Equity Profile

AMTM

Amentum Holdings, Inc.

IndustrialsResearch & Consulting Services$5.9B

Aug3Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ3-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a company in the industrials sector that specializes in research and consulting services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.60

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its business and capture market share, which is vital for long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AMTM Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a company in the industrials sector that specializes in research and consulting services. It plays a crucial role in providing support for government and commercial clients, focusing on areas such as defense, energy, and environmental services.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

86%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.34%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.14%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Amentum reported an EPS of $0.60, exceeding expectations by 8.5%. However, the stock declined by 2.41% the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on cost management to improve margins.
Expansion into new markets to drive revenue growth.
Commitment to enhancing service offerings for government contracts.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are cautious as Amentum has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, but revenue figures remain uncertain.

Bull Case

If Amentum continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could lead to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of declining revenue, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.60

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its business and capture market share, which is vital for long-term success.

Operating Margin

N/A

Operating margin reflects the efficiency of the company in managing its operations, which is important for assessing overall financial health.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q3-2026?

Given the company's strong track record of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial for investor confidence.

How is revenue growth trending in key segments?

Understanding revenue trends will help investors gauge the company's market position and growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The market may be underestimating Amentum's ability to sustain its earnings growth due to its strong government contracts and cost management strategies.

Supporting Evidence

Amentum has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting expectations of volatility that may not align with actual performance.

The company's focus on expanding service offerings could drive future revenue growth.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly shift market sentiment in favor of the company.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether Amentum can maintain its earnings momentum while also achieving solid revenue growth.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.65 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.55 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues in cost management or revenue generation.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±25.54%

Historical Avg

±2.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±25.9% while AMTM has averaged ±2.5% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

36.5%

Calls (65K)P/C Ratio: 0.26Puts (10K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 9 of 26 (35%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 17 of 26 (65%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 6.5%, with a raw directional average of +2.4% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Amentum beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.80%, confirming the company's strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of around 2.55%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about the company's outlook.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on government contracts and their impact on revenue.
2Insights into cost management strategies and their effectiveness.
3Details on market expansion efforts and new service offerings.
4Management's outlook on economic conditions and their impact on operations.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the consulting space.

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Company Snapshot

Amentum Holdings, Inc. is a company in the industrials sector that specializes in research and consulting services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.60

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its business and capture market share, which is vital for long-term success.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

AMTM Q3-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

86%

Avg EPS Surprise

+8.34%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.14%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Amentum reported an EPS of $0.60, exceeding expectations by 8.5%. However, the stock declined by 2.41% the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on cost management to improve margins.
Expansion into new markets to drive revenue growth.
Commitment to enhancing service offerings for government contracts.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are cautious as Amentum has consistently beaten EPS estimates in recent quarters, but revenue figures remain uncertain.

Bull Case

If Amentum continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could lead to a positive market reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or shows signs of declining revenue, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

$0.60

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue Growth

N/A

Revenue growth indicates the company's ability to expand its business and capture market share, which is vital for long-term success.

Operating Margin

N/A

Operating margin reflects the efficiency of the company in managing its operations, which is important for assessing overall financial health.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q3-2026?

Given the company's strong track record of beating EPS estimates, this number will be crucial for investor confidence.

How is revenue growth trending in key segments?

Understanding revenue trends will help investors gauge the company's market position and growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The market may be underestimating Amentum's ability to sustain its earnings growth due to its strong government contracts and cost management strategies.

Supporting Evidence

Amentum has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting expectations of volatility that may not align with actual performance.

The company's focus on expanding service offerings could drive future revenue growth.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could significantly shift market sentiment in favor of the company.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether Amentum can maintain its earnings momentum while also achieving solid revenue growth.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.65 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.55 would confirm the bear case, suggesting potential issues in cost management or revenue generation.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±25.54%

Historical Avg

±2.5%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±25.9% while AMTM has averaged ±2.5% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

36.5%

Calls (65K)P/C Ratio: 0.26Puts (10K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 9 of 26 (35%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Amentum beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.80%, confirming the company's strong operational performance.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss on EPS could lead to a decline of around 2.55%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about the company's outlook.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on government contracts and their impact on revenue.
2Insights into cost management strategies and their effectiveness.
3Details on market expansion efforts and new service offerings.
4Management's outlook on economic conditions and their impact on operations.
5Any commentary on competitive pressures in the consulting space.