Equity Profile

PH

Parker-Hannifin Corporation

IndustrialsIndustrial Machinery & Supplies & Components$121.4B

Aug6Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) is a leading manufacturer in the industrial machinery sector, known for its motion and control technologies. The company plays a crucial role in various industries, including aerospace, automotive, and manufacturing, providing essential components that enhance efficiency and productivity.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and financial health, reflecting how much profit the company makes for each share.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is critical for assessing the company's ability to expand and capture market share in a competitive environment.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

PH Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.68%

Avg Stock Reaction

+3.78%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Parker-Hannifin reported an EPS of $8.17, surpassing estimates by 4.04%. However, the stock experienced a decline of 4.02% the following day, indicating mixed investor sentiment despite the earnings beat.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, expectations are cautious as investors await clarity on revenue growth and potential impacts from economic conditions. The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, which could set a positive tone.

Bull Case

If Parker-Hannifin continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent decline.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth rate for the upcoming quarter?

Revenue growth will be a key indicator of demand and market position, influencing investor confidence and stock performance.

Will management provide any guidance on future earnings or market conditions?

Guidance can significantly impact stock sentiment, as investors look for reassurance about the company's trajectory in a potentially volatile market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Parker-Hannifin's ability to leverage its strong product portfolio in a recovering economy, which could lead to better-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

Options pricing suggests a lower expected move compared to historical averages, indicating potential undervaluation.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter, the focus will be on whether Parker-Hannifin can maintain its earnings momentum amidst economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

Earnings growth exceeding $8.50 per share would confirm strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

Earnings below $7.80 per share would raise concerns about demand and profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.89%

Historical Avg

±4.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 3.89%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while PH has averaged ±4.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.0%

Calls (97K)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (8K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.8%, with a raw directional average of +1.9% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Parker-Hannifin beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 3.78%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management is cautious, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting a potential drop of around 4.79%.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$3,003.00–$45,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-OHDavid J. TaylorRep.
3

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches or innovations.
2Insights into supply chain stability and its impact on production.
3Comments on market demand from key sectors like aerospace and automotive.
4Management's outlook on economic conditions and their impact on future performance.
5Any changes in capital expenditure plans or investment strategies.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a key indicator of profitability and financial health, reflecting how much profit the company makes for each share.

N/A

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth is critical for assessing the company's ability to expand and capture market share in a competitive environment.

N/A

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

PH Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.68%

Avg Stock Reaction

+3.78%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Parker-Hannifin continues its trend of beating EPS estimates and shows strong revenue growth, it could signal robust demand for its products, driving the stock higher.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet expectations or provides weak guidance, it could lead to a significant drop in stock price, especially given the recent decline.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What is the expected revenue growth rate for the upcoming quarter?

Revenue growth will be a key indicator of demand and market position, influencing investor confidence and stock performance.

Will management provide any guidance on future earnings or market conditions?

Guidance can significantly impact stock sentiment, as investors look for reassurance about the company's trajectory in a potentially volatile market.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate Parker-Hannifin's ability to leverage its strong product portfolio in a recovering economy, which could lead to better-than-expected earnings.

Supporting Evidence

The company has consistently beaten EPS estimates, indicating strong operational performance.

Options pricing suggests a lower expected move compared to historical averages, indicating potential undervaluation.

Key Risk

If revenue growth exceeds expectations, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter, the focus will be on whether Parker-Hannifin can maintain its earnings momentum amidst economic uncertainties.

Bull Confirmed If

Earnings growth exceeding $8.50 per share would confirm strong operational performance.

Bear Confirmed If

Earnings below $7.80 per share would raise concerns about demand and profitability.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.89%

Historical Avg

±4.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a move of about 3.89%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while PH has averaged ±4.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.0%

Calls (97K)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (8K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Parker-Hannifin beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 3.78%, confirming strong demand.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line but management is cautious, the stock may see muted movement as investors reassess future growth.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline, with historical data suggesting a potential drop of around 4.79%.

Preparation

Congressional Activity

House & Senate STOCK Act disclosures over the trailing 6 months.

Trades

1 buy·2 sells

Members

House only

Est. Notional

$3,003.00–$45,000.00

disclosed dollar ranges

Most Active Members

R-OHDavid J. TaylorRep.
3

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches or innovations.
2Insights into supply chain stability and its impact on production.
3Comments on market demand from key sectors like aerospace and automotive.
4Management's outlook on economic conditions and their impact on future performance.
5Any changes in capital expenditure plans or investment strategies.