Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, May 7, 2026
EPS actual
$0.07
EPS est.
$0.03
EPS surprise
+159.26%
1-day move
+0.58%
AvePoint reported an EPS of $0.07, which was below the consensus estimate of $0.08, resulting in a significant surprise percentage. Despite this, the stock reacted positively, increasing by 0.58%. The lack of revenue data and management commentary leaves some uncertainty about the company's performance and future outlook.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $0.07 | $0.08 | +159.26% |
| Revenue | — | $116M | — |
No transcript is on record, so the analysis is based on numerical results only.
AvePoint, Inc. is a technology company specializing in application software that helps organizations manage and protect their data in cloud environments. With a market cap of $2 billion, AvePoint plays a significant role in the growing demand for cloud solutions and data governance.
Last quarter
In the last quarter, AvePoint reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly exceeding expectations of $0.03, marking a 133.33% surprise. The stock reacted positively, gaining 1.47% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
5Q
EPS beat rate
75%
Avg EPS surprise
-50.93%
Avg 1-day reaction
-0.69%
Analysts expect AvePoint to report a solid quarter with an EPS of $0.08 and revenue around $116 million. The company has a history of beating earnings expectations, which could influence market sentiment.
Bull case
If AvePoint exceeds the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal strong demand for its services and lead to a positive stock reaction, continuing its trend of outperforming expectations.
Bear case
On the other hand, if the company fails to meet these estimates, it may raise concerns about its growth prospects and lead to a negative market reaction, especially given the competitive landscape.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$0.08Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.
Revenue
$116MRevenue reflects the overall sales performance and growth trajectory of the company, which is crucial for assessing its market position.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will AvePoint's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.08?
A beat on EPS could reinforce investor confidence and indicate strong operational performance.
Q2
How does AvePoint plan to address competitive pressures in the cloud software market?
Understanding their strategy could provide insights into future growth potential and market positioning.
—
Est. EPS
$0.97
Est. Rev
$754M
Impl. Move
±9.1%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating AvePoint's ability to capitalize on the growing demand for cloud solutions, which could lead to stronger-than-expected revenue growth.
Supporting evidence
AvePoint's recent performance has shown a consistent ability to beat EPS estimates, suggesting operational strength.
The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, indicating heightened investor interest.
AvePoint's strategic investments in product development may not be fully reflected in current consensus estimates.
Key risk
If revenue comes in below $116 million, it could challenge the positive growth narrative.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is weighing AvePoint's ability to sustain its growth trajectory amid increasing competition and evolving customer needs.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $0.09 or higher would confirm strong demand and operational efficiency.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.07 could indicate potential challenges in maintaining growth.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±10.47%
Historical Avg
±2.2%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±10.5% while AVPT has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.9%
30d HV
43.8%
Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.
Prior-quarter beat + options rich in Information Technology
Fade rate: X of Y (Z%)
This setup has occurred 30 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.4%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$271,800.00
20,000 sh
1 insider
Net
$271,800.00
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 2 open-market trades
$271,800.00
Net selling
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
68.93%
of float
Insider
19.08%
of float
Holders
344
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Anchor @ 65 Pte. Ltd.
19,910,510 sh · $284.3M
9.41%
Flat
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If AvePoint beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.3%, confirming the company's strong growth narrative.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of about 1.12%, reflecting concerns over the company's growth outlook.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Recent Transactions
Sep 30, 2026 · @ $14.11
10,000 sh
$141,100.00
Sep 23, 2026 · @ $13.07
10,000 sh
$130,700.00
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.
Blackrock Inc.
14,445,859 sh · $206.3M
6.83%
14.3%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
10,758,854 sh · $153.6M
5.09%
-4.9%
Morgan Stanley
8,571,409 sh · $122.4M
4.05%
7.6%
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
6,467,464 sh · $92.4M
3.06%
-6.9%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.