Equity Profile

QXO

QXO, Inc.

IndustrialsTrading Companies & Distributors$14.4B

May12Tue

Post-Earnings Recap

ReportedQ1-2026After Close4:15 PM EDT

QXO, Inc. Misses on EPS, Stock Down 3.8%

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$-0.12	$-0.09	-29.03%
Revenue	—	$1.7B	—

management commentary, guidance changes, and full analysis available with Pro.

QXO, Inc. Misses on EPS, Stock Down 3.8%

Key Numbers

Metric	Actual	Expected	Surprise
EPS	$-0.12	$-0.09	-29.03%
Revenue	—	$1.7B	—

Management Commentary

Tone: Unknown

No transcript is on record, and the analysis is based on numerical results only.

What It Means

QXO, Inc. reported a wider-than-expected loss in EPS for Q1-2026, which contributed to a 3.8% decline in stock price. The company did not provide revenue figures, leading to uncertainty among investors. The lack of guidance further adds to concerns about future performance.

Company Snapshot

QXO, Inc. operates in the industrials sector, focusing on trading and distribution....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a loss, which could impact investor sentiment.

$-0.09

Revenue

Revenue figures are critical for understanding the company's sales performance and overall health, especially in a competitive trading environment.

$1.7B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

QXO, Inc. operates in the industrials sector, focusing on trading and distribution. With a market cap of $13 billion, the company plays a crucial role in supply chain management, which is vital for various industries as they navigate post-pandemic recovery and changing consumer demands.

Earnings Scorecard·Last 6Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+58.91%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.33%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, QXO reported an EPS of $0.02, slightly missing the estimate of $0.03. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 3.74% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Management indicated a focus on improving operational efficiency.
They committed to exploring new market opportunities.
Plans to enhance customer engagement were highlighted.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect QXO to report a loss this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $-0.09 and revenue of $1.7 billion. The market is cautious given the recent earnings history.

Bull Case

If QXO can beat the EPS estimates and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a turnaround in profitability and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

A worse-than-expected loss or declining revenue could lead to further stock price declines, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.09

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a loss, which could impact investor sentiment.

Revenue

$1.7B

Revenue figures are critical for understanding the company's sales performance and overall health, especially in a competitive trading environment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will QXO's revenue exceed the $1.7 billion consensus estimate?

Revenue performance is crucial for assessing the company's growth trajectory and ability to recover from previous losses.

Can QXO narrow its EPS loss to better than the expected $-0.09?

A smaller loss could indicate improved operational efficiency and may positively influence market perception.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate QXO's potential for a revenue surprise due to recent operational improvements and market expansion efforts.

Supporting Evidence

The company's historical EPS beat rate of 80% suggests a tendency to outperform expectations.

Options pricing indicates a higher expected move than historical averages, suggesting that the market may be overly cautious.

Management's focus on operational efficiency could lead to better-than-expected results.

Key Risk

If revenue exceeds $1.8 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it reflects the company's ability to rebound from recent earnings misses and operational challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving revenue of at least $1.8 billion and an EPS loss of no more than $-0.06 would support the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

If revenue falls below $1.7 billion and EPS loss exceeds $-0.14, it would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±6.08%

Historical Avg

±2.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.4% while QXO has averaged ±2.9% over the last 6 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

51.9%

Calls (499K)P/C Ratio: 0.69Puts (219K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 18 (33%)

This setup has occurred 30 times across Industrials in the last 2 years. 12 of 18 (67%) held or extended their move within 5 days — this setup typically holds direction. The average absolute 1-day move is 7.1%, with a raw directional average of +2.3% (modestly positive historical bias).

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If QXO beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.38%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, with investors focusing on management's commentary for future guidance.

Miss

If QXO misses expectations, the stock could drop by approximately 3.74%, reflecting ongoing concerns about profitability.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on revenue growth across key segments.
2Management's commentary on cost control measures.
3Updates on new market opportunities and customer engagement strategies.
4Any insights into supply chain improvements.
5Expectations for the upcoming quarters based on current trends.

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Company Snapshot

QXO, Inc. operates in the industrials sector, focusing on trading and distribution....

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a loss, which could impact investor sentiment.

$-0.09

Revenue

Revenue figures are critical for understanding the company's sales performance and overall health, especially in a competitive trading environment.

$1.7B

Wall Street expectations, options signals, track record, and call prep available with Pro.

Original Pre-Earnings Preview

Context

Company Snapshot

Earnings Scorecard·Last 6Q

EPS Beat Streak

EPS Beat Rate

50%

Avg EPS Surprise

+58.91%

Avg Stock Reaction

-0.33%

Last Quarter Recap

In Q4-2025, QXO reported an EPS of $0.02, slightly missing the estimate of $0.03. The stock reacted negatively, dropping 3.74% the following day.

Management Promises & Guidance

Management indicated a focus on improving operational efficiency.
They committed to exploring new market opportunities.
Plans to enhance customer engagement were highlighted.

Expectations

Wall Street Expectations

Analysts expect QXO to report a loss this quarter, with a consensus EPS of $-0.09 and revenue of $1.7 billion. The market is cautious given the recent earnings history.

Bull Case

If QXO can beat the EPS estimates and show strong revenue growth, it may signal a turnaround in profitability and boost investor confidence.

Bear Case

A worse-than-expected loss or declining revenue could lead to further stock price declines, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.

Key Metrics to Watch

EPS

$-0.09

Earnings per share is a key indicator of profitability, and this quarter's consensus suggests a loss, which could impact investor sentiment.

Revenue

$1.7B

Revenue figures are critical for understanding the company's sales performance and overall health, especially in a competitive trading environment.

Expectations

Two Questions That Matter

The print will turn on these two things.

Will QXO's revenue exceed the $1.7 billion consensus estimate?

Revenue performance is crucial for assessing the company's growth trajectory and ability to recover from previous losses.

Can QXO narrow its EPS loss to better than the expected $-0.09?

A smaller loss could indicate improved operational efficiency and may positively influence market perception.

Edge

What the Street Is Missing

Why consensus could be wrong

The consensus may underestimate QXO's potential for a revenue surprise due to recent operational improvements and market expansion efforts.

Supporting Evidence

The company's historical EPS beat rate of 80% suggests a tendency to outperform expectations.

Options pricing indicates a higher expected move than historical averages, suggesting that the market may be overly cautious.

Management's focus on operational efficiency could lead to better-than-expected results.

Key Risk

If revenue exceeds $1.8 billion, it could challenge the current bearish sentiment.

Edge

Thesis-Break Levels

Pre-commit to what would confirm each case.

This quarter's performance is critical as it reflects the company's ability to rebound from recent earnings misses and operational challenges.

Bull Confirmed If

Achieving revenue of at least $1.8 billion and an EPS loss of no more than $-0.06 would support the bull case.

Bear Confirmed If

If revenue falls below $1.7 billion and EPS loss exceeds $-0.14, it would confirm the bear case.

Pre-Earnings Positioning

Options Market

Implied Move

±6.08%

Historical Avg

±2.9%

Pricing rich

The options market is pricing in a significant move, indicating that investors expect volatility around the earnings report.

Options are pricing ±5.4% while QXO has averaged ±2.9% over the last 6 prints — setup is pricing rich.

Detail

ATM IV

0.7%

30d HV

51.9%

Calls (499K)P/C Ratio: 0.69Puts (219K)

Edge

Historical Setup Match

Cross-company pattern from 30 similar setups.

Prior-quarter miss + options pricing rich in Industrials

n=30

Fade rate: 6 of 18 (33%)

Preparation

Post-Print Playbook

Likely market behavior by outcome — not investment advice.

Beat & Raise

If QXO beats expectations, history suggests a potential stock increase of around 1.38%, confirming a positive outlook.

In-Line / Cautious

An in-line report may lead to a muted reaction, with investors focusing on management's commentary for future guidance.

Miss

If QXO misses expectations, the stock could drop by approximately 3.74%, reflecting ongoing concerns about profitability.

Earnings Track Record

Preparation

What to Listen For

Call Prep

1Details on revenue growth across key segments.
2Management's commentary on cost control measures.
3Updates on new market opportunities and customer engagement strategies.
4Any insights into supply chain improvements.
5Expectations for the upcoming quarters based on current trends.