Post-earnings recap
Reported
Tue, Aug 4, 2026
EPS actual
$-0.02
EPS est.
$-0.03
EPS surprise
+20.00%
1-day move
+6.82%
Amprius Technologies reported a narrower-than-expected loss per share, which contributed to a positive stock reaction, with shares rising by 6.82%. However, the company did not provide revenue figures or any forward guidance, leaving investors without additional context for future performance. The stock's increase suggests that investors may be encouraged by the EPS beat despite the lack of revenue details.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.02 | $-0.01 | +20.00% |
| Revenue | — | $36M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.
Amprius Technologies, Inc. operates in the industrials sector, focusing on electrical components and equipment. The company is significant for its innovative battery technology, which is crucial for various applications, including electric vehicles and renewable energy storage.
Last quarter
In Q1-2026, Amprius reported an EPS of $-0.04, missing the estimate of $-0.02. Despite the miss, the stock rose 3.69% the following day.
EPS beat streak
1Q
EPS beat rate
88%
Avg EPS surprise
+20.39%
Avg 1-day reaction
+2.02%
Analysts expect Amprius to report a slight loss this quarter, with revenue projections indicating modest growth. The market is watching closely for any signs of improvement in profitability.
Bull case
If Amprius can exceed revenue expectations and narrow its losses, it could signal a turnaround in its operational performance, attracting more investor interest.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue targets or reports wider losses, it may raise concerns about its growth prospects and market competitiveness.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$-0.01Earnings per share will indicate the company's profitability and operational efficiency this quarter.
Revenue
$36MRevenue performance is critical to assess growth and market demand for Amprius's products.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Amprius achieve revenue of at least $36M this quarter?
Meeting or exceeding this revenue target will be crucial for demonstrating growth and market demand.
Q2
Can the company narrow its EPS loss to $-0.01 or better?
A smaller loss would indicate improving operational efficiency and could positively influence investor sentiment.
—
Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±12.7%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Amprius's ability to leverage its technology for growth, especially given recent trends in electric vehicle adoption.
Supporting evidence
The company has a history of surprising on the upside, with a 75% EPS beat rate in recent quarters.
Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for significant market reaction.
Key risk
If revenue exceeds $36M, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance hinges on the company's ability to show improvement in both revenue and profitability.
Bull confirmed if
Revenue growth of at least $36M with EPS loss of $-0.01 or better would confirm the bull case.
Bear confirmed if
Revenue falling below $34M or an EPS loss greater than $-0.01 would confirm the bear case.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±12.17%
Historical Avg
±6.0%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±12.2% while AMPX has averaged ±6.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
1.1%
30d HV
135.8%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Industrials
Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 6.5%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
69.69%
of float
Insider
1.18%
of float
Holders
347
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
11,335,092 sh · $105.8M
8.00%
22.9%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Amprius beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 0.94%, confirming a positive outlook.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty in future growth.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of about 8.92%, indicating investor disappointment.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
5,562,985 sh · $51.9M
3.93%
13.3%
Morgan Stanley
5,105,505 sh · $47.6M
3.60%
61.5%
Two Sigma Investments, LP
4,318,630 sh · $40.3M
3.05%
23.2%
UBS Group AG
4,072,269 sh · $38.0M
2.88%
76.2%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.