Equity Profile

COTY

Coty Inc.

Consumer StaplesPersonal Care Products$2.0B

Aug20Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Coty Inc. is a global leader in beauty and personal care products, offering a wide range of cosmetics, skincare, fragrances, and hair color....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability, and investors will be looking for signs of improvement after recent misses.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will indicate how well Coty is performing in the competitive personal care market, especially in light of changing consumer preferences.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

COTY Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Coty Inc. is a global leader in beauty and personal care products, offering a wide range of cosmetics, skincare, fragrances, and hair color. As a part of the consumer staples sector, Coty plays a significant role in the daily lives of consumers, especially as spending on personal care products remains resilient even during economic fluctuations.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-264.36%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.70%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Coty reported an EPS of -$0.03, significantly missing expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 5.79% the following day despite the disappointing results.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving product lines and expanding market share.
Commitment to enhancing brand visibility and consumer engagement.
Plans to streamline operations to improve profitability.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Coty's upcoming earnings are cautious, especially given the company's recent history of missing EPS estimates. Investors are looking for any signs of recovery or growth.

Bull Case

If Coty can show a turnaround in EPS and revenue growth, it could signal a strong recovery, leading to increased investor confidence and stock appreciation.

Bear Case

Continued misses on earnings and revenue could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's ability to execute its turnaround strategy.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Coty report an EPS that meets or exceeds $0.00?

Given the company's recent history of losses, a positive EPS would indicate a significant turnaround and could boost investor confidence.

What specific revenue growth rates can Coty provide for its key product lines?

Understanding revenue growth in specific segments will help gauge the effectiveness of Coty's strategies and its ability to compete in the market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be overly pessimistic about Coty's ability to recover, as recent product launches and marketing efforts could lead to better-than-expected consumer engagement.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 28.17% move, indicating high expectations for volatility.

Coty's recent marketing initiatives may not yet be fully reflected in analyst estimates.

The stock has historically reacted positively to any signs of revenue stabilization.

Key Risk

If Coty can demonstrate any positive revenue growth, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results are critical as they will indicate whether Coty can stabilize its financial performance after a series of disappointing earnings.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.00 or better would confirm a positive shift in Coty's financial performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS of less than -$0.03 would reinforce concerns about Coty's ongoing struggles.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±28.17%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±28.2% while COTY has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

51.5%

Calls (105K)P/C Ratio: 0.13Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Consumer Staples in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 5.3%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Coty beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 5.3%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further clarity from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 0.7%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on product line performance and consumer reception.
2Details on cost-cutting measures and their impact on profitability.
3Insights into market share trends in key segments.
4Management's outlook on future growth and strategic initiatives.
5Responses to competitive pressures in the personal care industry.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

More Earnings This Week

5 Reports

Fabrinet

Company Snapshot

Coty Inc. is a global leader in beauty and personal care products, offering a wide range of cosmetics, skincare, fragrances, and hair color....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of a company's profitability, and investors will be looking for signs of improvement after recent misses.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will indicate how well Coty is performing in the competitive personal care market, especially in light of changing consumer preferences.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

COTY Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-264.36%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.70%

Last Quarter Recap

In the last quarter, Coty reported an EPS of -$0.03, significantly missing expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 5.79% the following day despite the disappointing results.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving product lines and expanding market share.
Commitment to enhancing brand visibility and consumer engagement.
Plans to streamline operations to improve profitability.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Coty's upcoming earnings are cautious, especially given the company's recent history of missing EPS estimates. Investors are looking for any signs of recovery or growth.

Bull Case

If Coty can show a turnaround in EPS and revenue growth, it could signal a strong recovery, leading to increased investor confidence and stock appreciation.

Bear Case

Continued misses on earnings and revenue could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's ability to execute its turnaround strategy.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Coty report an EPS that meets or exceeds $0.00?

Given the company's recent history of losses, a positive EPS would indicate a significant turnaround and could boost investor confidence.

What specific revenue growth rates can Coty provide for its key product lines?

Understanding revenue growth in specific segments will help gauge the effectiveness of Coty's strategies and its ability to compete in the market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be overly pessimistic about Coty's ability to recover, as recent product launches and marketing efforts could lead to better-than-expected consumer engagement.

Supporting Evidence

Options are pricing a 28.17% move, indicating high expectations for volatility.

Coty's recent marketing initiatives may not yet be fully reflected in analyst estimates.

The stock has historically reacted positively to any signs of revenue stabilization.

Key Risk

If Coty can demonstrate any positive revenue growth, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's results are critical as they will indicate whether Coty can stabilize its financial performance after a series of disappointing earnings.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.00 or better would confirm a positive shift in Coty's financial performance.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS of less than -$0.03 would reinforce concerns about Coty's ongoing struggles.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±28.17%

Historical Avg

±2.2%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±28.2% while COTY has averaged ±2.2% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.8%

30d HV

51.5%

Calls (105K)P/C Ratio: 0.13Puts (4K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Consumer Staples

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Coty beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by an average of 5.3%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further clarity from management.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 0.7%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on product line performance and consumer reception.
2Details on cost-cutting measures and their impact on profitability.
3Insights into market share trends in key segments.
4Management's outlook on future growth and strategic initiatives.
5Responses to competitive pressures in the personal care industry.