Post-earnings recap
Reported
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
EPS actual
$1.36
EPS est.
$1.16
EPS surprise
+17.34%
1-day move
+5.61%
BJ's Wholesale Club reported better-than-expected earnings per share, which likely contributed to the stock's 5.61% increase. However, revenue figures were not disclosed, leaving some uncertainty. The strong EPS performance suggests the company is managing costs effectively, but investors will need to wait for further details to gauge overall business health.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.36 | $1.16 | +17.34% |
| Revenue | N/A | $5.9B | N/A |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. operates warehouse-style retail stores, offering a wide range of products at discounted prices. As a player in the Consumer Staples sector, BJ's is influenced by consumer spending trends and inflation, making it a key player in the retail landscape.
Last quarter
In Q1-2026, BJ's reported an EPS of $1.10, surpassing estimates by 5.36%. However, the stock fell 8.25% the following day, indicating market concerns despite the earnings beat.
EPS beat streak
4Q
EPS beat rate
88%
Avg EPS surprise
+11.15%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.96%
Analysts expect BJ's to report solid earnings, with a consensus EPS of $1.16 and revenue of $5.9B. The market is watching closely for any signs of consumer spending trends.
Bull case
If BJ's can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it could signal robust consumer demand and effective cost management, potentially boosting the stock.
Bear case
Conversely, if BJ's misses earnings expectations or shows signs of slowing sales, it could raise concerns about its competitive position and lead to a significant stock decline.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$1.16Earnings per share is a critical measure of profitability and will indicate how well the company is managing costs and driving sales.
Revenue
$5.9BTotal revenue reflects the company's sales performance and growth potential, especially in a competitive retail environment.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will BJ's report an EPS above $1.16?
This figure is crucial as it will indicate the company's profitability and efficiency in managing costs, directly impacting investor sentiment.
Q2
What is the revenue growth compared to the expected $5.9B?
Revenue performance will provide insights into consumer demand and the company's competitive position in the retail market.
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Est. EPS
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Est. Rev
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Impl. Move
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Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate BJ's ability to leverage its membership model for higher sales growth, especially in a competitive environment.
Supporting evidence
BJ's has consistently beaten EPS estimates, suggesting strong operational management.
The options market indicates a high expected move, reflecting potential for significant surprises.
Recent consumer spending trends show resilience, which could benefit BJ's sales.
Key risk
If BJ's revenue growth significantly exceeds $6.0B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The market is debating BJ's ability to maintain profitability and growth amid changing consumer spending patterns.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.20 or higher with revenue exceeding $6.0B would confirm a strong bull case.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $1.08 or revenue falling short of $5.5B would support a bearish outlook.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±12.08%
Historical Avg
±5.9%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±12.1% while BJ has averaged ±5.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.3%
30d HV
35.9%
Open-market trades by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders over the trailing 90 days.
Bought
$0.00
0 sh
0 insiders
Sold
$741,901.04
7,856 sh
2 insiders
Net
$741,901.04
Net selling
Most Active Insiders· 2 open-market trades
$456,901.04
Net selling
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If BJ's beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of +0.54%, confirming strong market demand.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further clarity from management.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of around -8.52%, reflecting investor disappointment and concerns about future performance.
The lines on the call that would change the story.
$285,000.00
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $94.09
4,856 sh
$456,901.04
Oct 1, 2026 · @ $95.00
3,000 sh
$285,000.00
Open-market trades only (Form 4 codes P/S). Awards, exercises, and tax-withholding excluded as routine compensation noise.