Pre-earnings brief
Reports
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
Est. EPS
$1.33
Est. revenue
$3.2B
Implied move
±11.3%
EPS beat rate
100%
Aptiv PLC is a global technology company that develops advanced automotive parts and equipment, focusing on making vehicles safer and more connected. As a key player in the consumer discretionary sector, Aptiv is positioned to benefit from trends in electric vehicles and autonomous driving technologies.
Last quarter
In Q2 2026, Aptiv reported an EPS of $1.63, surpassing estimates by 14.47%. However, the stock fell 16.62% the following day, indicating market concerns despite the positive earnings surprise.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+10.88%
Avg 1-day reaction
-4.65%
Analysts expect Aptiv to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $1.33 and revenue of $3.2B, reflecting ongoing demand in the automotive sector.
Bull case
If Aptiv exceeds expectations, particularly in revenue growth, it could signal strong demand for its advanced automotive technologies, potentially boosting investor confidence.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company misses estimates or provides weak guidance, it may raise concerns about market competition and demand, leading to further stock declines.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$1.33Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and helps gauge the company's financial health.
Revenue
$3.2BRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and market demand for its products.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will the EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $1.33?
A higher EPS would indicate strong profitability and could boost investor confidence, while a miss could lead to negative sentiment.
Q2
What guidance will management provide regarding revenue growth in the upcoming quarters?
Guidance on revenue growth is critical for assessing future performance and market demand, especially in the competitive automotive sector.
—
Est. EPS
$-0.50
Est. Rev
$257M
Impl. Move
±8.7%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Aptiv's potential for revenue growth driven by increased demand for electric vehicle components, which could lead to a stronger performance than expected.
Supporting evidence
Recent trends in electric vehicle adoption suggest a growing market for Aptiv's products.
The company's focus on software solutions may enhance its competitive edge, which is not fully reflected in current estimates.
Key risk
If the company reports revenue growth significantly above $3.2B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating whether Aptiv can maintain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition and economic pressures.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.40 or higher, along with revenue exceeding $3.2B, would confirm the bull case.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.18 or revenue below $3.1B would confirm the bear case.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±11.33%
Historical Avg
±7.0%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±11.3% while APTV has averaged ±7.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.5%
30d HV
32.4%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
105.47%
of float
Insider
0.84%
of float
Holders
1,039
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
18,049,389 sh · $798.1M
7.68%
-5.2%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Aptiv beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise around 4.65% on the first day, confirming strong demand and profitability.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the market may react cautiously, leading to a muted response as investors await further clarity.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of around 4.65%, as seen in past quarters, raising concerns about the company's competitive position.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
2
2 buys·0 sells
Members
1
Senate only
Est. Notional
$2,002.00–$30,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
2 trades
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
13,858,248 sh · $612.8M
5.90%
-0.0%
Barrow, Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss, LLC
10,796,391 sh · $477.4M
4.59%
107.4%
State Street Corporation
9,488,584 sh · $419.6M
4.04%
-3.1%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
8,930,200 sh · $394.9M
3.80%
-1.0%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Net buying
Recent Transactions
Traded Jul 9, 2026 · disclosed Aug 17, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Jul 9, 2026 · disclosed Aug 17, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.