Equity Profile

BTDR

Bitdeer Technologies Group

Information TechnologyApplication Software$4.3B

May14Thu

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026Pre-Market7:00 AM EDT

Bitdeer Technologies Group Misses on EPS, Stock Up 0.00%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$-0.68	$-0.34	-45.61%
Revenue	—	$183M	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

Bitdeer Technologies Group Misses on EPS, Stock Up 0.00%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$-0.68	$-0.34	-45.61%
Revenue	—	$183M	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.

What It Means

Bitdeer Technologies Group reported a larger-than-expected loss per share, which may raise concerns among investors about profitability. Despite the disappointing EPS, the stock reaction remained flat with no change. The lack of revenue data and management commentary leaves uncertainty about the company's performance and future direction.

Company Snapshot

Bitdeer Technologies Group is a technology company focused on application software, particularly in the cryptocurrency mining sector. With a market cap of $3 billion, it plays a significant role in the growing digital currency landscape, which is influenced by trends in blockchain technology and digital asset management.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is crucial as it indicates the company's profitability and performance against analyst expectations.

$-0.34

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand for its services.

$183M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

14%

Avg EPS Surprise

-406.27%

Avg Stock Reaction

-5.63%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4 2025, Bitdeer reported an EPS of $-0.73, significantly missing expectations, which led to a 13.51% drop in stock price the following day. The company has struggled to meet revenue expectations in recent quarters, raising concerns among investors.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Bitdeer to report a loss again this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $-0.34 and revenue of $183 million. The company has a history of missing earnings expectations, which could weigh on investor sentiment.

Bull Case

If Bitdeer can surprise the market with better-than-expected revenue growth or improved cost management, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Continued losses and failure to meet revenue expectations could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's ability to recover.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.34

Earnings per share is crucial as it indicates the company's profitability and performance against analyst expectations.

Revenue

$183M

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand for its services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Bitdeer report an EPS better than the consensus estimate of $-0.34?

A smaller loss than expected could indicate improvements in operational efficiency and boost investor confidence.

What revenue figure will Bitdeer report relative to the consensus of $183 million?

Revenue performance is critical to assess the company's market demand and growth potential, especially after recent misses.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the potential for revenue recovery as Bitdeer has been investing in new technologies and partnerships that could drive future growth.

Supporting Evidence

Historical trends show that even with misses, stocks can rebound if future prospects are communicated clearly.

The options market indicates a significant move, suggesting that investors are prepared for surprises, either positive or negative.

Key Risk

If revenue exceeds $190 million, it could challenge the current bearish outlook and shift sentiment positively.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results are pivotal for assessing whether Bitdeer can stabilize its financial performance after a series of disappointing earnings.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue growth above $183 million with a smaller EPS loss than $-0.34 could confirm a bullish turnaround.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS loss greater than $-0.34 and revenue below $183 million would reinforce bearish sentiment.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±14.23%

Historical Avg

±13.0%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±14.2% while BTDR has averaged ±13.0% over the last 7 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

2.0%

30d HV

90.0%

Calls (818K)P/C Ratio: 0.30Puts (362K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Bitdeer beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 7.24%, confirming a positive shift in investor sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further clarity from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 9.69%, as seen in previous quarters, further eroding investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new partnerships or technology advancements that could impact revenue.
2Management's commentary on cost management strategies and operational efficiency improvements.
3Insights into market demand for cryptocurrency mining services and how Bitdeer plans to capitalize on it.
4Any guidance on future quarters that could indicate a turnaround in financial performance.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding the company's competitive positioning in the market.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is crucial as it indicates the company's profitability and performance against analyst expectations.

$-0.34

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand for its services.

$183M

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

14%

Avg EPS Surprise

-406.27%

Avg Stock Reaction

-5.63%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Bitdeer can surprise the market with better-than-expected revenue growth or improved cost management, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Continued losses and failure to meet revenue expectations could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's ability to recover.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.34

Earnings per share is crucial as it indicates the company's profitability and performance against analyst expectations.

Revenue

$183M

Revenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand for its services.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Bitdeer report an EPS better than the consensus estimate of $-0.34?

A smaller loss than expected could indicate improvements in operational efficiency and boost investor confidence.

What revenue figure will Bitdeer report relative to the consensus of $183 million?

Revenue performance is critical to assess the company's market demand and growth potential, especially after recent misses.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate the potential for revenue recovery as Bitdeer has been investing in new technologies and partnerships that could drive future growth.

Supporting Evidence

Historical trends show that even with misses, stocks can rebound if future prospects are communicated clearly.

The options market indicates a significant move, suggesting that investors are prepared for surprises, either positive or negative.

Key Risk

If revenue exceeds $190 million, it could challenge the current bearish outlook and shift sentiment positively.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results are pivotal for assessing whether Bitdeer can stabilize its financial performance after a series of disappointing earnings.

Bull Confirmed If

Revenue growth above $183 million with a smaller EPS loss than $-0.34 could confirm a bullish turnaround.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS loss greater than $-0.34 and revenue below $183 million would reinforce bearish sentiment.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±14.23%

Historical Avg

±13.0%

In line with history

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±14.2% while BTDR has averaged ±13.0% over the last 7 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.

Detail

ATM IV

2.0%

30d HV

90.0%

Calls (818K)P/C Ratio: 0.30Puts (362K)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Bitdeer beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 7.24%, confirming a positive shift in investor sentiment.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further clarity from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 9.69%, as seen in previous quarters, further eroding investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new partnerships or technology advancements that could impact revenue.
2Management's commentary on cost management strategies and operational efficiency improvements.
3Insights into market demand for cryptocurrency mining services and how Bitdeer plans to capitalize on it.
4Any guidance on future quarters that could indicate a turnaround in financial performance.
5Responses to analyst questions regarding the company's competitive positioning in the market.