Equity Profile

AMTM

Amentum Holdings, Inc.

IndustrialsResearch & Consulting Services$5.0B

Aug3Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ3-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a company in the industrials sector that specializes in research and consulting services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors will closely watch this quarter.

$0.60

Revenue Growth

While specific revenue estimates are not available, any growth in revenue will indicate the company's ability to expand its market presence.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AMTM Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a company in the industrials sector that specializes in research and consulting services. With a market cap of $5 billion, it plays a crucial role in providing solutions for government and commercial clients, particularly in areas like defense, energy, and environmental services.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

86%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.34%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.14%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2 2026, Amentum reported an EPS of $0.60, surpassing expectations by 8.5%. However, the stock fell by 2.41% the following day, indicating some market disappointment despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on expanding government contracts.
Commitment to improving operational efficiencies.
Plans to enhance service offerings in environmental consulting.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as Amentum has consistently beaten EPS estimates but has seen stock declines post-earnings. Investors are looking for signs of sustained growth and contract wins.

Bull Case

If Amentum continues its streak of beating EPS estimates and announces significant new contracts, it could boost investor confidence and drive the stock higher.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it may lead to further stock declines.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.60

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors will closely watch this quarter.

Revenue Growth

N/A

While specific revenue estimates are not available, any growth in revenue will indicate the company's ability to expand its market presence.

Contract Wins

N/A

New contracts can significantly impact future revenue and investor confidence, making this a critical area to monitor.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to last quarter's $0.60?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial for investor sentiment.

How many new contracts has Amentum secured in the last quarter?

New contracts are vital for future revenue growth, and any significant wins could positively impact the stock.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Amentum's ability to secure new contracts, especially given its strong track record in the government sector.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting stronger operational performance than anticipated.

The options market is pricing in a substantial move, indicating that investors expect significant news.

Recent trends in government spending could favor Amentum's service offerings.

Key Risk

If new contract announcements exceed expectations, it could significantly shift the market's perception of Amentum's growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether Amentum can maintain its earnings momentum and secure new contracts.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.65 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.55 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential challenges in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±25.94%

Historical Avg

±2.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±25.9% while AMTM has averaged ±2.5% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

36.5%

Calls (65K)P/C Ratio: 0.26Puts (10K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.6%, with a raw directional average of +1.8% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Amentum beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 0.80% the following day, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If the results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see little movement as investors digest the information.

Miss

If the company misses earnings expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 2.55% the next day, reflecting market disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new contracts secured in the last quarter.
2Any updates on operational efficiencies and cost management.
3Insights into market trends affecting the consulting services sector.
4Management's outlook on government spending and its impact on future revenue.
5Responses to any analyst questions regarding competitive pressures.

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Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a company in the industrials sector that specializes in research and consulting services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors will closely watch this quarter.

$0.60

Revenue Growth

While specific revenue estimates are not available, any growth in revenue will indicate the company's ability to expand its market presence.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AMTM Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

86%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.34%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.14%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q2 2026, Amentum reported an EPS of $0.60, surpassing expectations by 8.5%. However, the stock fell by 2.41% the following day, indicating some market disappointment despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on expanding government contracts.
Commitment to improving operational efficiencies.
Plans to enhance service offerings in environmental consulting.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as Amentum has consistently beaten EPS estimates but has seen stock declines post-earnings. Investors are looking for signs of sustained growth and contract wins.

Bull Case

If Amentum continues its streak of beating EPS estimates and announces significant new contracts, it could boost investor confidence and drive the stock higher.

Bear Case

On the other hand, if the company fails to meet earnings expectations or provides weak guidance, it may lead to further stock declines.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.60

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors will closely watch this quarter.

Revenue Growth

N/A

While specific revenue estimates are not available, any growth in revenue will indicate the company's ability to expand its market presence.

Contract Wins

N/A

New contracts can significantly impact future revenue and investor confidence, making this a critical area to monitor.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to last quarter's $0.60?

Given the company's history of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be crucial for investor sentiment.

How many new contracts has Amentum secured in the last quarter?

New contracts are vital for future revenue growth, and any significant wins could positively impact the stock.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may underestimate Amentum's ability to secure new contracts, especially given its strong track record in the government sector.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting stronger operational performance than anticipated.

The options market is pricing in a substantial move, indicating that investors expect significant news.

Recent trends in government spending could favor Amentum's service offerings.

Key Risk

If new contract announcements exceed expectations, it could significantly shift the market's perception of Amentum's growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether Amentum can maintain its earnings momentum and secure new contracts.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.65 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.55 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential challenges in profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±25.94%

Historical Avg

±2.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±25.9% while AMTM has averaged ±2.5% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

36.5%

Calls (65K)P/C Ratio: 0.26Puts (10K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Amentum beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 0.80% the following day, confirming positive market sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If the results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may see little movement as investors digest the information.

Miss

If the company misses earnings expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 2.55% the next day, reflecting market disappointment.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on new contracts secured in the last quarter.
2Any updates on operational efficiencies and cost management.
3Insights into market trends affecting the consulting services sector.
4Management's outlook on government spending and its impact on future revenue.
5Responses to any analyst questions regarding competitive pressures.