Equity Profile

COTY

Coty Inc.

Consumer StaplesPersonal Care Products$1.9B

Aug20Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Coty Inc. is a consumer staples company specializing in personal care products, including cosmetics and fragrances....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will show how well Coty is managing costs and generating revenue.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

COTY Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Coty Inc. is a consumer staples company specializing in personal care products, including cosmetics and fragrances. With a market cap of $2 billion, Coty plays a significant role in the beauty industry, which is influenced by consumer spending trends and brand loyalty.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-264.36%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.70%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Coty reported an EPS of -$0.03, significantly missing estimates. The stock reacted positively, gaining 5.79% the next day despite the disappointing earnings.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving product lines and expanding market presence.
Commitment to enhancing brand visibility and consumer engagement.
Plans to streamline operations for better cost management.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Coty's upcoming earnings are cautious, given the company's recent history of missing EPS estimates. Investors are keen to see if Coty can turn around its performance.

Bull Case

If Coty manages to beat EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal a recovery and boost investor confidence, potentially leading to a significant stock price increase.

Bear Case

Conversely, if Coty continues to miss expectations and fails to provide a clear path to profitability, it could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's turnaround strategy.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given Coty's recent history of missing EPS estimates, the market will closely watch this figure to gauge the company's financial health.

What is the outlook for revenue growth in key product segments?

Understanding revenue growth will help investors assess Coty's competitive position and future profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be overly pessimistic about Coty's ability to recover, given its recent product launches that could drive sales.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 28.17% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not materialize.

Coty's recent marketing efforts have not yet been reflected in sales figures, suggesting potential upside.

The company's focus on expanding its product lines may lead to unexpected revenue growth.

Key Risk

If Coty shows a significant improvement in revenue growth, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical for Coty as it seeks to regain investor confidence after several disappointing earnings reports.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.05 or higher would confirm the bull case and indicate a positive turnaround.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below -$0.03 would reinforce bearish sentiment and suggest ongoing struggles.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±28.17%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±28.2% while COTY has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

51.5%

Calls (105K)P/C Ratio: 0.13Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 5.3%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Coty beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 5.79%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await clearer guidance.

Miss

Should Coty miss again, history indicates an average decline of about -0.70%, which could further shake investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Management's commentary on cost-cutting measures and their effectiveness.
3Insights into market share changes in the personal care sector.
4Details on consumer trends that may affect future sales.
5Guidance on expected performance in the upcoming quarters.

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AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Coty Inc. is a consumer staples company specializing in personal care products, including cosmetics and fragrances....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS (Earnings Per Share)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will show how well Coty is managing costs and generating revenue.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth reflects the company's ability to increase sales, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

COTY Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-264.36%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.70%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Coty reported an EPS of -$0.03, significantly missing estimates. The stock reacted positively, gaining 5.79% the next day despite the disappointing earnings.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving product lines and expanding market presence.
Commitment to enhancing brand visibility and consumer engagement.
Plans to streamline operations for better cost management.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Coty's upcoming earnings are cautious, given the company's recent history of missing EPS estimates. Investors are keen to see if Coty can turn around its performance.

Bull Case

If Coty manages to beat EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal a recovery and boost investor confidence, potentially leading to a significant stock price increase.

Bear Case

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and how does it compare to previous quarters?

Given Coty's recent history of missing EPS estimates, the market will closely watch this figure to gauge the company's financial health.

What is the outlook for revenue growth in key product segments?

Understanding revenue growth will help investors assess Coty's competitive position and future profitability.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be overly pessimistic about Coty's ability to recover, given its recent product launches that could drive sales.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 28.17% move, indicating expectations of volatility that may not materialize.

Coty's recent marketing efforts have not yet been reflected in sales figures, suggesting potential upside.

The company's focus on expanding its product lines may lead to unexpected revenue growth.

Key Risk

If Coty shows a significant improvement in revenue growth, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical for Coty as it seeks to regain investor confidence after several disappointing earnings reports.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.05 or higher would confirm the bull case and indicate a positive turnaround.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below -$0.03 would reinforce bearish sentiment and suggest ongoing struggles.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±28.17%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±28.2% while COTY has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

51.5%

Calls (105K)P/C Ratio: 0.13Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Coty beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 5.79%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await clearer guidance.

Miss

Should Coty miss again, history indicates an average decline of about -0.70%, which could further shake investor confidence.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Management's commentary on cost-cutting measures and their effectiveness.
3Insights into market share changes in the personal care sector.
4Details on consumer trends that may affect future sales.
5Guidance on expected performance in the upcoming quarters.