Post-earnings recap
Reported
Fri, May 8, 2026
EPS actual
$0.13
EPS est.
$0.11
EPS surprise
+21.50%
1-day move
-3.34%
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. reported an EPS that exceeded expectations, which is a positive sign for the company. However, there was no revenue reported to compare against consensus estimates. The stock reaction remained flat, indicating that investors may be waiting for more information before making decisions.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.13 | $0.11 | +21.50% |
| Revenue | — | $714M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) operates in the utilities sector, providing essential services like electricity and water. With a market cap of $5 billion, it plays a crucial role in energy and water distribution, focusing on sustainable and renewable energy solutions.
Last quarter
In Q4 2025, Algonquin reported an EPS of $0.06, exceeding estimates by 39.53%. However, the stock fell 11.63% the following day, indicating market disappointment despite the earnings beat.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
50%
Avg EPS surprise
+12.67%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.02%
Analysts expect Algonquin to report a modest EPS of $0.11 and revenue of $714 million, reflecting stable performance amid a challenging economic environment.
Bull case
If Algonquin can exceed EPS expectations and demonstrate strong revenue growth, it may signal effective management and a robust demand for its services, potentially boosting investor confidence.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet EPS or revenue expectations, it could raise concerns about operational challenges and market competitiveness, leading to a negative stock reaction.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.11Earnings per share (EPS) is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating profit.
Revenue
$714MTotal revenue gives insight into the company's overall sales performance and demand for its services.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will the EPS exceed $0.11 as expected?
A higher EPS could indicate strong operational performance and boost investor sentiment, while a miss could lead to negative reactions.
Q2
What are the revenue figures and how do they compare to the $714 million consensus?
Revenue performance is crucial for assessing demand and growth potential, influencing future guidance and stock performance.
—
Est. EPS
$0.06
Est. Rev
$2.1B
Impl. Move
±11.6%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the potential for revenue growth due to recent investments in renewable energy projects that could drive demand higher than expected.
Supporting evidence
The company has a history of surprising on the upside, as seen in previous quarters.
Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant reaction.
Recent trends in utility demand may not be fully reflected in current estimates.
Key risk
If revenue significantly exceeds $714 million, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter, the focus is on whether Algonquin can maintain profitability and revenue growth amid economic pressures.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.12 or higher would confirm strong profitability and effective cost management.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.09 would raise concerns about operational efficiency and market competitiveness.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±15.67%
Historical Avg
±4.8%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±15.7% while AQN has averaged ±4.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
30d HV
16.6%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
71.37%
of float
Insider
0.03%
of float
Holders
351
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Edgepoint Investment Group Inc.
88,374,416 sh · $447.2M
11.48%
8.5%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Algonquin beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise, confirming strong operational performance.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously as investors await further commentary from management.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with history suggesting an average drop of around 1.57%.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Starboard Value LP
57,189,420 sh · $289.4M
7.43%
Flat
FIL LTD
39,334,903 sh · $199.0M
5.11%
3.2%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
22,524,576 sh · $114.0M
2.93%
0.7%
Bank of Montreal /CAN/
20,655,228 sh · $104.5M
2.68%
2.5%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.