Pre-earnings brief
Reports
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
Est. EPS
—
Est. revenue
—
Implied move
±4.7%
EPS beat rate
100%
Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL) is a leading consumer staples company known for its household products, including oral care, personal care, and home care items. With a market cap of $70 billion, it plays a significant role in the consumer goods sector, which is influenced by trends in consumer spending and brand loyalty.
Last quarter
In Q2 2026, Colgate-Palmolive reported an EPS of $0.99, beating expectations by 4.43%. However, the stock experienced a slight decline of 0.33% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+41.11%
Avg 1-day reaction
+0.08%
Overall, the market expects Colgate-Palmolive to maintain its strong performance with a focus on profitability and revenue growth. Investors are particularly interested in how the company navigates inflationary pressures.
Bull case
If Colgate-Palmolive can exceed EPS estimates and show robust revenue growth, it could signal strong brand loyalty and effective pricing strategies.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it may raise concerns about its ability to cope with rising costs and competition.
Key metrics to watch
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
Expected to be around $1.00.EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and financial health, which investors closely monitor.
Revenue Growth
Expected to show steady growth compared to previous quarters.Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales, which is crucial for sustaining profitability.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What will the EPS be for Q3-2026, and how does it compare to the previous quarter?
Given the company's strong track record of beating EPS estimates, this figure will be critical in assessing ongoing profitability.
Q2
How is Colgate-Palmolive addressing inflationary pressures in its pricing strategy?
Understanding the company's approach to managing costs will be key to evaluating its future performance and market competitiveness.
—
Est. EPS
$6.73
Est. Rev
$4.6B
Impl. Move
±2.6%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may be underestimating Colgate-Palmolive's ability to manage costs effectively, given its strong brand equity and pricing power.
Supporting evidence
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past, indicating strong operational management.
Options pricing suggests a higher expected move than historical averages, which may reflect overblown concerns about inflation.
Recent trends in consumer spending show resilience in household products, which could benefit Colgate-Palmolive.
Key risk
If inflationary pressures are less severe than anticipated, the company's profitability could improve significantly.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
The core debate this quarter revolves around the company's ability to sustain profitability amid rising costs and competitive pressures.
Bull confirmed if
An EPS of $1.02 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating strong operational performance.
Bear confirmed if
An EPS below $0.95 would support the bear case, raising concerns about profitability.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±5.25%
Historical Avg
±2.5%
The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±4.7% while CL has averaged ±2.5% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.2%
30d HV
15.1%
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
86.36%
of float
Insider
0.15%
of float
Holders
2,673
institutions
Top Holders· as of Jun 2026
Blackrock Inc.
69,915,472 sh · $6.1B
8.77%
-3.8%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If Colgate-Palmolive beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 0.08% on average the following day, confirming strong brand loyalty.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.
Miss
If the company misses EPS expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 0.00%, raising concerns about its market position.
House and Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.
Trades
4
0 buys·4 sells
Members
1
House only
Est. Notional
$4,004.00–$60,000.00
disclosed dollar ranges
Most Active Members
4 trades
The lines on the call that would change the story.
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
52,246,333 sh · $4.6B
6.55%
0.1%
State Street Corporation
47,020,966 sh · $4.1B
5.90%
-1.5%
Price (T.Rowe) Associates Inc
27,909,525 sh · $2.4B
3.50%
-17.3%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
24,021,137 sh · $2.1B
3.01%
0.8%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Net selling
Recent Transactions
Traded Sep 2, 2026 · disclosed Sep 25, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Aug 31, 2026 · disclosed Sep 25, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Aug 27, 2026 · disclosed Sep 25, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Traded Aug 19, 2026 · disclosed Sep 1, 2026
$1,001.00–$15,000.00
Filed 30–45+ days after the trade. Treat as positional context, not a leading indicator. Amounts are SEC-mandated dollar ranges, not exact values.