%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Amcor reported an EPS of $0.96, matching analyst expectations, which resulted in a 6.83% increase in stock price the following day. The company has shown a consistent ability to meet or slightly exceed earnings expectations in recent quarters.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about Amcor's upcoming earnings report, given its recent performance. However, the lack of analyst estimates adds uncertainty to the expectations.

Bull Case

If Amcor can deliver strong revenue growth and maintain or improve its operating margins, it could signal robust demand for its packaging solutions, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports disappointing earnings or guidance, it may raise concerns about its ability to navigate market challenges, potentially leading to a negative stock reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q4-2026?

EPS is a crucial measure of profitability, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.

How is Amcor addressing challenges in the packaging materials market?

Understanding the company's strategy in a competitive environment will provide insights into its future growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Amcor's ability to adapt to market changes and innovate in sustainable packaging solutions, which could drive stronger-than-expected growth.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a smaller move than the historical average, suggesting potential undervaluation.

Amcor's recent performance has shown resilience, with consistent EPS surprises in the last few quarters.

Key Risk

If Amcor's EPS comes in above $1.00, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment and lead to a re-evaluation of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is weighing Amcor's ability to maintain profitability amid rising costs and competition in the packaging industry.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.00 or higher would confirm strong profitability and potentially drive the stock higher.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.90 would raise concerns about profitability and could lead to a significant sell-off.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±1.84%

Historical Avg

±4.11%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing a relatively modest move for Amcor's stock around the earnings report, suggesting that investors may be uncertain about significant changes.

Options are pricing a smaller move than the stock has historically averaged, indicating a potentially undervalued setup.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

37.9%

Calls (44K)P/C Ratio: 0.83Puts (113K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Materials

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 29 (38%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Materials in the last 2 years. 18 of 29 (62%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.5%, with a raw directional average of +1.7% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Amcor beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a positive reaction with an average move of +3.45%.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience a muted reaction.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with history suggesting an average drop of -0.80% following such outcomes.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-NJThomas H. Kean JrRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches in sustainable packaging.
2Insights into cost management strategies amid rising raw material prices.
3Details on customer demand trends and market share performance.
4Management's outlook on global supply chain challenges.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning in the packaging industry.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Aug19

ELReported

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies Inc.

RecapView

Aug19

FNReported

Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors will closely monitor.

Not available

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to expand its market presence and meet customer demand, critical for long-term success.

Not available

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AMCR Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

-4.13%

Avg Stock Reaction

+0.79%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, investors are cautiously optimistic about Amcor's upcoming earnings report, given its recent performance. However, the lack of analyst estimates adds uncertainty to the expectations.

Bull Case

If Amcor can deliver strong revenue growth and maintain or improve its operating margins, it could signal robust demand for its packaging solutions, leading to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company reports disappointing earnings or guidance, it may raise concerns about its ability to navigate market challenges, potentially leading to a negative stock reaction.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will be the EPS for Q4-2026?

EPS is a crucial measure of profitability, and any significant deviation from expectations could impact investor sentiment.

How is Amcor addressing challenges in the packaging materials market?

Understanding the company's strategy in a competitive environment will provide insights into its future growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Amcor's ability to adapt to market changes and innovate in sustainable packaging solutions, which could drive stronger-than-expected growth.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a smaller move than the historical average, suggesting potential undervaluation.

Amcor's recent performance has shown resilience, with consistent EPS surprises in the last few quarters.

Key Risk

If Amcor's EPS comes in above $1.00, it could challenge the current cautious sentiment and lead to a re-evaluation of growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is weighing Amcor's ability to maintain profitability amid rising costs and competition in the packaging industry.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $1.00 or higher would confirm strong profitability and potentially drive the stock higher.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.90 would raise concerns about profitability and could lead to a significant sell-off.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±1.84%

Historical Avg

±4.11%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing a relatively modest move for Amcor's stock around the earnings report, suggesting that investors may be uncertain about significant changes.

Options are pricing a smaller move than the stock has historically averaged, indicating a potentially undervalued setup.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

37.9%

Calls (44K)P/C Ratio: 0.83Puts (113K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing cheap setup in Materials

n=30

Fade rate: 11 of 29 (38%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Amcor beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a positive reaction with an average move of +3.45%.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience a muted reaction.

Miss

A miss on earnings could lead to a decline, with history suggesting an average drop of -0.80% following such outcomes.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·0 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$1,001.00–$15,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-NJThomas H. Kean JrRep.
1

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches in sustainable packaging.
2Insights into cost management strategies amid rising raw material prices.
3Details on customer demand trends and market share performance.
4Management's outlook on global supply chain challenges.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning in the packaging industry.