Post-earnings recap
Reported
Mon, Aug 10, 2026
EPS actual
$1.48
EPS est.
$0.34
EPS surprise
+339.17%
1-day move
-4.84%
monday.com reported strong earnings with a significant EPS beat, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency. However, the stock fell by nearly 5%, likely due to concerns over the workforce reduction and the lack of specific revenue guidance. The company's focus on AI and customer growth suggests potential for future revenue increases, but investors may be cautious in the short term.
| Metric | Actual | Expected | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | $1.48 | N/A | +339.17% |
| Revenue | $365 million | N/A | N/A |
| Operating Margin | 17% | 15% | +2% |
| AI ARR Contribution | 17% | N/A | N/A |
| Customer Additions | 100K+ | N/A | N/A |
Management expressed optimism about the company's growth trajectory, particularly in AI. They noted the successful expansion of their customer base and the positive impact of operational streamlining.
Management highlighted strong upmarket growth with record customer additions.
They emphasized the importance of AI integration in future revenue streams.
monday.com Ltd. is a technology company that provides a work operating system designed to help teams manage projects and workflows more efficiently. As a player in the information technology sector, it is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing digital transformation across industries.
Last quarter
In Q1 2026, monday.com reported an impressive earnings per share (EPS) of $1.15, significantly beating expectations. The stock reacted positively, gaining 6.72% the following day.
Management promises and guidance
EPS beat streak
8Q
EPS beat rate
100%
Avg EPS surprise
+944.38%
Avg 1-day reaction
-6.17%
Investors are cautiously optimistic ahead of the earnings report, given the company's strong performance in previous quarters. However, there is uncertainty about whether the growth can be sustained.
Bull case
If monday.com continues to show strong revenue growth and maintains high customer retention, it could lead to further stock appreciation and increased investor confidence.
Bear case
Conversely, if the company fails to meet growth expectations or shows signs of slowing demand, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price.
The print will turn on these.
Q1
What is the revenue growth rate compared to last quarter?
This will be crucial in determining if the company can sustain its growth trajectory amidst increasing competition.
Q2
What is the customer retention rate this quarter?
A strong retention rate will indicate customer satisfaction and the effectiveness of the platform, which is essential for long-term success.
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Est. EPS
—
Est. Rev
—
Impl. Move
±5.7%
Why consensus could be wrong
The Street may underestimate monday.com's ability to capture market share in a growing sector, especially given its recent product enhancements.
Supporting evidence
The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating stronger-than-expected performance.
Options pricing suggests lower volatility than historical averages, indicating potential for a surprise.
The lack of recent peer reports suggests that monday.com may be less impacted by broader market trends.
Key risk
If revenue growth exceeds 20%, it could challenge the current cautious outlook.
Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.
This quarter's performance will hinge on whether monday.com can maintain its growth momentum in a competitive market.
Bull confirmed if
Revenue growth of at least 20% year-over-year would confirm the bull case.
Bear confirmed if
Any revenue growth below 10% year-over-year would confirm the bear case.
What the market is pricing for the move.
Implied Move
±13.35%
Historical Avg
±14.6%
The options market is pricing in a potential move of about 13.35%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings announcement.
Options are pricing ±13.3% while MNDY has averaged ±14.6% over the last 8 prints — setup is roughly in line with history.
ATM IV
0.8%
30d HV
72.3%
Likely market behavior by outcome. Not investment advice.
Beat & raise
If monday.com beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 6.72%, confirming strong demand and operational efficiency.
In line / cautious
If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience a muted response as investors await further clarity on future growth.
Miss
If the company misses expectations, history suggests a potential decline of around 12.33%, indicating concerns about demand.
The lines on the call that would change the story.