Post-earnings recap
Reported
Thu, May 14, 2026
EPS actual
$-0.68
EPS est.
$-0.47
EPS surprise
-45.61%
1-day move
+11.57%
Bitdeer Technologies Group reported a larger-than-expected loss per share, which may raise concerns among investors about profitability. Despite the disappointing EPS, the stock reaction remained flat with no change. The lack of revenue data and management commentary leaves uncertainty about the company's performance and future direction.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.68 | $-0.34 | -45.61% |
| Revenue | — | $183M | — |
No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based solely on numerical results.
Bitdeer Technologies Group is a technology company focused on application software, particularly in the cryptocurrency mining sector. With a market cap of $3 billion, it plays a significant role in the growing digital currency landscape, which is influenced by trends in blockchain technology and digital asset management.
Last quarter
In Q4 2025, Bitdeer reported an EPS of $-0.73, significantly missing expectations, which led to a 13.51% drop in stock price the following day. The company has struggled to meet revenue expectations in recent quarters, raising concerns among investors.
EPS beat streak
0Q
EPS beat rate
13%
Avg EPS surprise
-356.20%
Avg 1-day reaction
-7.44%
Analysts expect Bitdeer to report a loss again this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $-0.34 and revenue of $183 million. The company has a history of missing earnings expectations, which could weigh on investor sentiment.
Bull case
If Bitdeer can surprise the market with better-than-expected revenue growth or improved cost management, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.
Bear case
Continued losses and failure to meet revenue expectations could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's ability to recover.
Key metrics to watch
EPS
$-0.34Earnings per share is crucial as it indicates the company's profitability and performance against analyst expectations.
Revenue
$183MRevenue figures provide insight into the company's sales performance and overall market demand for its services.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
Will Bitdeer report an EPS better than the consensus estimate of $-0.34?
A smaller loss than expected could indicate improvements in operational efficiency and boost investor confidence.
Q2
What revenue figure will Bitdeer report relative to the consensus of $183 million?
Revenue performance is critical to assess the company's market demand and growth potential, especially after recent misses.
—
Est. EPS
$0.93
Est. Rev
$339M
Impl. Move
±18.4%
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate the potential for revenue recovery as Bitdeer has been investing in new technologies and partnerships that could drive future growth.
Supporting evidence
Historical trends show that even with misses, stocks can rebound if future prospects are communicated clearly.
The options market indicates a significant move, suggesting that investors are prepared for surprises, either positive or negative.
Key risk
If revenue exceeds $190 million, it could challenge the current bearish outlook and shift sentiment positively.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's results are pivotal for assessing whether Bitdeer can stabilize its financial performance after a series of disappointing earnings.
Bull confirmed if
Revenue growth above $183 million with a smaller EPS loss than $-0.34 could confirm a bullish turnaround.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS loss greater than $-0.34 and revenue below $183 million would reinforce bearish sentiment.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±14.23%
Historical Avg
±13.9%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings report.
Options are pricing ±14.2% while BTDR has averaged ±13.9% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.
ATM IV
2.0%
30d HV
90.0%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Bitdeer beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 7.24%, confirming a positive shift in investor sentiment.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further clarity from management.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 9.69%, as seen in previous quarters, further eroding investor confidence.
The lines on the call that would change the story.