Equity Profile

DAN

Dana Incorporated

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$3.3B

Aug4Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2025Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Dana Incorporated (DAN) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, providing essential components for vehicles. As consumer spending fluctuates and the automotive industry evolves, Dana's performance can reflect broader trends in vehicle manufacturing and maintenance.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and reflects how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in the automotive market.

$1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3 2025, Dana reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly missing the expected $0.26. The stock reacted positively, increasing by 7.64% the following day, despite the disappointing earnings.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiency.
Commitment to enhancing product offerings in electric vehicle components.
Plans to expand market presence in emerging markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Dana's upcoming earnings, with expectations for a slight recovery in EPS and revenue. However, past performance has shown significant volatility, leading to mixed sentiments.

Bull Case

If Dana meets or exceeds the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal a turnaround in performance, boosting investor confidence and stock price.

Bear Case

A continuation of the recent trend of missing earnings estimates could lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.44

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and reflects how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.8B

Revenue figures provide insight into the overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in the automotive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana's EPS meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $0.44?

This number will be crucial in determining if the company is on a recovery path or continuing its disappointing trend.

What are the revenue expectations for the upcoming quarter, particularly in the context of electric vehicle components?

Given the industry's shift towards electric vehicles, revenue from this segment could indicate Dana's ability to adapt and grow.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Dana's ability to recover, particularly in the growing electric vehicle market, where demand for parts is increasing.

Supporting Evidence

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant surprise.

Recent operational improvements may not be fully reflected in analyst estimates, leading to a potential upside.

The company's commitments to expanding its electric vehicle component offerings could drive unexpected revenue growth.

Key Risk

If Dana's revenue from electric vehicle components exceeds expectations, it could shift the narrative significantly.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether Dana can stabilize its earnings and capitalize on emerging trends in the automotive sector.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.44 or higher, alongside revenue of at least $1.8B, would confirm a positive turnaround.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 or revenue falling short of $1.8B would reinforce concerns about ongoing operational challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.3%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect notable volatility surrounding the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±13.3% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

39.8%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.97Puts (3K)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +3.64%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of -2.28%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on operational efficiency improvements and their impact on costs.
2Details on revenue growth from electric vehicle components.
3Any commentary on market conditions affecting sales.
4Insights into future guidance and strategic initiatives.
5Management's outlook on consumer demand trends.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and reflects how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

$0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into the overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in the automotive market.

$1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3 2025, Dana reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly missing the expected $0.26. The stock reacted positively, increasing by 7.64% the following day, despite the disappointing earnings.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on improving operational efficiency.
Commitment to enhancing product offerings in electric vehicle components.
Plans to expand market presence in emerging markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Dana meets or exceeds the EPS and revenue estimates, it could signal a turnaround in performance, boosting investor confidence and stock price.

Bear Case

A continuation of the recent trend of missing earnings estimates could lead to further declines in stock price and investor sentiment.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.44

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and reflects how well the company is managing its costs and generating income.

Revenue

$1.8B

Revenue figures provide insight into the overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in the automotive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana's EPS meet or exceed the consensus estimate of $0.44?

This number will be crucial in determining if the company is on a recovery path or continuing its disappointing trend.

What are the revenue expectations for the upcoming quarter, particularly in the context of electric vehicle components?

Given the industry's shift towards electric vehicles, revenue from this segment could indicate Dana's ability to adapt and grow.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Dana's ability to recover, particularly in the growing electric vehicle market, where demand for parts is increasing.

Supporting Evidence

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a significant surprise.

Recent operational improvements may not be fully reflected in analyst estimates, leading to a potential upside.

The company's commitments to expanding its electric vehicle component offerings could drive unexpected revenue growth.

Key Risk

If Dana's revenue from electric vehicle components exceeds expectations, it could shift the narrative significantly.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around whether Dana can stabilize its earnings and capitalize on emerging trends in the automotive sector.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving an EPS of $0.44 or higher, alongside revenue of at least $1.8B, would confirm a positive turnaround.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 or revenue falling short of $1.8B would reinforce concerns about ongoing operational challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.3%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that traders expect notable volatility surrounding the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±13.3% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

39.8%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.97Puts (3K)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around +3.64%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns indicating an average drop of -2.28%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on operational efficiency improvements and their impact on costs.
2Details on revenue growth from electric vehicle components.
3Any commentary on market conditions affecting sales.
4Insights into future guidance and strategic initiatives.
5Management's outlook on consumer demand trends.