Equity Profile

KNTK

Kinetik Holdings Inc.

EnergyOil & Gas Storage & Transportation$3.7B

Aug5Wed

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026After Close5:00 PM EDT

Company Snapshot

Kinetik Holdings Inc. operates in the energy sector, focusing on oil and gas storage and transportation....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will help investors gauge financial health this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will provide insights into the company's operational performance and demand for its services.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

KNTK Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Kinetik Holdings Inc. operates in the energy sector, focusing on oil and gas storage and transportation. With a market cap of $4 billion, the company plays a crucial role in the energy supply chain, which is vital for both domestic and international markets.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

+127.18%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.11%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Kinetik reported an EPS of -$0.07, significantly missing the expected $0.16. Following this disappointing result, the stock dropped by 4.42% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Kinetik's upcoming earnings are mixed, given the recent disappointing performance and lack of analyst estimates.

Bull Case

If Kinetik can show a strong recovery in EPS and revenue, it may indicate improved operational efficiency and market demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations, it could further erode investor confidence and lead to a decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and will it meet or exceed expectations?

Given the significant EPS miss last quarter, investors will be closely watching for any signs of recovery or continued struggles.

How has revenue changed compared to previous quarters?

Revenue trends will be critical in assessing the company's operational performance and market demand.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a recovery in Kinetik's operations, especially given the volatility in the energy sector.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a 3.63% move, suggesting uncertainty that may not reflect Kinetik's potential for recovery.

The recent insider selling could indicate a lack of confidence, but it may also reflect strategic repositioning rather than a negative outlook.

Key Risk

If Kinetik reports an EPS above $0.10, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is looking for signs of recovery after a series of disappointing earnings, making this quarter pivotal for Kinetik.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS of $0.10 or higher would confirm the bull case and indicate a strong recovery.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS of -$0.10 or worse would reinforce the bear case and suggest ongoing challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.63%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 3.63% in either direction following the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±3.6% while KNTK has averaged ±2.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

29.8%

Calls (3K)P/C Ratio: 0.40Puts (400)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 17 of 29 (59%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Energy in the last 2 years. 17 of 29 faded and 12 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 3.5%, with a raw directional average of -0.0% (roughly flat historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Kinetik beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of +1.18%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty about future performance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with history suggesting an average one-day drop of +0.53% following earnings misses.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiency improvements.
2Details on revenue growth trends and market demand.
3Management's outlook on future earnings and market conditions.
4Insights into cost management strategies.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning in the energy sector.

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Company Snapshot

Kinetik Holdings Inc. operates in the energy sector, focusing on oil and gas storage and transportation....

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of the company's profitability and will help investors gauge financial health this quarter.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will provide insights into the company's operational performance and demand for its services.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

KNTK Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

38%

Avg EPS Surprise

+127.18%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.11%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Kinetik reported an EPS of -$0.07, significantly missing the expected $0.16. Following this disappointing result, the stock dropped by 4.42% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations for Kinetik's upcoming earnings are mixed, given the recent disappointing performance and lack of analyst estimates.

Bull Case

If Kinetik can show a strong recovery in EPS and revenue, it may indicate improved operational efficiency and market demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company continues to miss earnings expectations, it could further erode investor confidence and lead to a decline in stock price.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be this quarter, and will it meet or exceed expectations?

Given the significant EPS miss last quarter, investors will be closely watching for any signs of recovery or continued struggles.

How has revenue changed compared to previous quarters?

Revenue trends will be critical in assessing the company's operational performance and market demand.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for a recovery in Kinetik's operations, especially given the volatility in the energy sector.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing a 3.63% move, suggesting uncertainty that may not reflect Kinetik's potential for recovery.

The recent insider selling could indicate a lack of confidence, but it may also reflect strategic repositioning rather than a negative outlook.

Key Risk

If Kinetik reports an EPS above $0.10, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The market is looking for signs of recovery after a series of disappointing earnings, making this quarter pivotal for Kinetik.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS of $0.10 or higher would confirm the bull case and indicate a strong recovery.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS of -$0.10 or worse would reinforce the bear case and suggest ongoing challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.63%

Historical Avg

±2.0%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 3.63% in either direction following the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±3.6% while KNTK has averaged ±2.0% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.4%

30d HV

29.8%

Calls (3K)P/C Ratio: 0.40Puts (400)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Energy

n=30

Fade rate: 17 of 29 (59%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Kinetik beats expectations, history suggests the stock could see an average one-day move of +1.18%, confirming a positive turnaround.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may react cautiously, reflecting uncertainty about future performance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with history suggesting an average one-day drop of +0.53% following earnings misses.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on operational efficiency improvements.
2Details on revenue growth trends and market demand.
3Management's outlook on future earnings and market conditions.
4Insights into cost management strategies.
5Any commentary on competitive positioning in the energy sector.