Equity Profile

PH

Parker-Hannifin Corporation

IndustrialsIndustrial Machinery & Supplies & Components$133.5B

Aug6Thu

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2026Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Parker-Hannifin Corporation is a leading manufacturer in the industrial machinery sector, specializing in motion and control technologies. With a market cap of $134 billion, the company plays a crucial role in various industries, including aerospace, automotive, and manufacturing, making it a key player in the ongoing industrial recovery and automation trends.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of a company's profitability and will indicate how well Parker-Hannifin is managing costs and generating income.

Expected to be around $8.00

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will provide insight into demand for Parker-Hannifin's products and services, reflecting overall market conditions.

Expected growth of 5% year-over-year

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

PH Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.68%

Avg Stock Reaction

+3.78%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Parker-Hannifin reported an EPS of $8.17, surpassing estimates by 4.04%. Despite this positive surprise, the stock fell 4.02% the following day, indicating market caution.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on cost management and operational efficiency.
Commitment to innovation in motion and control technologies.
Plans to expand into emerging markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Overall, Wall Street expects Parker-Hannifin to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, driven by strong demand in industrial sectors. However, there are concerns about potential supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures.

Bull Case

If the company can demonstrate strong revenue growth and maintain or improve its margins, it could see significant upside in its stock price, reflecting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or shows signs of margin compression, it could lead to a decline in stock price as investors reassess growth prospects.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Expected to be around $8.00

EPS is a critical measure of a company's profitability and will indicate how well Parker-Hannifin is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue Growth

Expected growth of 5% year-over-year

Revenue growth will provide insight into demand for Parker-Hannifin's products and services, reflecting overall market conditions.

Operating Margin

Expected to remain stable at around 15%

Operating margin is important for assessing the efficiency of the company's operations and its ability to control costs.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q4-2026, and how does it compare to the expected $8.00?

The EPS figure will be a key indicator of the company's profitability and could significantly influence investor sentiment.

How is Parker-Hannifin addressing potential supply chain challenges?

Supply chain issues could impact revenue and margins, making this a critical area for management to address in their commentary.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Parker-Hannifin to exceed EPS expectations due to strong operational efficiencies and demand in key sectors.

Supporting Evidence

Parker-Hannifin has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past quarters, indicating strong operational performance.

Options are pricing a smaller move than historical averages, suggesting that the market may not be fully accounting for potential upside.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in above $8.20, it could lead to a significant reassessment of the company's growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it will reflect the company's ability to navigate ongoing economic challenges while maintaining profitability.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $8.20 or higher, along with stable operating margins, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $7.80 or signs of margin compression would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.89%

Historical Avg

±4.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a modest move of about 3.89%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings report, but not a dramatic shift.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while PH has averaged ±4.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.0%

Calls (97K)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (8K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 18 of 24 (75%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 4.8%, with a raw directional average of +1.9% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Parker-Hannifin beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 3.78%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious guidance, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 4.79%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on supply chain management strategies.
2Details on revenue growth in key segments like aerospace and automotive.
3Insights into cost management and operating efficiencies.
4Any commentary on future market conditions and demand forecasts.
5Updates on expansion plans into emerging markets.

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Company Snapshot

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is a critical measure of a company's profitability and will indicate how well Parker-Hannifin is managing costs and generating income.

Expected to be around $8.00

Revenue Growth

Revenue growth will provide insight into demand for Parker-Hannifin's products and services, reflecting overall market conditions.

Expected growth of 5% year-over-year

1 more metrics, Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

PH Q4-2026 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

100%

Avg EPS Surprise

+5.68%

Avg Stock Reaction

+3.78%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3-2026, Parker-Hannifin reported an EPS of $8.17, surpassing estimates by 4.04%. Despite this positive surprise, the stock fell 4.02% the following day, indicating market caution.

Management Promises & Guidance

Continued focus on cost management and operational efficiency.
Commitment to innovation in motion and control technologies.
Plans to expand into emerging markets.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If the company can demonstrate strong revenue growth and maintain or improve its margins, it could see significant upside in its stock price, reflecting investor confidence.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company fails to meet revenue expectations or shows signs of margin compression, it could lead to a decline in stock price as investors reassess growth prospects.

Key Metrics to Watch

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Expected to be around $8.00

EPS is a critical measure of a company's profitability and will indicate how well Parker-Hannifin is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue Growth

Expected growth of 5% year-over-year

Revenue growth will provide insight into demand for Parker-Hannifin's products and services, reflecting overall market conditions.

Operating Margin

Expected to remain stable at around 15%

Operating margin is important for assessing the efficiency of the company's operations and its ability to control costs.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

What will the EPS be for Q4-2026, and how does it compare to the expected $8.00?

The EPS figure will be a key indicator of the company's profitability and could significantly influence investor sentiment.

How is Parker-Hannifin addressing potential supply chain challenges?

Supply chain issues could impact revenue and margins, making this a critical area for management to address in their commentary.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the potential for Parker-Hannifin to exceed EPS expectations due to strong operational efficiencies and demand in key sectors.

Supporting Evidence

Parker-Hannifin has consistently beaten EPS estimates in the past quarters, indicating strong operational performance.

Options are pricing a smaller move than historical averages, suggesting that the market may not be fully accounting for potential upside.

Key Risk

If the EPS comes in above $8.20, it could lead to a significant reassessment of the company's growth prospects.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it will reflect the company's ability to navigate ongoing economic challenges while maintaining profitability.

Bull Confirmed If

An EPS of $8.20 or higher, along with stable operating margins, would confirm the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

An EPS below $7.80 or signs of margin compression would support the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±3.89%

Historical Avg

±4.8%

Pricing cheap

The options market is pricing in a modest move of about 3.89%, suggesting that traders expect some volatility around the earnings report, but not a dramatic shift.

Options are pricing ±3.9% while PH has averaged ±4.8% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing cheap.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

26.0%

Calls (97K)P/C Ratio: 0.20Puts (8K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter beat + options pricing cheap in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 24 (25%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Parker-Hannifin beats expectations, history suggests the stock could rise by around 3.78%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations but management provides cautious guidance, the stock may experience muted movement as investors reassess.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline in stock price, with historical patterns suggesting an average drop of around 4.79%.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on supply chain management strategies.
2Details on revenue growth in key segments like aerospace and automotive.
3Insights into cost management and operating efficiencies.
4Any commentary on future market conditions and demand forecasts.
5Updates on expansion plans into emerging markets.