Equity Profile

DAN

Dana Incorporated

Consumer DiscretionaryAutomotive Parts & Equipment$3.8B

Aug4Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2025Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Dana Incorporated (DAN) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on providing innovative solutions for vehicle manufacturers. With a market cap of $4 billion, the company is influenced by trends in consumer spending and the automotive industry, including shifts towards electric vehicles and sustainability.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and will show how well Dana has managed costs and revenues this quarter.

$0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in a competitive market.

$1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2025, Dana reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly missing the estimate of $0.26, which raised concerns about its profitability. Despite the disappointing results, the stock rose by 7.64% the following day, indicating some investor optimism.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect Dana to report an EPS of $0.44 and revenue of $1.8 billion for Q4-2025, reflecting cautious optimism following recent performance. The market is closely watching for any signs of recovery after a series of earnings misses.

Bull Case

If Dana can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a turnaround in its financial performance, boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Continued earnings misses or weak guidance could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's ability to recover.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.44

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and will show how well Dana has managed costs and revenues this quarter.

Revenue

$1.8B

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in a competitive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.44?

A positive EPS surprise could indicate improved profitability and boost investor confidence after recent misses.

What guidance will management provide for revenue growth moving forward?

Clear guidance on revenue expectations will be crucial for assessing the company's outlook and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Dana's potential for a rebound, given the recent uptick in automotive demand and cost-cutting measures.

Supporting Evidence

Despite recent misses, the stock has shown resilience with positive next-day reactions.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.

The automotive sector is experiencing a recovery, which could benefit Dana's sales.

Key Risk

If Dana's revenue exceeds $1.9 billion, it could challenge the bearish outlook and shift sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Dana can turn around its recent performance after a series of disappointing earnings.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or higher would confirm a strong recovery and positive momentum.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 would reinforce concerns about ongoing profitability issues.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.34%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±13.3% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

39.8%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.97Puts (3K)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, the stock could rise by around 3.64%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await more clarity on future guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.28%, further eroding investor confidence in the company's recovery prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
2Details on sales performance in key markets, particularly in electric vehicle components.
3Management's outlook on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.
4Insights into customer demand trends and order backlog.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning within the automotive parts industry.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and will show how well Dana has managed costs and revenues this quarter.

$0.44

Revenue

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in a competitive market.

$1.8B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

DAN Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

25%

Avg EPS Surprise

-244.76%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.80%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Dana can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a turnaround in its financial performance, boosting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Continued earnings misses or weak guidance could lead to further declines in stock price, as investors may lose faith in the company's ability to recover.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.44

Earnings per share is a crucial indicator of profitability and will show how well Dana has managed costs and revenues this quarter.

Revenue

$1.8B

Revenue figures provide insight into overall sales performance and demand for Dana's products in a competitive market.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Dana's EPS exceed the consensus estimate of $0.44?

A positive EPS surprise could indicate improved profitability and boost investor confidence after recent misses.

What guidance will management provide for revenue growth moving forward?

Clear guidance on revenue expectations will be crucial for assessing the company's outlook and market position.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating Dana's potential for a rebound, given the recent uptick in automotive demand and cost-cutting measures.

Supporting Evidence

Despite recent misses, the stock has shown resilience with positive next-day reactions.

Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.

The automotive sector is experiencing a recovery, which could benefit Dana's sales.

Key Risk

If Dana's revenue exceeds $1.9 billion, it could challenge the bearish outlook and shift sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is debating whether Dana can turn around its recent performance after a series of disappointing earnings.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $0.50 or higher would confirm a strong recovery and positive momentum.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $0.40 would reinforce concerns about ongoing profitability issues.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±13.34%

Historical Avg

±6.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±13.3% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.5%

30d HV

39.8%

Calls (4K)P/C Ratio: 1.97Puts (3K)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders trimming

Institutional

104.78%

of float

Insider

1.52%

of float

Holders

416

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Dana beats expectations, the stock could rise by around 3.64%, confirming a positive turnaround narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see muted movement as investors await more clarity on future guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of about 2.28%, further eroding investor confidence in the company's recovery prospects.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on cost management strategies and their impact on profitability.
2Details on sales performance in key markets, particularly in electric vehicle components.
3Management's outlook on supply chain challenges and how they are being addressed.
4Insights into customer demand trends and order backlog.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning within the automotive parts industry.