Equity Profile

LUNR

Intuitive Machines, Inc.

IndustrialsAerospace & Defense$2.9B

Aug6Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ2-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on advanced technology solutions for space exploration and satellite services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

Investors will be keen to see if the company can generate significant revenue, especially after missing estimates last quarter.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and any improvement from the previous quarter's loss will be closely watched.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

LUNR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on advanced technology solutions for space exploration and satellite services. As a player in the industrials sector, the company's innovations are critical for the growing demand in space technology and exploration.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-284.62%

Avg Stock Reaction

+2.35%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Intuitive Machines reported an EPS of -$0.25, significantly missing the estimate of -$0.07. Following the announcement, the stock saw a modest increase of 2.35% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on increasing revenue through new contracts.
Commitment to improving operational efficiency.
Plans to enhance technology offerings in the aerospace sector.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as the company has struggled to meet earnings estimates recently. Investors are looking for signs of recovery and growth in revenue.

Bull Case

If Intuitive Machines can demonstrate strong contract wins and improved EPS, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Continued losses and lack of significant new contracts could lead to further declines in stock price, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth for the upcoming quarter?

Revenue growth will be a key indicator of the company's ability to recover from previous misses and attract new contracts.

Will there be any new contract announcements or updates?

New contracts can significantly impact future revenue and investor sentiment, making this a critical focus for the earnings call.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The market may underestimate the potential for contract wins in the aerospace sector, which could drive revenue growth higher than anticipated.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating expectations of volatility.

The company's focus on operational efficiency could lead to improved margins.

Recent trends in the aerospace industry suggest increasing demand for innovative solutions.

Key Risk

If new contracts exceed expectations, it could significantly alter the market's perception of the company's growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around the company's ability to turn around its financial performance and secure new business.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS surprise with revenue growth exceeding previous estimates would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

Continued losses and lack of new contracts would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.72%

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Detail

ATM IV

1.2%

30d HV

115.9%

Calls (2.4M)P/C Ratio: 0.73Puts (1.5M)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 12 of 30 faded and 18 held — no strong directional bias after the initial reaction. The average absolute 1-day move is 6.5%, with a raw directional average of +1.3% (modestly positive historical bias).

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

71.39%

of float

Insider

5.18%

of float

Holders

347

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
10,068,017 sh · $257.0M
6.32%
22.2%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Intuitive Machines beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.35%.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations again, history indicates a potential decline of around 2.35% as investor confidence wanes.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on new contracts and partnerships.
2Any commentary on operational improvements and cost management.
3Insights into revenue projections for the upcoming quarters.
4Details on technological advancements and their impact on future projects.
5Management's outlook on market conditions and competitive landscape.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime

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Company Snapshot

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) operates in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on advanced technology solutions for space exploration and satellite services....

Key Metrics to Watch

Revenue Growth

Investors will be keen to see if the company can generate significant revenue, especially after missing estimates last quarter.

N/A

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability, and any improvement from the previous quarter's loss will be closely watched.

N/A

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

LUNR Q2-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 1Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

Avg EPS Surprise

-284.62%

Avg Stock Reaction

+2.35%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q1-2026, Intuitive Machines reported an EPS of -$0.25, significantly missing the estimate of -$0.07. Following the announcement, the stock saw a modest increase of 2.35% the next day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Focus on increasing revenue through new contracts.
Commitment to improving operational efficiency.
Plans to enhance technology offerings in the aerospace sector.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are mixed as the company has struggled to meet earnings estimates recently. Investors are looking for signs of recovery and growth in revenue.

Bull Case

If Intuitive Machines can demonstrate strong contract wins and improved EPS, it could signal a turnaround and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

Continued losses and lack of significant new contracts could lead to further declines in stock price, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth for the upcoming quarter?

Revenue growth will be a key indicator of the company's ability to recover from previous misses and attract new contracts.

Will there be any new contract announcements or updates?

New contracts can significantly impact future revenue and investor sentiment, making this a critical focus for the earnings call.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The market may underestimate the potential for contract wins in the aerospace sector, which could drive revenue growth higher than anticipated.

Supporting Evidence

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating expectations of volatility.

The company's focus on operational efficiency could lead to improved margins.

Recent trends in the aerospace industry suggest increasing demand for innovative solutions.

Key Risk

If new contracts exceed expectations, it could significantly alter the market's perception of the company's growth potential.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

The core debate this quarter revolves around the company's ability to turn around its financial performance and secure new business.

Bull Confirmed If

A positive EPS surprise with revenue growth exceeding previous estimates would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

Continued losses and lack of new contracts would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±12.72%

The options market is pricing in a significant move, suggesting that investors expect volatility around the earnings announcement.

Detail

ATM IV

1.2%

30d HV

115.9%

Calls (2.4M)P/C Ratio: 0.73Puts (1.5M)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss setup in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 12 of 30 (40%)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

71.39%

of float

Insider

5.18%

of float

Holders

347

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Blackrock Inc.
10,068,017 sh · $257.0M
6.32%
22.2%

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Intuitive Machines beats expectations and raises guidance, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 2.35%.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management provides cautious commentary, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

Should the company miss expectations again, history indicates a potential decline of around 2.35% as investor confidence wanes.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Updates on new contracts and partnerships.
2Any commentary on operational improvements and cost management.
3Insights into revenue projections for the upcoming quarters.
4Details on technological advancements and their impact on future projects.
5Management's outlook on market conditions and competitive landscape.

See the full picture

AI-powered briefs, options data, and 20 quarters of history — everything you need before earnings.

No charge today · Auto-bills $8/mo after 7 days · Cancel anytime