Equity Profile

PHG

Koninklijke Philips N.V.

Health CareHealth Care Equipment$26.6B

Jul28Tue

Pre-Earnings Brief

UpcomingQ4-2025Pre-Market9:00 AM EDT

Company Snapshot

Koninklijke Philips N.V. (PHG) is a global leader in health technology, focusing on improving people's health and well-being through innovative solutions in health care equipment....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$0.19

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to sell its products and services, which is crucial for growth and stability.

$3.9B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

PHG Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Koninklijke Philips N.V. (PHG) is a global leader in health technology, focusing on improving people's health and well-being through innovative solutions in health care equipment. With a market cap of $27 billion, Philips operates in a sector that is increasingly driven by advancements in technology and consumer demand for better health outcomes.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+11.00%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.62%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q3 2025, Philips reported an EPS of $0.22, which was significantly below the expected $0.36, leading to a stock increase of 2.98% the following day. This miss raised concerns about the company's ability to meet future earnings expectations.

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts are cautiously optimistic about Philips' upcoming earnings, with expectations set for a modest EPS of $0.19 and revenue of $3.9 billion. However, the company's recent performance has raised questions about its ability to deliver on these targets.

Bull Case

If Philips can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may indicate a recovery in its operational efficiency and market demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses its earnings target again, it could signal ongoing operational challenges, leading to further declines in investor confidence and stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.19

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$3.9B

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to sell its products and services, which is crucial for growth and stability.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Philips achieve an EPS of at least $0.19?

This number is critical as it will indicate whether the company is on track to recover from previous earnings misses.

What factors contributed to revenue expectations of $3.9 billion?

Understanding the drivers behind revenue will help assess the company's market position and growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of recent product innovations that could drive unexpected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

Philips has a history of surprising the market with new product launches that boost sales.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting potential for a significant shift.

Recent trends in health care spending may favor Philips' offerings more than anticipated.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in significantly above $3.9 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is crucial as it follows a series of earnings misses, and the market is looking for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

Exceeding EPS of $0.19 and showing revenue growth above $3.9 billion would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

Falling short of the $0.19 EPS target would reinforce concerns about the company's operational challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±15.16%

Historical Avg

±10.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move of over 15%, indicating that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±15.2% while PHG has averaged ±10.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

34.4%

Calls (118K)P/C Ratio: 0.02Puts (3K)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

5.26%

of float

Insider

0.00%

of float

Holders

390

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Exor N.V.
182,543,970 sh · $5.0B
18.96%
Flat

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Philips beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.31%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 1.53%, reinforcing negative sentiment around the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Insights into cost management strategies and their effects on profitability.
3Commentary on market demand trends in health care equipment.
4Details on regional performance, particularly in key markets.
5Management's outlook on future earnings and any guidance provided.

See the full picture

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Company Snapshot

Koninklijke Philips N.V. (PHG) is a global leader in health technology, focusing on improving people's health and well-being through innovative solutions in health care equipment....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

$0.19

Revenue

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to sell its products and services, which is crucial for growth and stability.

$3.9B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

PHG Q4-2025 Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 8Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+11.00%

Avg Stock Reaction

+1.62%

Last Quarter Recap

Management Promises & Guidance

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Bull Case

If Philips can exceed the EPS estimate and show strong revenue growth, it may indicate a recovery in its operational efficiency and market demand, leading to a positive stock reaction.

Bear Case

Conversely, if the company misses its earnings target again, it could signal ongoing operational challenges, leading to further declines in investor confidence and stock price.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$0.19

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability and will show how well the company is managing costs and generating income.

Revenue

$3.9B

Total revenue reflects the company's ability to sell its products and services, which is crucial for growth and stability.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will Philips achieve an EPS of at least $0.19?

This number is critical as it will indicate whether the company is on track to recover from previous earnings misses.

What factors contributed to revenue expectations of $3.9 billion?

Understanding the drivers behind revenue will help assess the company's market position and growth potential.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The Street may be underestimating the impact of recent product innovations that could drive unexpected revenue growth.

Supporting Evidence

Philips has a history of surprising the market with new product launches that boost sales.

The options market is pricing a larger move than historical averages, suggesting potential for a significant shift.

Recent trends in health care spending may favor Philips' offerings more than anticipated.

Key Risk

If revenue comes in significantly above $3.9 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is crucial as it follows a series of earnings misses, and the market is looking for signs of recovery.

Bull Confirmed If

Exceeding EPS of $0.19 and showing revenue growth above $3.9 billion would confirm a positive outlook.

Bear Confirmed If

Falling short of the $0.19 EPS target would reinforce concerns about the company's operational challenges.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±15.16%

Historical Avg

±10.1%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant potential move of over 15%, indicating that investors are anticipating volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±15.2% while PHG has averaged ±10.1% over the last 8 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.3%

30d HV

34.4%

Calls (118K)P/C Ratio: 0.02Puts (3K)

Edge

Institutional Ownership

Smart-money positioning from the most recent 13F filings.

Top holders adding

Institutional

5.26%

of float

Insider

0.00%

of float

Holders

390

institutions

Top Holders· as of Dec 2025

Exor N.V.
182,543,970 sh · $5.0B
18.96%
Flat

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If Philips beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.31%, confirming a recovery narrative.

In-Line / Cautious

If results are in line with expectations, the stock may experience muted movement as investors await further guidance.

Miss

A miss could lead to a decline of approximately 1.53%, reinforcing negative sentiment around the company's performance.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Any updates on new product launches and their expected impact on sales.
2Insights into cost management strategies and their effects on profitability.
3Commentary on market demand trends in health care equipment.
4Details on regional performance, particularly in key markets.
5Management's outlook on future earnings and any guidance provided.