Equity Profile

DAN

Dana Incorporated

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$2.9B

Aug4Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2025Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Dana Incorporated (DAN) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, providing essential components for vehicles. With a market cap of $3 billion, the company is influenced by trends in consumer spending and the automotive industry's shift towards electric vehicles and sustainability.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and will show how well Dana is managing costs and generating income.

$0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in a competitive market.

$1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2025, Dana reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly missing the estimate of $0.26, which raised concerns about its profitability. The stock reacted positively the next day, gaining 7.64%, possibly due to market adjustments to lower expectations.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Dana's upcoming earnings, with expectations for a modest recovery in EPS and revenue. However, given the company's recent performance, there is a significant level of uncertainty.

Bull Case

If Dana can exceed the EPS estimate of $0.44, it may signal a turnaround in profitability and boost investor confidence, potentially leading to a strong stock performance.

Bear Case

A continued trend of missing earnings expectations could further erode investor trust, leading to a decline in stock price and heightened concerns about the company's operational efficiency.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.44

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and will show how well Dana is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.8B

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in a competitive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.44?

A positive surprise in EPS could indicate improved operational efficiency and profitability, which is critical for restoring investor confidence.

What is the revenue outlook for the upcoming quarter, particularly in light of recent market trends?

Understanding revenue performance will help gauge demand for Dana's products and the overall health of the automotive parts sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Dana's ability to recover, as recent operational changes and cost management efforts could yield better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

Dana has a history of surprising the market positively when expectations are low, as seen in previous quarters.

The options market indicates a significant move, suggesting that traders believe there is potential for a surprise.

Recent trends in the automotive sector show a shift towards increased demand for parts, which Dana could capitalize on.

Key Risk

If Dana's revenue comes in significantly above $1.9B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate centers around whether Dana can rebound from recent earnings misses and demonstrate stronger financial health.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating a strong recovery in profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 would support the bear case, suggesting ongoing struggles in the company's financial performance.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.3%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±13.3% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

39.8%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.97Puts (3K)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 3.6%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await clearer guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 2.3%, reinforcing concerns about the company's operational challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management initiatives and their impact on profitability.
2Insights into demand trends for Dana's products in the automotive market.
3Management's commentary on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.
4Guidance on future revenue expectations and market conditions.
5Any strategic initiatives that may enhance competitive positioning.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and will show how well Dana is managing costs and generating income.

$0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in a competitive market.

$1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Dana can exceed the EPS estimate of $0.44, it may signal a turnaround in profitability and boost investor confidence, potentially leading to a strong stock performance.

Bear Case

A continued trend of missing earnings expectations could further erode investor trust, leading to a decline in stock price and heightened concerns about the company's operational efficiency.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.44

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and will show how well Dana is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.8B

Revenue figures will provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in a competitive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.44?

A positive surprise in EPS could indicate improved operational efficiency and profitability, which is critical for restoring investor confidence.

What is the revenue outlook for the upcoming quarter, particularly in light of recent market trends?

Understanding revenue performance will help gauge demand for Dana's products and the overall health of the automotive parts sector.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Dana's ability to recover, as recent operational changes and cost management efforts could yield better-than-expected results.

Supporting Evidence

Dana has a history of surprising the market positively when expectations are low, as seen in previous quarters.

The options market indicates a significant move, suggesting that traders believe there is potential for a surprise.

Recent trends in the automotive sector show a shift towards increased demand for parts, which Dana could capitalize on.

Key Risk

If Dana's revenue comes in significantly above $1.9B, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate centers around whether Dana can rebound from recent earnings misses and demonstrate stronger financial health.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or higher would confirm the bull case, indicating a strong recovery in profitability.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 would support the bear case, suggesting ongoing struggles in the company's financial performance.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.3%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors anticipate volatility around the earnings announcement.

Options are pricing ±13.3% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

39.8%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.97Puts (3K)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by about 3.6%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see a muted reaction as investors await clearer guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of around 2.3%, reinforcing concerns about the company's operational challenges.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management initiatives and their impact on profitability.
2Insights into demand trends for Dana's products in the automotive market.
3Management's commentary on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.
4Guidance on future revenue expectations and market conditions.
5Any strategic initiatives that may enhance competitive positioning.