Equity Profile

BTDR

Bitdeer Technologies Group

Information TechnologyApplication Software$3.0B

Aug17Mon

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Bitdeer Technologies Group operates in the information technology sector, focusing on application software. The company plays a significant role in the growing cryptocurrency mining industry, providing solutions that cater to the increasing demand for blockchain technology and digital currencies.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if the company can narrow its losses this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

As a technology company, revenue growth is crucial for assessing market demand and operational efficiency.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

BTDR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

14%

Avg EPS Surprise

-406.27%

Avg Stock Reaction

-5.63%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1 2026, Bitdeer reported an EPS of -$0.68, missing expectations and reflecting ongoing challenges in profitability. Despite the miss, the stock rose 11.57% the following day, indicating some investor optimism.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Bitdeer's upcoming earnings are cautious given their recent history of missing EPS estimates. Investors are looking for signs of improvement in profitability and revenue.

Bull Case

If Bitdeer can demonstrate a significant reduction in losses and show positive revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations and fails to provide a clear path to profitability, it could lead to further declines in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and can it show improvement from the last quarter's -$0.68?

Given the company's recent history of losses, any improvement in EPS will be closely scrutinized as a sign of potential recovery.

What insights can management provide about revenue growth and future guidance?

Clear guidance on revenue growth will help investors gauge the company's market position and operational effectiveness.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Bitdeer to improve its EPS this quarter, given the recent volatility in the cryptocurrency market that could positively impact demand for its services.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a ±51.66% move, indicating high expectations for volatility that may not align with historical performance.

The company's recent stock price increase following disappointing earnings suggests that investors may be more optimistic than analysts expect.

Key Risk

If EPS shows significant improvement, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and lead to a reevaluation of the stock's value.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it will either reinforce the narrative of recovery or highlight continued challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS improvement to -$0.50 or better, along with positive revenue growth, would support a bullish outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

If EPS remains at -$0.68 or worsens, it would confirm ongoing struggles and likely lead to a bearish sentiment.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±51.66%

Historical Avg

±13.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±51.7% while BTDR has averaged ±13.0% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

1.2%

30d HV

107.4%

Calls (33.6M)P/C Ratio: 0.38Puts (1.7M)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 28 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Information Technology

n=28

Fade rate: 8 of 28 (29%)

This setup has occurred 28 times across Information Technology in the last 2 years. 20 of 28 (71%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 8.1%, with a raw directional average of +3.2% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Bitdeer beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 12.97% on the first day.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but lack strong guidance, the stock may experience a muted reaction, reflecting cautious sentiment.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations again, history suggests a decline of approximately 6.15%, further impacting investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on revenue growth and how it aligns with market demand.
2Management's commentary on cost management and operational efficiency.
3Insights into future guidance and expectations for the next quarter.
4Details on any new product developments or partnerships.
5Responses to questions about the competitive landscape and market positioning.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and investors will be keen to see if the company can narrow its losses this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

As a technology company, revenue growth is crucial for assessing market demand and operational efficiency.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

BTDR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 7Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

14%

Avg EPS Surprise

-406.27%

Avg Stock Reaction

-5.63%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Bitdeer's upcoming earnings are cautious given their recent history of missing EPS estimates. Investors are looking for signs of improvement in profitability and revenue.

Bull Case

If Bitdeer can demonstrate a significant reduction in losses and show positive revenue growth, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations and fails to provide a clear path to profitability, it could lead to further declines in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and can it show improvement from the last quarter's -$0.68?

Given the company's recent history of losses, any improvement in EPS will be closely scrutinized as a sign of potential recovery.

What insights can management provide about revenue growth and future guidance?

Clear guidance on revenue growth will help investors gauge the company's market position and operational effectiveness.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a ±51.66% move, indicating high expectations for volatility that may not align with historical performance.

The company's recent stock price increase following disappointing earnings suggests that investors may be more optimistic than analysts expect.

Key Risk

If EPS shows significant improvement, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment and lead to a reevaluation of the stock's value.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it will either reinforce the narrative of recovery or highlight continued challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS improvement to -$0.50 or better, along with positive revenue growth, would support a bullish outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

If EPS remains at -$0.68 or worsens, it would confirm ongoing struggles and likely lead to a bearish sentiment.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±51.66%

Historical Avg

±13.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±51.7% while BTDR has averaged ±13.0% over the last 7 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

1.2%

30d HV

107.4%

Calls (33.6M)P/C Ratio: 0.38Puts (1.7M)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 28 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Information Technology

n=28

Fade rate: 8 of 28 (29%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Bitdeer beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 12.97% on the first day.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but lack strong guidance, the stock may experience a muted reaction, reflecting cautious sentiment.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations again, history suggests a decline of approximately 6.15%, further impacting investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on revenue growth and how it aligns with market demand.
2Management's commentary on cost management and operational efficiency.
3Insights into future guidance and expectations for the next quarter.
4Details on any new product developments or partnerships.
5Responses to questions about the competitive landscape and market positioning.