Equity Profile
Pre-Earnings Brief
Dana Incorporated (DAN) is a key player in the automotive parts and equipment sector, focusing on providing solutions for vehicle manufacturers. With a market cap of $4 billion, the company is influenced by trends in consumer spending and the automotive industry's shift towards electric vehicles and advanced technologies.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and this quarter's consensus reflects expectations for a recovery after recent misses.
Revenue
Revenue figures will indicate overall demand for Dana's products and how well the company is navigating market challenges.
Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.
EPS Beat Streak
0Q
EPS Beat Rate
25%
Avg EPS Surprise
-244.76%
Avg Stock Reaction
-0.80%
In Q3-2025, Dana reported an EPS of $0.07, significantly missing the estimate of $0.26. Despite the disappointing results, the stock rose 7.64% the following day, indicating some investor optimism.
Management Promises & Guidance
Analysts expect Dana to report improved earnings this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $0.44. Investors are hopeful that the company can recover from previous earnings misses and show signs of growth.
Bull Case
If Dana meets or exceeds the EPS estimate, it could signal a turnaround in profitability and boost investor confidence, potentially leading to a significant stock price increase.
Bear Case
Conversely, if Dana fails to meet expectations again, it may raise concerns about the company's ability to adapt to market changes, leading to a negative reaction in the stock price.
Earnings Per Share (EPS)
$0.44EPS is a critical measure of profitability, and this quarter's consensus reflects expectations for a recovery after recent misses.
Revenue
$1.8BRevenue figures will indicate overall demand for Dana's products and how well the company is navigating market challenges.
Expectations
The print will turn on these two things.
Q1
Will Dana achieve an EPS of at least $0.44 this quarter?
Meeting or exceeding this EPS target is crucial for restoring investor confidence after a series of misses.
Q2
What are the revenue figures and how do they compare to the $1.8 billion consensus?
Revenue performance will provide insight into demand for Dana's products and the overall health of the business.
Edge
Why consensus could be wrong
The consensus may underestimate Dana's ability to rebound, as recent investments in technology and efficiency improvements could yield better-than-expected results.
Supporting Evidence
The stock has shown resilience with positive reactions following previous earnings misses, indicating potential for recovery.
Options pricing suggests a larger move than historical averages, hinting at market expectations for a significant shift.
Recent industry trends towards electric vehicles may benefit Dana's product offerings more than analysts anticipate.
Key Risk
If Dana's revenue comes in above $1.9 billion, it could challenge the bearish sentiment and shift market perception.
Edge
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance is critical as it follows a pattern of earnings misses, and the market is looking for signs of recovery.
Bull Confirmed If
Achieving an EPS of $0.44 or better, along with revenue hitting or exceeding $1.8 billion, would confirm the bull case.
Bear Confirmed If
An EPS below $0.40 and revenue under $1.8 billion would support the bear case.
Pre-Earnings Positioning
Implied Move
±8.63%
Historical Avg
±6.1%
The options market is pricing in a significant move around the earnings report, suggesting that traders expect volatility based on the results.
Options are pricing ±18.5% while DAN has averaged ±6.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.
ATM IV
0.4%
30d HV
41.0%
Edge
Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.
Institutional
104.78%
of float
Insider
1.52%
of float
Holders
416
institutions
Top Holders· as of Dec 2025
Blackrock Inc.
18,040,957 sh · $702.3M
16.47%
-9.5%
Vanguard Group Inc
14,310,131 sh · $557.1M
13.06%
-11.7%
Dimensional Fund Advisors LP
8,427,780 sh · $328.1M
7.69%
-0.9%
American Century Companies Inc
5,896,662 sh · $229.6M
5.38%
-6.6%
Millennium Management Llc
5,165,957 sh · $201.1M
4.72%
39.8%
13F filings updated quarterly. Position deltas show change in shares vs. the prior quarter.
Preparation
Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.
Beat & Raise
If Dana beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 3.6%, confirming a positive outlook.
In-Line / Cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may see limited movement as investors await further clarity from management.
Miss
A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 2.3%, reflecting ongoing concerns about the company's performance.
Preparation
AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.
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